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02.08.2008 10:55 am

Decisions 2008: Who’s in your outfield?

St. Louis Post-Dispatch
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TOWER GROVE — Three years ago, the Cardinals were coming off a World Series appearance and on their way to the second of three consecutive NLCS berths. They boasted a veteran-laden lineup and a highly-decorated outfield.

Injuries limited the number of games the trio of planned starters played together, but when Reggie Sanders and Larry Walker flanked Jim Edmonds in the Cardinal outfield they carried a combined 33 playoff series, 10 All-Star Games, one MVP, 15 Gold Gloves and four Silver Sluggers out there. They also had the age needed to collect all that hardware:

  • LF, Sanders … 37
  • CF, Edmonds … 35
  • RF, Walker … 38

This spring the Cardinals start with little in the outfield but … potential.

In an article for today’s paper, I gave an introductory tour of the candidates and favorites to fill the three open spots in the outfield. As I wrote the article it reminded of last year’s starting rotation casting call and how the Cardinals had to sort five, si candidates in three, four openings. Sure there are some obvious leaders (Chris Duncan in left; Rick Ankiel somewhere). There are also just as obvious intrigue (Colby Rasmus to be sure; Juan Gonzalez).

There is also the obvious absence.

There isn’t an outfielder coming to spring training with the Cardinals that had 400 at-bats in the majors last year. The two leaders — Duncan’s 375 and Ryan Ludwick’s 303 — are both players with less than 1 1/2 seasons of major-league experience. More striking than those numbers, was this possible starting outfield:

  • LF, Duncan … Age: 26
  • CF, Rasmus … Age: 21
  • RF, Ankiel … Age: 28

If that is the trio of outfielders that the Cardinals finish the season with, then in the span of four seasons they will have dropped a dozen years from their average age.

Trying to recover from the lowest-rated Bird Land ever, we continue to the Cardinals spring training primaries — Decisions (in) 2008 – by asking who should start in the outfield? Should the need for a leadoff hitter be considered here? Can an all-lefty outfield work? Will Tony La Russa use one? Does Gonzalez fit? Here’s the ballot:

***

RICK ANKIEL, CF/RF, from the left: There’s really no need for lengthy bios on these candidates because they are so well known by now. Ankiel has raw power and could be an exciting source of 20-homer-plus offense. He also packs the best arm of any of the outfielders. No surprise there. At the end of last season, La Russa said he was excited to see what Ankiel could do in center field if there was an opportunity. He’ll be a starter. Where is the only question.

Heavyweight champ's endorsement in 1940 election

BRIAN BARTON, CF/RF/LF, from the right: Quite literally the rocket scientist of the group, who just finished up a semester of classes that included an advanced-level course on propulsion of something and yadda-dynamics. He had knee surgery to repair what he has described as a clicking sensation that’s bothered him for several seasons. He insisted that it didn’t inhibit his performance, but for a player lauded for his tools and especially his speed any knee injury — and any knee surgery — is a concern. The surgery was enough to allow Barton to slip to the Cardinals in the Rule 5 draft. They feel they have good intel on his condition and he said in December he was out running sprints, full bore, no problems. With the exception of his first taste of Triple-A, Barton has a standout stat: a better than .400 on-base percentage at every level, in every previous season. As a Rule 5 pick, like Hector Luna and Juan Mateo before him, Barton has to spend the entire season on the 25-man roster for the Cardinals win complete control of his rights. His injury makes for an interesting detour for the Cardinals — they could take a longer look at him after spring by sending him off on a rehab assignment.

Dole campaign button

JUAN GONZALEZ, LF/RF, from the right: La Russa wants to see if the former MVP and Hack Wilson pursuer is the righthanded bat he wants for his bench and perhaps more. Eduardo Perez says “Igor” is in great shape and rejuvenated health and less prickly demeanor. Jose Oquendo and Yadier Molina gave their thumbs up after seeing Gonzalez take batting practice. Albert Pujols was also there, and said this:

“Did we sign him yet? He looks really good, man. He’s got real bat speed. He’s real healthy now. We chattted for a little bit: ‘Hopefully, you get the opportunity to play and we get to talk more and workout together in spring training.’”

When Gonzalez played in winter ball he didn’t put up eye-catching power numbers, so there’s no guarantee the bat still has its charge. As Texas-bred assistant sports editor Cameron Hollway pointed out Gonzalez spent most of his career in right field; I was told he could be a better bet in left now. That fits the description given repeatedly to the Cardinals about Juan Gone No More: “He’s a new man.”

FDR button from ... what? ... his third, fourth campaign?

RYAN LUDWICK, RF/LF/CF, from the right: The incumbent on the right side of this contest. Proved deft at the corner spots last season and adept enough at center to make a few cameos there. His power is intriguing. His 14 home runs was the third most on the team. His 110 OPS+ — which is based against the league average — was third-best on the team among players who had at least 100 games. Looking over his numbers it’s doesn’t seem unreasonable to expect Juan Encarnacion-like production from Ludwick, making him a natural replacement for … Encarnacion.

Candidate formerly known as

COLBY RASMUS, CF, from the left: Well-covered ground here. Cardinals believe he’s going to be in the big leagues some time in 2008, unless sidetracked by injuries. That could be opening day. That could be July 11. Has a coveted blend of tools that include speed, instinct, developing power and polished athleticism. Scouts who saw him in Double-A and a few opposing managers I spoke to in the Texas League believe he is major-league-ready with his glove right now. That glove could keep him in the lineup in center while he learns his way at the plate. The Cardinals are keen not to put too much pressure on the kid, saying they don’t need him to make the major-league roster out of spring.

True. But they sure would like him to.

Anti-Truman campaign button

SKIP SCHUMAKER, CF/RF/LF, from the left: Always seems to be an underdog this time of year and 40, 50 days later is on the opening day roster. Is arguably the most gifted defensive player of the group, with Rasmus his only true rival and he doesn’t have the experience. Schumaker has the makings of a .300 hitter, though he could walk more and use his speed more. May have the inside track on being the leadoff hitter early on for the Cardinals because they can play him in right field in a platoon, or in left or center when needed. The twist this spring for Schumaker is he’s playing to catch attention from every other team as well. Schumaker is out of options and will have to pass through waivers if the Cardinals try to send him to the minors. That could land him with another team in the role he’s no longer content to have — fourth or fifth outfielder.

“I haven’t done anything,” he said. ”I’ve had one good year of 200 at-bats or whatever it was. That’s nothing compared to the guys on our team who have done a lot over a number of years. I still have a lot ot prove. One year doesn’t mean that I’m just set in stone and I’m on this team.” 

Colbert's mock campaign ... or mocking campaign.

Other candidates coming to camp include … LF/RF Joe Mather, LF/RF Nick Stavinoha, LF/RF Amaury Marti and LF Cody Haerther.

***

Coming Monday: Let the marathon begin — the first dispatch from Jupiter. 

-30-

16 comments

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Duncan, Schumaker, and Ankiel for starters (Skip hits leadoff). That is, of course, unless Colby tears it up in spring training. I am somewhat hoping that Skip can prove himself to be a solid leadoff hitter that way Rasmus can hit in the 2 spot ahead of Albert. Duncan could then be traded to an AL team for a starter (or a starter prospect). Sorry Juan, you are only in the mix as Albert’s buddy and possible trade bait to an AL team if you can prove that you still have anything left in that steroid-broken body of yours. Is anyone else concerned about Albert and Yadi palling around with this guy? What about Dunc and Skip hanging around Big Mac? It just doesn’t seem that these two guys would be the best influences on players during an era in which steroids and HGH use is trying to be eliminated. What do you think DG?

— Tom
9:10 pm February 9th, 2008

If Juan Gone doesn’t work out, I think David Segui isn’t doing anything, though he might not be able to pee for a while. If that doesn’t work out, here’s my wish list: Jay Buhner, Rob Deer, Greg Vaughn, Howard Johnson.

— Fuhrig
10:51 am February 10th, 2008

Barry Bonds would fit nicely into a platoon out there in RF or LF.

— Barry Bonds
3:41 pm February 10th, 2008

The only reason I include Schu in the mix is his ability to lead off: I think of Duncan as a platoon left fielder– at best. No matter how you sell it– he’s simply not very good defensively– and he doesn’t hit consistently to be a regular. I know he’s got the power and maybe hasn’t had enough of a chance– I’m just not convinced. I would be most happy if he was traded and we go with an outfield of Barton, Rasmus, & Ankiel (left to right)– but that’s assuming two rookies make it into the starting eight– which won’t happen.

Regarding the infield/outfield makeup: I don’t think the seven infielder, four outfielder option predicted by JS– Spiezo is not good enough in right or left as a occasional starter. I didn’t see enough to get sold on BJ– but I tend to see him as a second base option– not as shortstop. Part of my reasoning is that I see Duncan as a possible first base backup to Albert if he elects the surgery on his elbow. If this happens, the depth in the outfield is still there.

This is my 45th time around with the Redbirds in spring training. Suffice it to say, this team has more question marks than I can recall in Tony’s tenure. I see a probable fourth (maybe third) place finish– unless they hit the trifecta (twice): Kennedy returns to the player he was, Albert plays all year, Ankiel plays 150+ games & goes 30-90-.280, Glaus returns to the player he was, Mulder & Carpenter return to pre-injury form, and Rasmus pushes Ank to right field. A lot of “ifs”….

— allen
4:09 pm February 10th, 2008

Given the rights to Barton and the desire not to pressure Rasmus, can we assume that a tie between the two goes to Barton? Is it safe to assume the Indians would cough up the $25,000 to take Barton back if he didn’t make the Cardinals for opening day? Is it possible under MLB rules for the Indians to trade away the right to reclaim Barton in exchange for cash or prospects or … something … box of nails, case of Pepsi?

Could the signing of Juan Gonzalez be intended to send him to Memphis to be a gate attraction for the Redbirds? I just read in Strauss’ story about the AAA affiliate being unhappy and suffering dwindling attendance.

— Fuhrig
2:39 am February 11th, 2008

My five for the season.

LF Duncan/Ludwick - Platoon them until one or the other proves otherwise
CF Schumaker/Barton - Leadoff hitter platoon, same rule applies like in LF
RF Ankeil - With Rasmus on his way. Rick needs to learn to use that arm from RF

Gonzalez is the past, this team is looking towards the future. Gotta pass on him, would rather they ask Larry Walker to come back before Igor. A half a season to a whole season at AAA for Rasmus will help sort the LF situation out by giving all 4 of the above players time to show there stuff. Allows them time to showcase the guy that Colby is going to replace to be traded. Best bet would be Schumaker to be the one dealt to make room.

— clevy328
1:55 pm February 11th, 2008

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