On Izzy: swinging, not missing
Good afternoon…
One of Jason Isringhausen’s problems this season is his diminishing ability to get hitters to swing and miss. He’s making good pitches, but isn’t finishing off hitters at the same rate.
As always, I have statistics.
Let’s take a look at Izzy’s career as a Cardinal in two areas: (1) the percentage of swings and misses, and (2) his strikeouts per batters faced:
Is he making hitters miss? Not as much as he once did.
The yearly percentage of swings and misses vs. Isringhausen:
2008: 16.9
2007: 22.9
2006: 21.9
2005: 24.5
2004: 24.8
2003: 25.2
2002: 26.2
Obviously, the rate is dropping.
Now, here’s Isringhausen’s rate of strikeouts per batters faced:
2008: .159
2007: .202
2006: .202
2005: .208
2004: .231
2003: .236
2002: .265
Obviously, his K-rate is dropping, too.
What does it mean? Well, hitters (generally) are putting more balls in play against the STL closer. And that’s bad news for him, because the hitters are racking Isringhausen for a .304 batting average this season on balls put in play. That’s by far his career high as a Cardinal; the next-highest BA/BIP was .259, which occured way back in 2002, his first season with St. Louis.
Too much contact is not a good thing at this stage of Izzy’s career. But unless he can make the hitters start missing more than they are, the trend will likely continue.
–B


Stats show Izzy is going downhill. Also the fact the he already has 4 blown saves just 5 weeks into the season doesn’t bode well. Hopefully he will pick up his game.
I believe it’s the last year of his contract as the Cards picked up his option last winter. Assuming the Cards do get Carp, Mulder and Clements back sometime during the summer, maybe John Mozeliak could use the extra pitching for a trade involving a possible closer for the years to come. Unless the Cards think someone from the bullpen could become that guy…