Trading up to improve MLB Draft
TOWER GROVE — If we agree that the purpose of a professional sport’s draft is to distribute the best available players to the worst teams, in inverse order of the standings, there’s a way to make the MLB Draft fit that ideal.
Why not allow teams to trade picks?
Unlike the other three major professional team sports, Major League Baseball does not permit teams to trade picks, nor does baseball let a drafted player become part of a trade until at least a year after he signs. (It’s called the Pete Incaviglia Rule.) As discussed in Sunday’s paper, signability continues to be a steering force in the draft, with some teams using their willingness to meet bonus demands as a strategy to snare talent that financially conservative — obedient? — teams pass on.
That talent slide short-circuits the theory of the draft.
The best players aren’t going to the worst teams. Sometimes the best talent is going to the most financially willing team. Good. Bad. Detroit.
The current issue of ESPN The Magazine spends a paragraph suggesting MLB reconsider allowing teams swap picks. FOX Sports examines the idea in greater detail, offering an article from Dugout Central about “spicing up the draft”. In that article, Jeff Moore writes:
What should be allowed, however, is a small window of opportunity (perhaps around 48 hours or just on draft day itself) during which time the rights to the player may be traded, much like is allowed in the NFL or NBA. This would eliminate the “signability pick” and the free fall of talented players to higher paying teams later in the first round. A team could draft the most talented player available and trade his rights to a higher paying team and at least get something in return rather than draft lesser players they know they can sign.
The Pittsburgh Pirates have the second pick of the draft, and they have been known to pick conservatively. If they had the right to trade that pick, the Pirates could select the second-best player with the second pick of the draft and then move the rights to sign that player for more picks, a prospect, major-league help … anything, something. The Pirates would be able to take advantage of having the second pick in the draft without having to equivocate or submit to signability threats.
No draft director wants to leave the first-round emptyhanded.
That means picking a player who will sign.
Trades offer another avenue.
“No question,” said Rob Manfred, MLB’s senior vice president of business and labor. “If I get the 10th pick, I should be able to pick the guy who is the 10th-best player.”
That said, Manfred told me he is against trading picks.
“As an industry, we would have to accept a slotting system,” Manfred said. “Unless slots are mandatory, we would not be in favor of that — of the trading of picks.”
The “slotting system” Manfred mentions is one that is informally in place, as discussesd in the aforementioned Sunday article. The commissioner’s office has already sent out a grid of suggested bonuses for the early picks of the June 5-6 draft. There are no penalties for not following the slot, but it is suggested teams do so. Not all teams do so. Manfred said teams “are free to go above slot, just as it is a team’s right to pay below slot.”
Such reasons would be, for example, taking a college senior with the eighth pick. The team has all the leverage, because where is the player going to go. But if a prep pitching goes at No. 9, he’s got a load of leverage.
The motivation for the slotting system and the reason why Manfred would be against trading picks in today’s system, is the integrity of the draft. The best-to-the-worst purpose. MLB appears hyper-aware of not allowing the players to dictate the draft or having “advisors” constructing draft-and-trade deals. And Manfred makes the salient argument that a team who drafts a player everyone knows it cannot sign does not have much traction for making a deal.
Without slotting “the possibility of manipulating draft order exists,” Manfred told me last week. “If you know you have to spend $15 million to sign a guy, that player’s advisor can say, ‘I know this club is going to be willing to pay that, so trade him there and here’s what you can get.’ Absent a mandatory slotting system, you have the ability to manipulate where that player is going to go.”
Fair point.
But it is also a deadly embrace — to squash the influence of signability and rid any need for a slotting system by trading picks a rigid slotting system is necessary.
There is room for another opinion.
Baltimore and Kansas City have top five picks in the coming draft, and both are going to get a crack at one of the few elite college pitchers available in the draft. If either team shrinks from the financial cost of such a pick, then the talent — which should go to the teams that, by standings, merit it — could slip. There are wealthier teams waiting. Why not give those teams the chance to benefit from that pick?
Milwaukee and the New York Mets have three picks before the Cardinals have two, due mostly to the free agents both teams lost this past winner. Milwaukee has six picks in the first 62, and the Brewers (already rich with young talent on their big-league roster) plan for a windfall. The Mets have three picks in the first 33 — and there is a going sense that the Mets are lurking for those signability slides. They certainly have the finances, and with the handful of picks they can take some risks.
Or, if trades were allowed, they could … move up.
Think if the Mets, willing to sign above slot, had the chance to package picks to move up in the draft and score an Aaron Crow or Pedro Alvarez or Tim Beckham. The team trading them the pick would then get chance to swap quality for quantity.
The argument baseball should allow teams to trade draft picks usually comes up when conversation drifts to ways to increase interest in the draft. That’s a noble goal, but the draft involves so many levels, so many unfamiliar names and so many moving, unpredictable parts that it’s a hard sell. Fine. But what about improving the impact of the draft? What would Detroit have had to give up last year for the chance to sign Rick Porcello? What is that pick worth, beyond the bonus?
Trading picks would add intrigue to the draft — and interest, too? — and a new twist to draft strategy beyond the pocketbook.
-30-


Derrick Goold said he was going to Mizzou for capital-J journalism, but after growing up in the Time Zone Baseball Forgot he was really drawn to MU sitting between two major-league cities. Goold joined the Post-Dispatch in 2001 after working for The Times-Picayune and Rocky Mountain News, covering sports from LSU to NHL and every level of baseball in between.
i think for trading picks to work, there would have to be alot more coverage of amateur baseball, which won’t happen. i think it’s pie in the sky.
Roger,
Why, in your opinion, would coverage — i.e., media attention — influence the impact trading picks would have on the draft? I would think the NHL draft is a fair comparison, and it’s not like the names swapped by Pittsburgh for Florida’s No. 1 pick a few years ago were household. But you can see the benefit a few years later …
dg
-30-
I think letting teams trade there picks would be great. Instead of trading for a “player to be named” you can get a draft pick. why not? And if a player is demanding more money that that team wants to spend but another team doenst mind it then, Why not? I just dont see a good enough reason why teams shouldnt be allowed to trade their picks. If they want a feeble farm system then thats their problem.
I would be more in favor of forcing the draft pick to sign with the team that picks him. There needs to be a cap on these signing bonuses. None of these kids have taken one swing or thrown one pitch in the majors and they want millions of dollars. How much money did the Cards throw away with the 2004 draft because of signability?
I totally agree DG. Baseball should allow trades in the draft. Even if only in the first round. A team like KC does not benefit at all from having a high pick with the way signability works and if baseball is worried about the player representative dictating where a player is traded, the reverse of that is already happening. You don’t think Scott Boras is having players hold out from signing with smaller market teams?? To maintain the integrity of the game and draft day lets really level the playing field. The other sports can’t be too wrong. Baseball is very slow to adapt, look at the instant replay issue.
I think it is too late for major league baseball to worry about amateur players being able to structure draft day deals. These players already have a ton of power in dictating where they are willing to play. As long as the price for major league talent keeps rising, someone will pay a kid with huge potential. I just don’t think it is persuasive to say that the teams will lose bargaining power wit the players if they have a trade option. The players have bargaining power by just waiting for someone to draft them who will pay them.
Trading picks isn’t what is needed, a cap on the signing bonus/ salary of drafted players would fix all these issues. If everyone can afford every player, there is no reason to pass on a player due to a sign-ability issue.
I like the idea of being able to trade picks, but how would that affect the current “compensatory” pick system? Several teams lose their picks by signing type A free agents each winter. Then again, a certain number of top picks are “protected” and cannot be claimed by the team who lost the free agent. Tossing the option of being able to trade a pick into that arrangement seems to be dicey. I am sure, however, that things could be worked out and made even more intriguing during both the hot stove league AND the June draft.
Another thing MLB needs to do is make the draft international, to enable teams to choose players from the Dominican or Venezuela or the like. Though I realize that would likely be fought by the teams who can sign a poor kid for a pair of Nikes.
One key difference in the MLB draft from the other major sports is the leverage the players hold. In the NFL and NBA drafts, the players have to declare for the draft. Baseball players have the option of going/returning to junior college or college.
One mid-30’s draft pick at my alma mater responded to his signing bonus offer: “My grandparents give me more spending money than that every month.” He went back to school, had a great senior year, probably slightly improved his draft status, but lost any leverage.
DG, I’m an avid reader but seldom comment. Thanks for the work you do to keep us in the loop.