Web Search powered by YAHOO! SEARCH
06.27.2008 1:14 pm

How Mulder Could Finally Find Relief

St. Louis Post-Dispatch
  • Email this
  • Print this

TOWER GROVE — Wrote recently about how Mark Mulder settled on his lower arm slot after first joking about slinging the ball from the sidearm and remaking himself as a wily lefty specialist coming out of the bullpen. As he thought more about it, the idea to drop his arm began to take root and germinate.

Now he’s throwing from a different slot, when he’s throwing.

So, about that second part of Mulder’s joke …

Hall of Famer Rick Hummel detailed the current blown-save shambles of the Cardinals bullpen in today’s paper and on Thursday lefty Randy Flores went on the disabled list with a swollen left ankle. One of the reasons the Cardinals’ bullpen appears to have frayed recently is the unsettled nature of its relievers roles. Kyle McClellan is the setup righthander, except when he’s not. Ron Villone is the lefty specialist, except when he’s not. Flores was the late-inning, lefty lockdown, except when he wasn’t. Jason Isringhausen isn’t the closer, Ryan Franklin is. For now. Etc. Etc. Injuries, inconsistencies and sheer usage have scrambled the cohesion that made the bullpen a strength just a few weeks ago.

Columnist Bernie Miklasz was earliest – and 4 a.m. is really early! — to dissect the bullpen, doing so recently at his juggernaut blog. He makes the point that Flores has struggled against lefties and righties, and that Villone has done well as a lefty specialist, or LOOGY. So, the Cardinals — in their quest to settle the bullpen by settling on its roles — must decide:

  • Does Villone and his .159 BA against for lefties mean he’s the specialist?
  • Does Villone’s ability to shoulder innings mean he’s the long-inning guy?

But an alternative should be looked into. How can the Cardinals spell relief?

M-U-L-D-E-R

The lefty was not strong enough in a bullpen session at Detroit to merit starting Saturday against Kansas City, as hoped. That means his major-league return has been pushed back — but do the Cardinals really want it to be against the New York Mets or Chicago Cubs, this week’s approaching opponents? (We’ve seen that Mets game before.) This is probably not the time for Mulder to make the 203rd start of his career.

But it could be right for his 203rd appearance, his first in relief.

For numbers of reasons, the big lefty’s splits against lefthanded hitters don’t offer much help in how he would fare as a reliever. Some select splits:

2006 vs. Lefties … .241 BA/.299 OBP/.361 SLG … 19 K, 5 BB, 83 AB

2005 vs. Lefties … .201 BA/.283 OBP/.317 SLG … 30 K, 15 BB, 139 AB

Last 3 yrs. … .227 BA/.296 OBP/.369 SLG … 50 K, 20 BB, 233 AB

Career … .263 BA/—- OBP/ —- SLG … 212 K, 86 BB, 1,046 AB

These numbers are skewed many ways. First, the kind of lineups Mulder mostly saw. Second, most of the stats are from when Mulder would acknowledge he was a different pitcher — some from when he was healthy (career), some from when he was pitching through problems (2006). He has described his current arm slot as not all that different from how he threw with Oakland, but it’s enough to possible dismiss his pre-surgery statistics. So read into them cautiously.

What could spur the Cardinals to consider Mulder as a bullpen option goes beyond the wish to recoup something from their investment, goes around the numbers above, even trumps the Cardinals need for a goose to the bullpen. It starts where so many things do nowadays for Mulder: With his recent rehab assignment.

Before skipping his scheduled third rehab start with back spasms, here is how he did:

As with any rehab start, the truth is found beneath the box score. It’s almost better to go batter-by-batter, even pitch-by-pitch to judge a rehabbing pitcher. There’s so much the line doesn’t say: Velocity? Total groundballs? Bloop hits? Frozen ropes? Movement? Those aren’t columns in most box scores. But, when it comes to Mulder, a look at the batter-by-batter in these two rehab starts — with the new arm angle — does reveal something.

He’s cooled lefthanded hitters.

In his 8 2/3 innings on his recent rehab start, Mulder had seven at-bats against a lefthanded hitter. Triple-A Albuquerque had two lefties in the lineup against Mulder; Northwest Arkansas had one. Here is how each did:

vs. NWA

1st inning, Kila Kaaihue … Foul 91 mph; Foul 91 mph; Struck out looking. Curve.

4th inning, Kaaihue … Foul 90 mph; 3u, bounced out on curve.

vs. ALB

1st inning, Lorenzo Scott … Six-pitch, called strike 3.

1st inning, John Baker … Four-pitch, infield single to second base.

1st inning, Scott … First-pitch swinging, groundball single to right field.

2nd inning, Baker … Two pitches, 4-3.

3rd inning, Scott … 10-pitch, swinging strikeout, K 2-3.

It’s a tremendously small sample size and not the level of hitter that he would have to face in the role, but against lefties Mulder has held them to a 2-for-7 line with three strikeouts, no walks, two groundball base hits. In the game at Springfield, he was able to riddle the lefty with his curve coming out of the 2 o’clock arm slot that he’s been working on. He also was able to locate his sinker to what would be the inside edge of the plate to a lefthander.

It may not be feasible, or even agreeable, but it’s at least something to think about.

***

UPDATE 5:20 p.m.: This evening the Cardinals have activated Mulder from the disabled list and added him to the major-league roster. Look for coverage on StlToday.com and in The Post-Dispatch for how the Cardinals plan to use the lefty.

-30-

19 comments

Comments are closed.

Kiko Calero was released by the A’s today. With Parisi optioned, my first candidate for attrition is gone, but I would presume the Cards will give Calero a look.

— Vianden
6:41 pm June 27th, 2008

How naive do you think we are, Goold? You just happened to muse about putting Mulder in the bullpen, and two hours later the club pulls the trigger? You knew something and were just trying to make yourself look brilliant!

Seriously, though, nice blog. Five stars, five exclamation points*****!!!!!

— Fuhrig
9:09 pm June 27th, 2008

I was surprised to see that the A’s had released Calero. I thought the plan was for him to clear waivers so he could go down to AAA.

I would like to see the Cards give Calero a look-see; we’d only owe him half of ML minimum (at this point, about $200K) and the A’s still have to pay the remainder of his $1 million-plus-incentives salary. (Even if we had to pay the whole thing, it’d still be fairly affordable).

As for Mulder going to relief - it’s actually not that hard, physically, to pitch relief instead of starting - guys like Smoltz and Eckersley made the transition fairly easily. Of course, there are those like Rick Aguilera, who preferred starting, even though he was a lights-out closer, but who would always break down at the 100-inning point when he was starting.

But it’s really more about attitude, I think - which may work for Mulder, who apparently wants very badly to be able to contribute something to this team.

— Jmodene
12:26 pm June 28th, 2008

I like this move. Before we trade for some LH pitching help outside the organization lets see what Mulder can bring. I hope that TLR eases Mulder into the role, though. I’ve always disagreed with how TLR has handled his pitchers, TLR needs to put Mulder in low stress situations to begin with.

— emc2013
1:17 pm June 28th, 2008

The Cardinals need Luddy to heat up. When he is hot it rubs off onto the whole club. When Luddy is a threat then Albert is getting better pitches to hit. TLR needs to move Luddy to the four spot. In the four spot Ludwick has hit 9 of his 16 HR’s, he has collected 29 RBI’s and he has an OBP. of 371. TLR should consider moving Luddy behind EL Hombre and moving Ank back in to the six spot in the lineup. Ank strikes out to much to hit in the 2 or four spot. The guys that hit in front of Albert need to be guys that can work deep counts and draw walks. I’d like to see Luddy in the 4, Glaus in the 5, and Ank in the 6.

— emc2013
1:46 pm June 28th, 2008

Some observations about the season so far.
– The Cardinals are three games behind the best record in baseball. They have nicely balanced winning records at home and on the road. They’ve also proven themselves by beating a lot of supposedly good opponents: Tampa Bay, Boston, Philadelphia.
– The Cubs are playing barely .400 ball on the road. Their gaudy and probably unsustainable record at home is 33-10. If they were only a very good 28-15 at home, they would be in THIRD PLACE. We’ll see where the Cubs are when they play more road games and/or slow down at home.

— Fuhrig
8:36 am June 30th, 2008

Why was Looped lifted Sunday after just three innings? Strauss didn’t offer any explanation in his game story.

— Fuhrig
9:37 am June 30th, 2008

Fuhrig,

– Nope, no secret insight about this before. Just connected the dots and came to the same conclusion with the same dots that the Cardinals did.
– Excellent point on home/road records and the Cubs.
– It looked — to me, on TV, four hours away — that the Cardinals got Looper out before he really got into trouble. Looper has, as they say in poker, some tells. He didn’t have his stuff and the Cardinals seemed to want to get him out before the Royals got back in.

dg
-30-

— Derrick Goold
12:28 pm June 30th, 2008

Yes!!!! A good outing from Mulder in the 9th. Good velocity and great movement on pitches. I hope he can keep it going, we most certainly need it.

— Cardsballhawk
9:02 pm June 30th, 2008

Pages: « 1 [2] Show All