Changing of the Guard: Brewers Own Cardinals
Greetings from Busch Stadium.
After watching the Brewers humiliate the surprisingly tepid Cardinals by a 12-0 score on Tuesday night, it’s probably time to face up to the obvious reality here:
The Brewers are superior to the Cardinals.
They own the Cardinals in 2008.
After years of dominating the Brewers, the Cardinals find themselves turned around and are suddenly on the receiving end of a pretty thorough beating from their former patsies. I’m searching for an analogy here; I guess this is sort of like when the boxer, Larry Holmes, used to serve as Muhammad Ali’s sparring partner and take his lumps in the gym as Ali trained for the next big fight. And then one day Ali wasn’t quite Ali anymore, and Holmes was now the dominant fighter, and when they met in the ring, Holmes routed the fading Ali. Just punished him all night, until the ref stopped the fight with Ali sitting on his stool in the corner. No, the Cardinals aren’t finished, even if the Brewers now have a 4.5 game lead in the wild card with 29 games remaining for STL. Manager Tony La Russa’s team will rise again, and try to find a way to launch a counterattack. They’d better do it Wednesday night, with Adam Wainwright seeking to ward the Brewers off and at least temporarily staunch the bleeding. At best, the Cardinals will be 3.5 games out when they head onto the road for visits to Houston and Arizona. At worst, they’ll lose again to Milwaukee and be 5.5 out as they fly into the night, en route to Texas. This is a huge game for the Cardinals on Wednesday. And oh, by the way: the Cardinals are also tied with the Mets in the WC race.
– The facts are evident. The Cardinals won the season series from the Brewers for eight consecutive years (2000-2007), but the cycle has reached the end. The Cardinals are only 4-10 against Milwaukee this season, and have stunningly lost seven in a row to the Brewers. Cardinals pitchers have been rocked for 13 homers in those 7 losses. And the Cardinals have scrimped for an average of 2.18 runs in those seven bangups.
– With so much at stake, it was shocking to see the Cardinals play such sloppy, listless baseball on Tuesday night. Albert Pujols and Rick Ankiel each made an error and AP’s allowed a run to score. Cardinals’ batters went 1 for 7 with runners in scoring position in the first four innings, when it was still a contest. (And that one hit, a single by Aaron Miles, didn’t score Yadier Molina from second base. Pujols had a key miss early, flying out to shallow left field in the third inning with runners on first and third and one out. Elsewhere, Cardinals pitchers threw two wild pitches and hit a batter. It was just a dreadful performance in every way by the home team.
– Nothing new there; the Cardinals are now a glaringly mediocre 15-19 at Busch since June 2.
– Ankiel was 0-2 with runners in scoring position Tuesday, and clearly hasn’t been the same hitter since being slowed by an abdominal injury nearly a month ago. Since Aug. 2, Ankiel is 8 for 45 (that’s .178) with a .296 OBP and a .311 SLG.
– And I’m not sure why TLR continues to bat Ankiel fourth in the lineup. Ankiel has done OK there but it’s nothing extraordinary. His batting line in 205 ABs as a 4th place hitter is .264 / .346 / .512.
– Ryan Ludwick has provided substantially more impact in the cleanup slot this season; in 192 ABs there he’s .307 / .387 / .620 with 16 homers and 47 RBIs. But in recent days, Tony has mostly gone with Luddy in the two hole, with Ankiel fourth.
– One of the problems is, it doesn’t make much sense to flip them because Ankiel hasn’t been effective as a No. 2 hitter, with a line of .236 / .295 / .458 in 72 ABs.
– This is a small sample (46 ABs) but Ankiel seems to be comfortable hitting in the fifth slot, with a .326 BA, .392 OBP and .522 SLG.
– La Russa likes that danger in the two spot, but with the way the roster has shaped up late in the season, he’s limited by what he can do there because of Ankiel’s struggles. Ludwick has been outstanding as a No. 2 hitter (.340 / .395 / .698 ) but if he bats second, it leaves a void at cleanup. Troy Glaus isn’t good at No. 4, either.
– Maybe TLR should consider backloading the lineup by using his second baseman in the two hole. Adam Kennedy is batting .375 as a No. 2 hitter this season (in only 56 ABs) and Aaron Miles is a .364 hitter in the two hole (140 ABs). If you go, say, Miles as the No. 2 hitter then you can pack a lot of punch in the 3-4-5-6-7 spots with a procession of Pujols, Ludwick, Ankiel, Glaus and Yadier Molina … or something like that; flip Ankiel and Glaus if you’d like.
– One more thing: I simply do not understand what the Cardinals are trying to do in their approach to Milwaukee bopper Ryan Braun. This kid simply murders them, and the numbers almost read like fiction.
– In 57 ABs vs. the Cardinals this season Braun has 28 hits for a .491 BA. He’s slammed 7 homers and has 13 RBIs. His OBP is .516, and his SLG is .965 …
– In his two-season career, Braun has 99 ABs against the Cardinals and he’s raked ‘em for 43 hits … that’s a .434 BA … and he has 10 homers and a SLG of .838.
– And yet the Cardinals keep pitching Braun the same. In yesterday’s blog I relied on the STATS scouting reports to offer a glimpse at Braun’s weak spots as a hitter, and basically you pound him low with fastballs and sliders and mix in the change. Or you can ride the fastball up and get him to chase it. What you don’t do is throw this guy any heat from the top of the knees to the belt; he’ll destroy you. And you don’t try to blast him inside; Braun loves to turn on those pitches in. So what do the Cardinals keep doing? Of course: throw the mid-thigh gas, and try to smoke him inside. That was their strategy Tuesday, and Braun launched a thigh-high fastball into the Milwaukee bullpen for a two-run jack. And he added two singles. That’s right: give it to Braun exactly where he likes it. And let the dude keep mauling them. It’s almost comical the way Braun slaps them around. And they simply refuse to alter their approach. It’s as incomprehensible as anything I’ve witnessed of this team in recent years. Yep, the Cardinals will keep showing Braun that they’re right; you just watch.
-B


Now that my friend is a blog entry. Untuck your shirt and call it a day.
Oh man Bernie; You nailed it. The whole time I was reading I found myself cheering…and at the same time thinking “why don’t they get this’? And the answer came. Because they are just like a stiffnecked pharisee. They (TRL and DUNC) can’t change because then they would have to admit they are wrong. That a lowly sportswriter actually has a clue. They’ll ride they’re philosophy to the bitter end and still believe in it after death. Thats just the way it is and ain’t (pardon the grammer but it’s there for punctuation ;>) no one going to change them.
What DG said. (Except the bit about the shirt…dunno anything about that either way.)
TUCK!
http://www.hardballtimes.com
Men LOB, goofy throws and booted or missed balls. Fast balls down the middle of the plate; what else is new?
what we are seeing is the inconsistency of a very young, inexperienced team. it surprises me how quickly cards fans get negative. this is a team that was forecast to finish near the bottom of the division. instead, they are fourteen games over five hundred and would be comfortably winning in a different division. unfortunately they happen to play in the central where resides the three best teams in the league. rejoice in this team of overachievers and picture what we look forward to in 09. if this is rebuilding - what will this team do when it is built? another hundred win season? this team was hurt by no trade deadline moves. a small move with lopez doesn’t really get it. however, without a pickup such as cc, i still think the team might be in third. i am puzzled as to why a reliever wasn’t picked up with so many available and some teams in need of outfielders and catchers. moe will have to do something about our abundance of major league ready outfielders. i see a significant trade in the off season.
Not only have the Brewers passed us but what about the Cubs? They are not only 9 up on us but their AAA team is 9 games up on us. The same guys that are untouchable for trades are 9 games behind the Cubs youngsters. If we don’t sign some free agent help at the end of the year it will be another non-playoff year next year. Remember, we have a lot of guys having career years, if the taper off next year we may end up worse off then this year. I certainly hope we don’t try and re-sign all of our pitchers, it is time to get some more consistent, reliable pitchers.
I agree with, Tahoe. This team has exceeded everyones expectations and this club is still generally very inexperienced. The bullpen is young and the outfield is filled with guys who are adjusting to the 162 game grind that the baseball season is.
In 2009 the Cards staying pat at the trade deadline will pay huge dividends. The Cards will have kept their farm system intact,and have plenty of cheap relievers from the farm system next season. The pen will be loaded next season. Parisi, Motte, Worrel, CPR, and at some point in the year Todd will all be in the pen. So now the Cards don’t have to pay a George Sherrill a ton of money or rent Brian Fuentes for a few months
Bullpen loaded next year? Pulease!
They should be loaded. Loaded onto a ship bound for Zanzibar. There were fewer dead arms in London during the plague than we have in our our bullpen/farm system.
Vince from Chicago
Good blog, Bernie. Last night really reminds of when the Rams finally defeated the San Francisco 49ers after years of being their punching bag in ‘99.
Boy that was ugly. It reminded me of seeing my older brother beat up by the school bully & my mom had to come to his rescue by hitting the bully over his head with her purse. Mom’s gone now but surely some of the Cardinals will have their mothers at the Brewers game tonight.