Web Search powered by YAHOO! SEARCH
04.27.2008 8:54 pm

Rams Draft: Throw Away the Report Cards

  • Email this
  • Print this

Good (Sunday) evening…

I’ve never understood why fans of a team worry about what some guys on ESPN or the NFL Network say in declaring instant judgment on the team’s draft. 

Of all the foolish things in sports, one of silliest are these immediate report cards that pop up only hours after the NFL completes its annual draft. And worse than that, some fans want to believe that an instant draft grade is  the end all in determining success or failure. They get outraged for no reason… or celebrate … for no logical reason.

Sorry — I’m gonna watch the kids play for a year or two, and then we can talk about grades.

No one has flunked yet. No one has made the Dean’s list.

No one has even put a helmet on yet, for cripe’s sake.

How the heck does anyone know about the quality of the Rams draft when the players haven’t signed, haven’t been fitted for a uniform, haven’t practiced, haven’t made the team, haven’t played in a real game, haven’t gone through an entire season?

What’s the point?

It was crazy to see the hysterical reaction Saturday when the Rams drafted Houston wide receiver Donnie Avery in the second round. You’d think that the team had drafted Clyde Duncan, or something. Why? Because ESPN’s Mel Kiper and Todd McShay said taking Avery at No. 33 was a reach. Therefore, gullible fans believed it to be true. Other draft services had good marks on Avery, but since Mel is a celebrity draftnik, and he’s on TV, well it means that everything is as he says it is … right? TV is the God of a dumbed-down culture.

Meanwhile, a hard-working draft guy like Russ Lande Jr. of The Sporting News’ “War Room” had it scoped out ahead of time. Lande, a former NFL scout, is on the phone a lot, working the GMs and scouts and personnel people. And on April 24, Lande wrote that there was a lot of buzz about Avery, and that he was moving up the charts, and was into the second round, and could even get into the first round. In other words, Lande had it figured out. He wasn’t caught off guard, the way some of the other so-called experts were. And just because the celebrity draftheads failed to detect Avery’s huge upward move on NFL draft boards, that doesn’t mean the Rams were wrong to draft him. I’m not saying Lande is right about Avery, either. But at least I know the guy was busting his tail and doing his homework up until the draft started.

I have no idea if Avery will be a bust, or a star.

But I can see at least why the Rams viewed Avery as a fit.

Xx The Rams wideouts were slow last year — and this kid has great speed.

Xx The Rams wideouts got few yards after the catch last season — and Avery got good marks for his runs after the catch. (By the way, for the naysayers who point out that Avery played in a non BCS Conference, therefore his yards after the catch don’t mean much because they came against weaker competition. Really? Last season, among the top 15 wideouts in the NFL in yards after the catch, you could find players from Western Michigan (Greg Jennings), Northwest Oklahoma State (Patrick Crayton), Alabama-Birmingham (Roddy White), Central Florida (Brandon Marshall), Alcorn State (Donald Driver) and Utah (Steve Smith).

Xx New offensive coordinator Al Saunders wanted vertical speed, which the Rams lack — and Avery has it.

Xx Saunders wanted a WR he could put in the slot, and force the DBs to account for his scintillating downfield speed — instead of letting safeties cheat up to stop the run or take away the intermediate pass routes. Let’s see a safety have to cover Avery in the slot.

Xx The great Henry Ellard (Rams receivers coach) gave Avery a high grade.

So why in the world would anyone get their pants bunched up because Mel Kiper didn’t like the pick? The same fans who were throwing tantrums last year when Torry Holt and Isaac Bruce and Drew Bennett would make a catch and fall down are among the same people now snarling about the Rams drafting a 4.29 speed guy with a history of production, and an ability to cut loose and make things happen after the catch.

I also laughed at those who declared that Avery would have been there in the third round.

Not a chance.

There was a wild run on wideouts in the second round… 10 wideouts went off the board in round two. And if the Rams hadn’t popped Avery at No. 33 overall, there is no way he would have lasted the rest of the round. He would have been long gone by the start of Round 3; someone would have taken a chance on that speed.

Again: this doesn’t mean Avery will be just what the Rams need. All of these WRs had flaws in some way; that’s why none were taken in the first round. Still, there’s no question that Avery brings an interesting mix to the field. 

I also went back to read what draftniks had to say after the 1994 draft, when the Rams chose a WR in the second round, and at No. 33. Just like Avery. And their choice of that wideout was largely panned as a “reach.”

The receiver’s name?

Isaac Bruce.

Look, the Rams haven’t had a great recent draft history… which is why they recruited Billy Devaney to run things, and this was his first draft. Maybe this draft will stink in a couple of years. Maybe it will look great in two years. But for now it appears that the Rams landed a winner in Chris Long and a potential game-changer in Avery. They tried to add depth at the OL.  They added another receiver, Keenan Burton, which really gives the team a chance to freshen up a tired WR group. Didn’t we all agree they needed some younger, faster legs at WR?

Will these new Rams pay off, or fade away?

I have no idea. Neither does Kiper or anyone else.

Let the players play.

And we’ll watch.

And then we’ll know.

And in a couple of years, we can bring out the damned report cards.

Thanks for reading…

–B

19 comments

Comments are closed.

[...] [...]

— mel kiper draft grades
1:03 pm April 28th, 2008

[...] heads to the Rams, where, according to St. Louis Today, the team is trying to replace its aging receiving corps.  Once billed as The Greatest Show on [...]

How about a report card on the report card makers? How about going back, 5-10 years or so, and see what grade each of these so called crystal ball claimers have to say on each class, teams’ picks or individuals and then compare them to reality? Why shouldn’t they be subject to a grade card like everyone else? The teams must, as they must endure the consequences of what they did, whereas I don’t see any prognosticar having to be held accountable to whatever they say.

— maikol
6:30 pm April 28th, 2008

Great idea, maikol.

I want to start with anyone who claimed Priest Holmes was not worhty of a draft pick, and then work back to those who would have only claimed him worthy of a late round pick?

Would he have been more of a reach than say, Curtis Enis? John Avery? Those guys were first rounders in 1998; Holmes was undrafted.

— thirteen28
3:48 pm April 29th, 2008

Bernie,

As usual you have hit the nail on the proverbial head. Just because Mel Kiper says it at ESPN it is gospel?

Play first, grade later. Hopefully this draft will not reak of George Boone. Only time will tell.

— tkennedy1952
5:19 pm April 29th, 2008

Not all disliked Avery because of the TV draftniks, though it’s fun to lump any critic into the same basket.. Some did not like Avery because of some draft reports that indicated not a very good route runner - a very important attribute in the Coryell offense. I think that’s a legit and fair criticism. But heck, does anyone really know how he will turn out? Of course not.

— bayarea_post
5:25 pm April 29th, 2008

I miss Joel Buschbaum.

— garylobo
6:08 pm April 29th, 2008

From time to time, we all are guilty of taking as “gospel”, what the talking heads on ESPN say about players selected in the draft. The players slelected by the Rams or any team, should be players that can fill a need. Because the Mel Kiper’s of the world, probably don’t have a clue about a teams needs, the grade they give a particular player or team in meaningless. Yes, we all like to hear how great a draft our team had, however the fans and even the coaches have to wait until training camp, pre-season games, real games, and even a few seasons, to see if the players selected in the 2008 draft were the right ones.

— rightthinker4
8:07 am April 30th, 2008

Alice…

I just wanted to tell you that your site is really awesome and is of a fantastic quality. The content is great and I will be returning….

— Alice
1:09 am June 2nd, 2008

Pages: « 1 [2] Show All