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06.01.2008 3:12 pm

Hit & running out of ABs for Pujols

St. Louis Post-Dispatch

DOWNTOWN — With two outs and the Cardinals ninth hitter of the inning at the plate in .369-hitting Albert Pujols, manager Tony La Russa wanted to push for something more than the five runs already on the board. There were a handful of reasons for them to a try a hit-and-run, including an obvious one.

La Russa digs it.

Back in 2005, he hit-and-ran the Cardinals into unexpected offense. It just hasn’t been that effective for the Cardinals this season, especially with Pujols.

La Russa has said several times that he loves sending the runner with Pujols at the plate because his best hitter is also a tremendous contact hitter. Through the course of his career, the numbers prove both: La Russa likes hit-and-running with Pujols; Pujols does put the ball in play. But how effectively? As the game is still going on here at Busch Stadium, we used Bernie Miklasz’s Magical Mystery Stat Machine (patent pending) and my neurotically detailed scorekeeping to go back through this season and chart the 12 times Pujols has taken a hit-and-run swing.

In a merger of Extra Points’ numbers and Bird Land’s notes — Bernie sitting in for a blog jam session (?) — we wanted to see how productive it has been.

Short answer: It hasn’t been.

But first a history lesson.

Again, mining Miklasz’s Stat Machine here are Pujols’ hit-and-run numbers since 2002, his second year in the majors (note: times are not at-bats; for example there can be three H&R attempts in one at-bat):

2007 … 25 times … 3 hits … 14 balls in play

2006 … 23 times … 3 hits … 10 balls in play

2005 … 14 times … 4 hits … 8 balls in play

2004 … 23 times … 8 hits … 13 balls in play

2003 … 8 times … 4 hits … 5 balls in play

2002 … 31 times … 9 hits … 17 balls in play

In the second inning of Sunday’s game against Pittsburgh, the Cardinals had Skip Schumaker at first base and five runs already in. Ryan Ludwick just struck out for the second time in as many at-bats and Pirates starter Ian Snell was facing his ninth batter of the inning. Naturally, La Russa signaled for a hit-and-run. Pujols fouled off the pitch. But the question came up in the press box: Not what Pujols had done with hit-and-runs this season but what he had done in at-bats even after the hit-and-run was called.

Out came out the beloved scorebook.

Pujols has been put in a H&R situation 12 times this season, according to statistics Bernie looked up. He has one hit. We went through each one to see not only the outcome of that pitch, but the outcome of the at-bat. (Note: K (DP) indicates a strikeout and the runner being thrown out for a double play.)

4/1 … 4th inning … Fouled off pitch. … K (DP).

4/5 … 7th inning … Grounded out on pitch. … 5-4.

4/11 … 1st inning … Tried twice: Fouled off, flew out. … F9.

4/26 … 7th inning … Fouled off pitch. … 6u-3 DP.

5/17 … 9th inning … Tried three times: Foul, foul, foul. … K (DP).

5/18 … 8th inning … Ground out. … 1-3.

5/21 … 1st inning … Ground out. … 5-3.

5/25 … 6th inning … Singled. … 1B.

For a hitter reaching base nearly 50 percent of the time and cranking out hits 33 percent of the time he hits with runners on base, the H&R hasn’t seemed to augment his ability to produce this season. Oh, and, in today’s game:

6/1 … 2nd inning … Fouled off pitch. … K.

***

Again from Miklasz’s Stat Machine, the other Cardinals and their successes in H&R situations, bearing in mind that the first number is HITS and the second number is H&R attempts (not AB):

Cesar Izturis 2-5 … Yadier Molina 2-5 … Chris Duncan 1-2 … Aaron Miles 1-3 … Rick Ankiel 0-2 … Brian Barton 0-8 … Adam Kennedy 0-5 … Jason LaRue 0-2 … Brendan Ryan 0-3 … Skip Schumaker 0-7 … Rico Washington 0-2.

***

Conspicuously absent from the above list of H&R is Troy Glaus. While we’re looking at numbers, a piggyback on today’s note about Glaus and his interest in hitting the ball the other way during his current funk. This season, against lefthanded pitchers, Glaus has put the ball in play to the right side of the field 41 percent, and 30 percent in the air. Compare that to 13 percent in 2007, and 10 percent in the air last season. Those numbers are more in line with the big-swing slugger’s career percentages. Against righthanded pitchers, Glaus has gone to right in the air 23 percent this season. Through his career, he’s usually hovered in the 10- to 15-percent range.

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6 comments

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Bad run of stars this week. After a skid of low GPA blog entries, Sunday’s starts off with back-to-back one star votes. It only stings a little.

dg
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— Derrick Goold
5:33 pm June 1st, 2008

Maybe with the weather heating up Glaus will start producing. Seems like when the weather got hot last year the ball just flew out of Busch.

Tough start for Parisi last night. He seemed to try and throw his fastball by everybody instead of trying to pitch “smart” and use some of his off speed stuff. I hope he gets another chance. He might develop into a really good 4th or 5t starter or a long man.

Also…. At the beginning of spring training I thought Brian Barton might become a valuable player. He seemed to have a good bat with some power. DG, am I right in understanding that if Barton did not make the team he has to be returned to the Indians? it appears that he has become a hindrance to the Birds. Instead of taking up roster space should Barton be returned to Cleveland and maybe clear space for Dunc or potentially Rasmus.

Whoever is trying to chance Ras’s swing should not be on the coaching staff. Seems like Ras was doing just fine until the Memphis coaching staff interfered. Great work and stats,DG.

— emc2013
6:53 pm June 1st, 2008

E=mc,

Yep. Brian Barton, as a Rule 5 pick, must remain on the Cardinals 25-man roster (or the DL) the entire season or be offered back to the Indians for a certain price. If the Indians decline to take him back, he was then still be passed through waivers (giving the 28 other teams a shot at home) before being placed in the minors. The only way for the Cardinals to take complete control of Barton is to work out a deal with Cleveland for his no-strings-attached rights.

dg
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— Derrick Goold
8:43 pm June 1st, 2008

Excellent blog, DG. My Dad and I had been wondering about that very thing–not only with Pujols himself, but with the rest of the team as well. It seems like that’s all TLR ever does. We have some guys with speed this year so why not try more bunting and stealing bases to move players into scoring position? On the issue of stealing, Barton has the speed (and I think the desire) to steal successfully, but when TLR places him behind Yadi in the lineup, he is shutting down his own potential running game, which I completely don’t understand. I’m surprised no one has said anything about it before now since he’s done it a couple of times here recently. On one recent hit that brought Yadi from 3rd and Barton from 1st to score at homeplate, Barton had to slow down and was practically running up Yadi’s butt by the time they got to home plate. Doesn’t seem like the best way to take advantage of Barton’s speed and makes me think that using his speed (and others’ speed) is not a priority for TLR. Your thoughts?

— ldomino
1:38 am June 2nd, 2008

Thanks,DG,for the clarification on Barton……

Idomino, I agree that TLR has not used Barton in the best possible way. He certainly has not helped him reach his full potential. At the same time there does not seem to be a good spot on the roster for Barton.He can’t hit behind Yadi for the reason you gave ,and he can’t hit leadoff because he strikes out to often and can’t set the table for Albert.

— emc2013
1:48 pm June 2nd, 2008

I disagree about Parisi– and I hope I’m wrong– but I’ve yet to see much to like about him as a starter. I’ve seen him in a few games for Memphis and his stuff does not impress. I would much rather see McClellan get a shot (at two starts) and either the now recalled Worrell or Jason Motte to fill Kyle’s spot. I would even rather see Reyes again…. Again, I really hope I’m wrong about Parisi– but he hasn’t been consistent at any of his stops– so why expect it at the highest level?

— allen
2:36 pm June 2nd, 2008