Sept. 9: Dominant Cardinals
Good evening, good morning …1. Red(bird) Hot: After sweeping Milwaukee, the Cardinals are 43-19 (.694) since July 1. In MLB, only the NY Yankees (46-18) have a better winning percentage (.719) than St. Louis during this torrid stretch of baseball. It’s no coincidence that the Cardinals have the best overall ERA (3.21) and the No. 1 starting-pitcher ERA (3.14) in the majors since July 1. Meanwhile, while the offense certainly has improved since the acquisition of Matt Holliday, let’s keep some perspective. (I heard a St. Louis TV guy say that Holliday “single handedly” carried the Cardinals to their currrent status). Cardinals’ pitchers are 11th in run support since July 1. So it’s not as if they are winning games because the lineup is on a rampage. The strength of this team remains its pitching, especially the starting pitching. Kudos to pitching coach Dave Duncan, who apparently will be getting some national props on the pages of Sports Illustrated soon.
2. It’s the Pitching, Part II: The Cardinals’ starters have an ERA of 3.55 for the season. If that holds up, this would be the 15th-best ERA posting by a Cardinals rotation since 1954. And the 3.55 starter ERA would be the best of the Tony La Russa / Dave Duncan Era in St. Louis, which commenced in 1996. To this point, the best ERA by the starters under TLR/DD is 3.61, back in 2005. And the 3.55 starter ERA would rank No. 11 by a Cardinal staff since the pitching mound was lowered following the 1968 season. This season, only the SF Giants (3.45) have a better starting-pitching ERA than the Cardinals in MLB.
* ADD PITCHING NOTE: Since May 16, Chris Carpenter and Adam Wainwright have combined for a 28-9 30-8 record and a 2.21 ERA. Simply amazing. I go back to May 16 for a couple of reasons. First, Carpenter was on the DL for the first couple of weeks in May and made his first start back on May 20. Second, Wainwright struggled early on, and after being dissatisfied with a start at Cincinnati on May 10, Wainwright received some meaningful advice from Carpenter in a bullpen session. Wainwright made some mechanical/technical adjustments, and started rolling in his next start, on May 16. That’s when both of these guys began cranking out a sequence of great starts…
3. A Kind Word on Joe Thurston: The Cardinals’ utility man has been largely phased out since the team added third baseman Mark DeRosa and 2B-SS Julio Lugo. Thurston has only 22 at-bats since July 24. And Thurston had only 15 ABs from the time DeRosa got here (June 28) until July 24, when Lugo made his Cardinal debut. So Joe isn’t getting much playing time, and he’s only 1 for his last 14. Thurston may not make the postseason roster. We’ll see. But I’m a big believer in recognizing the scope of an entire season, and I won’t forget the way Thurtson played early in the season, when the Cardinals were really scrambling to find a way to fill the third-base position. From the start of the season until May 3, Thurston had 69 plate appearances. He batted .279 with a .362 OBP and a .443 SLG. And when he played in a game, the Cardinals went 15-7. He also had 12 RBIs as of May 3; only three Cardinals had more up to that point. Thurston played a valuable role in helping the Cardinals push off to good start to the season. I know it’s easy to dump on the guy now, but I think it’s only right to give him a tip of the cap for his early-season contribition. I’ve said it before: the Cardinals have pulled away in the second half of the season, and they’re going to win the division by a safe margin. In retrospect, it will look like an easy stroll. But it wasn’t. The Cardinals had to deal with a lot of adversity early, and guys like Thurston kept them moving forward until the pitchers clicked in, and lineup help arrived.
4. We Suppose He Likes the National League (UPDATED): As a Cardinal Matt Holliday is batting .379 with a .432 OBP and a .702 SLG. He has 12 homers and 42 RBIs. He might be the NL’s best all-around hitter since joining the Cardinals’ band of brothers on July 24. Through Wednesday night, here’s where Holliday ranks in key offensive NL categories since July 24:
BA: .379, 1st
OBP: .432, 6th
SLG: .702, 1st
HR: 12, T-7th
RBI: 42, 2nd
OPS: 1.134, 1st — and Albert Pujols is 2nd over this period with a 1.122 OPS
XBH: 26, 5th
Total Bases: 113, 1st
5. Bernie Bytes: If he starts, Rams QB Marc Bulger will have a chance to make a strong statement Sunday in Seattle. He can shut a lot of folks up (for a week, anyway) … Don’t look now but the Colorado Rockies have won 6 in a row and 8 out 9 and are only 2.5 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West. Question: is this the best-case scenario for the Cardinals? St. Louis finishes with the best record in the NL, the Rox win the West, and the Cardinals play the Dodgers in the first round… One thing, though: the Rockies and Dodgers close the regular season with a three-game series in LA, and Colorado is 3-12 vs. the Dodgers this season… Cardinals catcher Yadier Molina and Tampa Bay’s Evan Longoria have hit into the most double plays in the majors this season, 26. Molina is nearing the team record (not one he wants) for most double plays in a single season. Ted Simmons hit into 29 in 1973, and Albert Pujols hit into 27 DPs in 2007. Molina’s speed is a big factor, of course. But another: his high ground ball rate. This season when he hits a ball in play it’s a grounder 66.2 percent of the time; that’s the 15th-highest GB rate in the majors. (By the way, Skip Schumaker ranks second on that list with a ground-ball rate of 79.3. The Mets’ Luis Castillo is No. 1 on the list with a GB rate of 80.2) … the SF Giants continue to waste terrific pitching; they rank 28th in the majors in runs per game, and have scored only 26 runs in nine games in Sept. The Giants are suddenly four games behind the Rockies in the NL Wild Card derby … Giants pitcher Tim Lincecum indicates he’ll be ready to make his next scheduled start, on Monday, after missing one turn with back spasms. If Lincecum misses another start, his drop in innings pitched would help the Cy Young cases of Carpenter (especially) and Wainright … Rams coach Steve Spagnuolo made the right call to start rookie offensive tackle Jason Smith at RT in the opener, and the sooner Smith transfers to LT, the better… Blues president John Davidson tells us that returning defenseman Erik Johnson is bigger and stronger with a skating weight of 238 pounds as the Blues prepare to report to camp on Saturday. Davidson says that veteran forward Paul Kariya is in the best playing shape of his NHL career. JD describes Kariya as “ripped,” … Davidson also said that defenseman Eric Brewer is feeling better and the team is more upbeat about Brewer’s chances of appearing regularly during the season, though Brewer won’t be be ready for the start of camp.
Thanks for reading…
-Bernie


Nice job recognizing Joe Thurston, B. In a long season it’s easy to forget what happened at the beginning, and Thurston was a factor in keeping this team from falling out in the standings.
You’re absolutely right, it’s all about the pitching. That’s why I’m concerned about Pineiro leaving and St. Louis relying on Lohse at No. 3–a guy who has had just one good season in the last six years and a mere three winning seasons among nine as a big leaguer. Add to that the uncertain quality of the team’s Nos. 4 and 5 spots in 2010 (an aging Smoltz, Boggs and/or Garcia).
Agree Thurston, along with all positive contributors this season (personally, I don’t include Wellemeyer or Motte among them) deserves a tip of the cap for April and May contributions and keeping St. Louis at or near the top of its division. However, the big leagues can be a heartless biz to be in and I hope Thurston is not on the post-season roster.
As TLR has stated many times before, Holliday at the No. 4 spot just makes all the difference extending the quality and depth of the Cardinals lineup. Ludwick is such a better fit at the No. 5 spot than No. 4 and DeRosa doesn’t really belong at the No. 4 or No. 5 spots in the lineup. Take Holliday or even Ludwick out of the regular lineup picture and we’re back to having heart of the order production problems outside of Albert the Great (see SF Giants bit about wasting good pitching).
Hey Bernie
Does Duncan get into the Hall as a pitching coach? Has it happened before?
I agree with 100% with the kudos to the pitcher. What a great group.
Nice effort for giving Joe Thurston a pat on the back. But as I recall, he was taking playing time away from Brian Barden who hit .385 in April and won rookie of the month award. Barden cooled off, but so did Thurston. Thurston is a bad fielder, bad arm, bad baserunner, no power, not a good hitter. In summary, Thurston is the anti-5-tool player. Not average in any category. His contribution was a huge negative. We won in spite of him, not because of him.
I will say the guy provided the best hustle on the team and I do like that.
Bernie- It’s nice that you recognize Thurston’s contributions from Opening day to early May but let’s get real…
After that, (and actually before that), his hitting fell off the map hitting just .196 in July!!! You can’t blame anyone for Thurston’s riding the pine except Thurston… he’s very lucky to still be up in the majors…
It’s not due to a lack of playing time, he was benched because he can’t hit, (or step on first base when rounding the bag)….
Some of these comments are confusing. I cited what Thurston did for the first month of the season. My praise was limited to what he did early, when the team needed help at 3B. And he did help the Cardinals out during a tough time; that is undeniable. He really did a nice job for the first month. I didn’t praise him for the way he played after that. I didn’t defend his performance after that first month or so. I didn’t say he’s been a good player all season. I didn’t say he should be playing more. I pointed out that he’s been phased out and is no longer playing much. So why are you folks reacting to things that I DID NOT write? Why are you hating on Thurston? Can’t you just simply show some class and appreciate the positive contribution he made early in the season? The negativity is incomprehensible and reflects horribly on an otherwise classy fan base. Thanks.
-B
southernillinoisboy. Pineiro has only had 2 winning seasons and they were both 6 and 7 years ago. Hopefully we can find a way to keep them both.
People forget that Ryan Franklin was a good starting pitcher on a bad seattle team with an era between 3.5-4 and logged in close to 200 innings before landing in the pen for some reason. I say find someone else to close and use Franklin as a starter under his new contract.
Excellent article, as always. Nice call out to the posters too. It’s nice to see you care enough to followup.
Can’t wait to see the SI article on Dave Duncan. Will it be about the HOF pitching coach and the great job he’s done this year, or will it be about the PO’d Dad?
P.S. In 1969, Mike Cuellar and Denny McLain shared the Cy Young Award. How about Wainwright and Carpenter in ‘09?
Cain and Lincecum will have something to say about that Tone-Dog. Outside of wins these guys have more CG’s and K’s so it will be interesting to see how the votes go.