Flipping Over Felipe?
I was talking about this on my radio show the other day, and wanted to see what you thought….
Background: I wasn’t thrilled when the Cardinals signed Washington Nationals castoff Felipe Lopez, who brought a lousy rep to St. Louis when signed by the home team on Aug. 6. Lopez had been released by the Nats, and his effort was questioned by the team’s GM. It’s true that Lopez once hit 23 bombs in a season, for the Reds in 2005. But he signed a pretty fat deal and his performance began to deteriorate. Lopez looked done. Or he looked like a guy who just didn’t care.
When GM John Mozeliak signed Lopez, it was the only move made by the Cardinals to counter NL Central acquisitions such as CC Sabathia (Brewers), Rich Harden and Chad Gaudin (Cubs) and Randy Wolf (Astros). And the move wasn’t exactly a thunderclap. No shock waves. It was akin to (as El Diablo, Joe Strauss, would say) a dumpster dive.
At the time, I said that maybe Lopez would benefit from playing for a hard-edged manager like Tony La Russa, who doesn’t put up with malingerers. And that maybe Lopez would wise up and realize that he had to take advantage of this opportunity. I think I mentioned that Cardinald coach Jose Oquendo could be positive influence. I think a few of you mentioned that Albert Pujols would be a potential kick-starter for Lopez.
For whatever the reason, Lopez has played surprisingly well as a Cardinal.
It’s a small sample size and all that, but it’s difficult to sneer at what he’s done so far:
* 29 hits in 69 ABs, .377 BA
* .434 OBP
* .551 SLG
Lopez has displayed some pop, which isn’t common among the current middle-infield population on the roster. Lopez has two homers, two doubles and two triples. He’s stolen three bases in four attempts. He’s been spotted at four positions by La Russa: Second Base (12 appearances), Left Field (6), Shortstop (4) and Third Base (3).
What do we know of his defense?
Well, I checked the game-by-game Zone Ratings at STATS and here’s what I found:
- At SS, eight balls have been hit into his zone, and Lopez recorded eight outs. In other words, he hasn’t missed one he should have gotten to.
- At 2B, not as good: 26 balls hit into his zone, and he’s gotten 18 outs. That’s a Zone Rating of .692. Feel free to disregard Lopez’s small sample size. But Aaron Miles has an .811 ZR at second, and Adam Kennedy’s ZR is .860.
- At 3B, Lopez has gotten outs only three of the five balls hit into his zone. Does not bode well.
- In LF, Lopez has wandered around a bit … according to the Zone Ratings, he’s made outs on only two of the five fly balls hit into his zone. Again: small sample size.
La Russa basically has plugged Lopez into the role once occupied by Scott Spiezio.
Not that it’s a perfect comparison; the Speezer was used at five positions by La Russa. (1B, 3B, LF, RF, a little 2B). But I think you get my point. La Russa loves having guys that he can deploy all over the field, guys who come off the bench and can get their share of extra-base hits, guys who can switch hit to be of service in TLR’s late-inning strategic maneuvers. Lopez, like Spiezio, plays multiple positions — and is a switch hitter, too. Lopez doesn’t have Speezer’s power, but he’s faster. As a Cardinal, Lopez is 8 for 22 vs. LHP (.364), and 18 for 47 vs. RHP (.383.).
OK, so where do we go from here?
Questions:
@ Have you seen enough positives from Lopez to want him back in a Cardinal uniform in 2009?
@ If so, do you think he’s capable of being a desired starter at SS or 2B?
@ Given his past history of apparent indifference, do you dare give Lopez a two-year deal?
@ One year and a team option for a second?
@ Or is this goodbye? See ya?
My quick opinion: I think Lopez has a shot to be a consistent and useful player again, because of the various factors: winning team, Manager TLR, teammates who push. Would I make the leap for anything beyond a 1-and-option type deal worth around $1 million or $1.5 million per season? Probably not.
Express yourselves.
Interested in your thoughts.
***
While you mull that one over, here’s an update (not exactly a preview) of the Florida Marlins, who on Friday night open a 3-game weekend series at Busch. When the Cardinals went to FLA for a four-game set starting Aug. 11, the Marlins were 62-56 and only 2.5 games out of first in the NL East. They’ve slumped, losing 13 of the last 22, and find themselves 8 out in the division, and 9 out in the wild card, with a record of 71-69.
The strikeout meter continues to click at a fast rate… like a toll booth on FLA’s I-95 …
During this 9-13 stretch, Florida hitters have struck out an impressive (no, really) 174 times in 22 games, an average of nearly 8 Ks per game. They have fanned 1,193 times this season, most in the NL. And at the current season rate of 8.52 Ks per game, the Marlins are on a pace to finish with 1,380 strikeouts. And that would put them high up on the list of NL teams that struck out the most in a season.
The Top Five:
1. 2001 Brewers, 1,399
2. 2004 Reds, 1,335
3. 2007 Marlins, 1,332
4. 2003 Reds, 1,326
5. 2004, Brewers, 1,312
Three of TLR’s teams made the top (or is it the bottom?) 25 for most Ks in a season:
1,253 whiffs in 2000;
1,202 Ks in 1999;
1,191 in 1997
I’ll probably be adding a few more notes during the late-morning hours on Friday…
thanks for reading…
-B


I was just thinking about how much I have been impressed with Lopez the other day. I definitely think signing him to the deal you mentioned would be a no-brainer. In an ideal world, I would like to see the Cardinals try and bring in a top-tier middle infielder, but since I think that is as likely to happen as Todd Zeile being elected to the Hall of Fame, Lopez seems like a nice fit.
i initially did not understand the signing but now my vision is clearer. He remains a defensive liability though I see his usefulness in Tony’ss scheme of thing. A one year deal with an option.
HI Bernie,
If Tony Stays then the “Always On” attitude stays. In that circumstance Lopez is likely to be a productive asset.
Personally, I think the shortstop and second basemen must be substantially upgraded to a level of excellence. I am a great fan of Miles and Kennedy, but we need a killer bat at one of those positions. Ozzie was never a power hitter but sprayed the ball around and had a knack for coming up big when it really counted. His DEFENSE….. is still missed.
WE have a talented group of outfielders, the corners are solid in for next year and Glaus I suspect will only get better after having seen NL pitching for a year. Molina is the best catcher in baseball and beginning to show it with a bat too.
Short and second are the two weakest points with bats. We need a solid hitter at each position. I see Lopez as a good backup so where is the BEEF?
Driving 1590 miles from Montana to St. Louis for Sundays GAME…. Let’s Go BirdS!!!!
Tim Barksdale
Choteau, MT
Bernie,
To offer Lopez any kind of a deal would be a gamble. But, if he’d agree to a year with an option on the cheap, I could see keeping him around as a role player. I think it is brutally honest that we need a major upgrade at one of the middle IF positions for sure, preferably at SS. Not sure we have enough to package a deal for a quality SS, or whether any team out there will be willing to deal a SS to us. There are some decent names out there in free agency this winter, but I’m not sure I’d break the bank to land any of them. I think the bullpen has to be a priority first.
Bernie, I totally disagree. In my opinion Looser Lopez has done nothing but hurt the club. When Lopez arrived we were in the lead for the wild card spot. The club sends our spark plug, Ryan, down, starts playing Lopez, and they go into the tank. Lopez can’t hit nearly as well as Miles, he has NO range in the infield, and he doesn’t hustle. He strikes out, the catcher drops the ball, and he just stands there and lets the catcher tag him out. No excuse for that. I wish they would ship him out now and start using Ryan again. Then you might see some spark in the club. There is certainly no spark with Looser Lopez playing.
TLR seems to love Felipe. I don’t see it. Give me Aaron Miles. Miles gives tough ABs, contact, heads up plays and hustle is never in question. I could see the appeal to put Felipe at SS. He seems to offer more offense than Izaturis.
I like his versatility and think Felipe would make a good utility infielder.
I like Lopez a lot.
Sign in for ‘08, he’s an upgrade over Kennedy and Ryan.
based on factors you mentioned as far as influence on him, his play here, and mostly his 2 good years in Cincy….YES….sign him as everyday 2b. Speed, XBH…just what they need. Sign Furcal and it’s a dynamic offense.
Furcal, Ankiel, Pujols, Ludwick, Glaus, Lopez, Molina, P, Schumaker/Rasmus
THAT’S a lineup
SS and 2nd are both defensive positions!! If they can it, that is a positive, not a requirement. They can do much more good (or harm) with their glove than they can with their bat.
Izturis, thougth I hated the acquisition at the time, is a wonderful defensive SS. Leave him alone!
I wouldn’t mind an upgrade at 2nd, but their is a pretty good crop there now to chose from. I’d work real hard to develop Brendan Ryan for that job and hope that Brian Barden can provide some help as well.
I don’t like Lopez and haven’t from the start. He is hitting for a pretty good average, but I don’t sense he is good in the clutch, though that is supposed to be his strength. His defense is not good and that play at Atlanta, though Albert has taken most of the rap for it, will live on as one of the truly most atrocious plays in recent Cardinal history.
Give him one year at the max, but this is no saviour on a white horse.