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05.30.2008 11:24 pm

Notes on Friday’s Scorecard: Outfield Math

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Good evening from a suddenly stormy, soggy Busch Stadium.

The rains came moments after the Cardinals locked up a 5-4 win over the Pirates.

This one will be a quickie….

One key reason for the demotion of Chris Duncan: the Cardinals’ outfield was becoming increasingly weak against LH pitching. That’s an issue in general, but in the short term, the concern was more immediate, because the Pirates have three lefty starters going at STL in the four-game series.

Duncan was essentially nullified by LHP. In 147 career at-bats against LH, Duncan was batting .197 with a .261 OBP and a .333 SLG.

But he wasn’t alone in the struggles against lefties.

Let’s take a look at the outfield splits against LHP this season:

Rick Ankiel:  .269 / .321 / .462

Ryan Ludwick:  .241 / .352 / .586

Skip Schumaker:  .212 / .281 / .231

Brian Barton:  .261 / .404 / .348

Chris Duncan:  .111/ .158 / .167

There are some decent numbers in there; Ludwick has 6 HRs vs. LH and a big slugging percentage against them. Barton’s OBP against LH is very good, and that’s made to order for a top of the lineup guy. And Ankiel has held his own against LH until recently; he’s 0 for his last 8 against them.

Clearly, manager Tony La Russa didn’t have as much flexibility or attractive options for the outfield when confronted by LH pitchers.

Enter Joe Mather

At Class AAA Memphis, Mather absolutely punished LH pitchers, batting .354 with a .446 OBP and a .771 SLG for an OPS of 1.217.  He was damned good against RH pitchers, too, with 8 homers and an OPS of 1.006.

Mather should give La Russa more lineup muscle against those lefties.

With Mather in the mix, La Russa can go a number of ways vs. LH.

Friday, it was (left to right) Barton, Ludwick and Mather… with Ankiel coming in later in CF, Luddy moving to LF.

Another fine trio vs. LH would be Barton (LF), Mather (CF) and Ludwick (RF).

(Though Mather in CF probably isn’t what La Russa wants, defensively, at least not now… but now that we think on it,  Luddy in CF ain’t exactly Curt Flood…)

Or: Barton (LF), Ankiel (CF), Ludwick (RF).

Then again: Ludwick (LF), Ankiel (CF) and Mather (RF).

I guess we can install Barton in RF if the park fits his somewhat limited arm.

(Then again, there’s the cutoff man… which, by the way, C. Dunc hit most of the time).

Actually, you can whip up any fun alignment you can think of as long as it includes a choice of three from the pool of Ankiel, Ludwick, Barton, Mather.

(Sorry, Skip… unless you be facing Barry Zito; you’re 2-3 against him… and actually you’re 1-2 vs. several LHP. So we have to be very selective here).

All of this, of course, is based on Mather hitting in the bigs. We’ll see how he does.

But if Mighty Joe Mather comes through, La Russa will enjoy putting together these combos against the lefts.

By exchanging Duncan for Mather, La Russa and the Cardinals potentially strengthened a vulnerability when the LHs take the mound.

-B

5 comments

Comments are closed.

This is such an eclectic mix of outfielders. One throws left and bats right, and another one throws right and bats left. One lefty is very streaky, hence his lack of professional at bats. Maybe one of them will step up and assume an everyday role, but until then, the platoon is the way to go. Overall, as a team, I don’t think the stats are that bad for the lefty/righy splits, and I still think it comes down to getting better slugging, instead of playing for 3 hits and a run.

— bostonbird
8:14 am May 31st, 2008

I get it. Since Barton really isn’t that good of a hitter we gotta have another guy called up who is, and therefore Duncan must go down. This Rule V restriction may end up costing the Cardinals more than Barton’s value to the team.

— BNC4477
9:41 am May 31st, 2008

I disagree w/ Barton being a drag on the team, BNC. He has only been getting #5 outfielder playing time and has done very well outside his slump in the first half of May. Sure, he doesn’t merit being a starter, but that is why it is better that he is in the bigs and not Duncan. Duncan needs to get those regular ABs. Barton, arguably, might not have as much long-term value, so he can stand to only get 30-40 ABs a month.

— bennyagbayani
10:23 am May 31st, 2008

Bernie,
Concerned about Ankiel’s approach at the plate. Has been a sucker for high fastballs out of the zone, plus his overall discipline is spotty. I wouldn’t throw him any strikes until he adjusts. And that’s another thing: Rick rarely adjusts his swing to the pitch or situation, although last night he took the outside pitch to left for that triple. As his hitting coach, I would tell him that it’s no crime to be called out occasionally. Make them come into the zone. I’m pulling for him!
Wildwood Curt

— Wildwood Curt
10:41 am May 31st, 2008

I agree that Ank seems to be chasing pitches at the plate. TLR should consider moving Ank to the two hole in front of Albert and Lud. TLR has shown in the past that when a player is struggling he will place them in the two hole.

The birds are in a tough situation when it comes to the outfield. I love Bartons energy ,but I don’t see him as a leadoff man. I’ll go with Ludwick,Ank,and Mather.

— emc2013
2:11 pm May 31st, 2008