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02.01.2008 12:43 pm

Decisions 2008: Who’s on second?

St. Louis Post-Dispatch
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TOWER GROVE – Although the snow is a nice sendoff for those of us heading south shortly, it’s only further confirmation that spring training is approaching rapidly. The only thing coming faster and with more anticipation is Super Tuesday. And that’s got everybody thinking about voting.

So why not combine the two big February events and hold the Cardinals Nation primaries?

Manager Tony La Russa and his coaching staff will have plenty of Decisions (in) 2008, from who fills the outfield, to who bats leadoff, to who’s on his bench, to who plays second base. Those players will have to sway the coaches with their play, their commitment and, yes, their experience. Sounds almost like an election. 

This PoliSci major — once dreamed of covering the Supreme Court, don’tcha know — was watching the cozy Democrats debate last night and thought maybe it’s time for the Cardinals candidates to take their campaigns to the constituency.

Today, in the first of a series of primaries over the next few business days, the candidates for second base present their cases, in their own words*, to the electorate.

Here’s the ballot, and rock your vote below.

(* Not really. The facts are real, but they aren’t actual quotes.)

*** 

ADAM KENNEDY (From the Left): None other than La Russa himself has said that last year was a blip in an otherwise strong and consistent major-league career. There were a lot of factors weighing it down, not the least of which was a knee injury — that was not the cause of early struggles but had to be repaired. The .219 average is a wart on the baseball card, to be sure, but it does not define the player. A career .275 hitter with a strong glove and winner’s savvy, has more experience than any other candidate. Sure, there are the recent quotes from La Russa and KMOX host Kevin Wheeler’s rather clinical assessment, but all that is motivation, reasons to reclaim a misplaced reputation. Just two years ago, this infielder had Win Share totals like Ian Kinsler, a .300 average, and back-to-back seasons of 70 runs. A career doesn’t plummet that rapidly. T’s crossed, I’s dotted, and that makes a starting second baseman.

Kennedy campaign button

AARON MILES (Swing voter): Each spring it’s the same thing. Come to Jupiter. Try to win a starting job. Never the favorite, but always the eventual winner. Happened with Junior Spivey. Happened with  Kennedy. Why not bet on it happening again? Started 134 games at second base over the past two seasons and it would have been more except for some moonlighting turns, when needed, at shortstop. Flirted with hitting .300 last year until a late-season skid. Still, batted .292 and slugged .353 from the left side of the plate, while posting a .368 on-base percentage from the right side. That number, at least, supports a platoon chance. Probably deserved more at-bats in 2007, a fact La Russa admitted recently when he said Kennedy got the benefit of the doubt even when there were others playing better.  Not the polished glove that others are, or the upside hitter others are, but has played the best when given the opportunity. Why delay the inevitable and just vote now for this starting second baseman. 

Miles campaign button

BRENDAN RYAN (From the Right): Stepped out of the prospect label last season and played well enough for the Cardinals to accept some of his unpolished attributes and attitudes. Was mentored by Scott Rolen and David Eckstein in the ways of being a big leaguer — from tipping the clubbies, to when to show up for groundball practice — and was famously yanked from a game after swinging at a 3-0 pitch. That kind of green won’t win the position, but his athleticism could. Adept at both middle infield positions, though most of his amateur experience (i.e., college) was at second base. Strong arm. Quick feet. Has been more a more consistent glove each season. Speed is a plus. Bat could be. Hit .354/.407/.456 in 79 at-bats against lefthanders. Plenty of promise. Will have to overcome perception he needs another year of Triple-A seasoning to be the starting second baseman.

Ryan, No. 13, campaign button

JARRETT HOFFPAUIR (From the Right): An underdog candidate who could play John Edwards* in this mix, reminding everyone: “This isn’t a two-person race.” Hoffpauir had his breakout minor-league season in 2007, hitting .300 or better at stops in Double-A and Triple-A. As a Springfield Cardinal, the second baseman had an OPS of .938, was the league’s batting average leader at the time of his promotion and was an All-Star. Remember the Prospect SATs? Hoffpauir: Bo Hart: Kinsler, which is to say at his high end he could add a low-order, line-drive punch. Has the best strike-zone judgment in the organization (fewer Ks than walks in every pro season) and could take some swings at leadoff sometime this season. His defense is average, but his bat got him drafted and his bat carries his candidacy to be the starting second baseman.

Hoffpauir, the underdog, campaign button

(* Not to be confused with Jon Edwards, the rocket-arm right fielder.)  

D’ANGELO JIMENEZ (Swing voter): First of the non-roster candidates who enter the fray. Has been with three other teams since his heyday as the second baseman for the Cincinnati Reds. In 2004, he hit .270/.364/.394 with 12 home runs, 99 strikeouts (!) and 67 RBIs. Bounced around and landed with Washington in 2007 before being outrighted at the end of the year. Signed to a minor-league free agent deal but cut from the mold of the experienced infielder who can play a lot of positions. Edges Miles with a 0.00 ERA in 1 1/3 innings of mopup, which might be enough to make him the starting second baseman.

Jimenez campaign license plate

BRIAN BARDEN (From the Right): Plucked off waivers last season from Arizona, Barden won college’s equivalent of the Gold Glove for his work at third base for Oregon State. Shortly after he arrived as a Cardinal, he explained how he saw his calling: It wasn’t at third base. Though he cracked 31 home runs in 2005 and 2006 combined at Triple-A, Barden said he didn’t have the pop to stay at third. He’d have to roam and increase his versatility. Second base could be the calling. Gifted with the glove, Barden is a career .296 hitter in the minors, and his past two full seasons in Triple-A he hit steady — .298/.361/.478 and .307/.363/.483. There’s a lot to like about his reliability and his potential, but spring may not be enough time for him to win the starting job at second base.

For kicks.

Next primaries Monday: Former Cardinals. 

-30-

51 comments

Comments are closed.

Tough decisions at the 2nd base bag. If Kennedy is healthy, he’d get the crack at 2nd base. However, if he is not healthy or, if he is healthy but awful, I’m going to make a quick change in April. I will assume that I as manager will have 3 lefthanded bats in the OF. SO (not Taguchi), it looks like I will have to make a tough decision between B. Barden and B. Ryan. Ryan has a little better K/BB ratio, and spent more time up here last year. However, I do not want him playing 2nd base because I believe he’ll be playing SS for us.

So in a surprise, I go with the switch hitter who continues to surprise and spend a lot of time at 2nd base the past few years…Miles.

Kennedy if he’s healthy and his usual self. If not, Miles (ONE MORE YEAR! ONE MORE YEAR!)

— Trueman93
1:41 pm February 1st, 2008

Great break-down. Definitely intrigued by Barton at 2nd. Would be nice to have a middle infielder hitting in 1 of the first two spots in the order. Then an outfielder could bat 6th (Juan Gone? :)) and molina 7th.

— kyle
1:45 pm February 1st, 2008

dg,
always love everything you post.. great job.. id love to see kennedy take it cause he was always great in anaheim.. who knows what will happen..

kyle - juan gone will never play another day of baseball ever.. he will never regain his vision to the level it was pre-aaron miles foul ball..

— juan gone's eye
2:07 pm February 1st, 2008

I have no faith in Kennedy. Hoffpauir needs more time to develop. Miles should be the utility man. Ryan should be at short (I don’t like Izturis). I’d like to see Barden given a chance. D’Angelo who? I’ll pass on the Reds’ cast-off.

— ExistentialHumanist
2:07 pm February 1st, 2008

#3:

I’m assuming he meant Juan Gonzalez as rumor has it he may be invited to Spring Training.

— ExistentialHumanist
2:08 pm February 1st, 2008

I believe Kyle was referring to Juan Gonzalez, who might get a Spring Training invite, if he hasn’t received one already.

— mikechamp
2:13 pm February 1st, 2008

Define ’starting’. My expectation will be Kennedy on Opening Day, Barden by the end.

— Joe G
2:41 pm February 1st, 2008

Doesn’t matter which Juan #3 mentioned - they both have about equal chances of suiting up for the Redbirds this year: slim to none.

— Todd Packer
2:53 pm February 1st, 2008

Give me Ryan. I like to make TLR’s stomach queasy.

— Stats2
2:54 pm February 1st, 2008

Miles is utterly lacking in qualifications to be a full time ML secondbaseman. His lack of ability to get on base against righthanded pitchers, his overall lack of power and speed, and his mediocre fielding ability should eliminate him as a candidate for anything but a bench role and as a pinch-hitter vs. righthanded pitchers. Look closely at his hitting performance compared with the two dozen ML secondbaseman who had more than 400 AB’s last year (as Miles did) and you will see Miles ranking in the bottom three in HR, SB, OBP, SLG.

Though Ryan is much better than Miles on offensive and fielding, Ryan bats much better vs. LHP than vs. RHP, so he is not a strong choice for a full-time position yet, either (over two thirds of the starting pitchers the Cards will face will be RHP).

Hoffpauir needs to prove himself at AAA for another half year at least. That elminates him.

Jiminez strikes out too much and his performance has been erratic the last couple of years, but he has the tools. He has a shot.

Kennedy should be the incumbent but his huge deviation last year from his usual steady performance raises questions about what really caused his decline. His hitting vs. LHP has been horrible the last two years: OBP .256 in 2006, OBP .200 in 2007, after a .348 OBPin 2005 and .349 OBP in 2004.

Barden is the best fielder of the group and his OBP and SLG are as consistently solid as any of the candidates. If I had to choose one player to play full time 2B, he would be my pick.

But I think this vote should actually be a political ticket, with Kennedy a lock to be on the ticket at least part time because he is entering only his second year of his three year “term of office” on the roster. So the question should be, who would his “running mate” be, to platoon vs. LHP, where Kennedy is weak. Ryan would be my choice. His OBP last year vs LHP was .407, better than Miles’ .368, and Ryan’s SLG vs. LHP last year was .456, far better than Miles’ .336.

So I’m voting for Kennedy-Ryan as a platoon over Kennedy-Miles.

— CardsWinSeries
3:00 pm February 1st, 2008

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