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06.23.2008 11:40 pm

Tale of the Take: The Mulder Swap

St. Louis Post-Dispatch
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TOWER GROVE — Cardinals forever rehabbing lefty Mark Mulder was supposed to take the mound for Triple-A Memphis tonight in what could have been his final minor-league start before returning the major leagues. And, in a coincidence only a sportswriter could love, a certain righthander, Danny Haren, was starting tonight in Fenway, fittingly floating into town in the wake of the Cardinals visit.

Well, Haren happened — to the tune of seven shutout against Boston.

The wait continues to Mulder.

At the same time Haren schooled Boston in a duel against Red Sox ace Josh Beckett, Mulder was scratched from his start in Nashville. “Stiff back,” read the diagnosis from the Cardinals’ officials. Mulder is considered day-to-day, which is progress for a starting pitching nearing the end of constantly rehabbing from two shoulder surgeries in two seasons. It’s not clear how Monday’s miss impacts the plan to have Mulder go three innings or so Monday and then jet to the majors in time to make the start Saturday in Kansas City.

It’s been clear for awhile what Oakland got out of the Mulder deal.

Before the 2005 season, the Cardinals sent Haren, reliever Kiko Calero and prospect Daric Barton to the Athletics for Mulder. The lefty had been one of the winningest pitchers in the game — the winningest lefty around — for several years before he came to the Cardinals. That and he was signed through 2006. There was a lot to like about the deal — even if it meant giving up the most promising young starting pitcher the system had.

This past winter, Oakland flipped Haren for a stockpile of players from Arizona.

Here’s how the deal worked for the A’s:

Turned LHP Mulder into …

RHP Calero … who was recently DFA’d after a 60-day DL stint.

1B Barton … blocked here, starting there with .227/.335/.332.

RHP Haren … went 43-34, 3.64 then flipped him and pitcher Connor Robertson to Arizona for …

LHP Brett Anderson … pitching in Double-A

RHP Dana Eveland … 5-5, 3.51 for A’s this year.

LHP Greg Smith … 4-5, 3.51 for A’s this season.

OF Carlos Gonzalez … .247/.284/.416 for A’s.

OF Aaron Cunningham … playing in Double-A.

1B Chris Carter… 20 HRs already in High-A.

As part of interleague play this year, Oakland visited Arizona — Haren even pitched against his former team — so naturally the conversation was about how the trade was mutually beneficial for both clubs. From the Cardinals point of view, it’s gotta be hard to comprehend the haul that one trade triggered for the A’s. Consider that for Mulder, the A’s got ended  up with eight players, including two members of its starting rotation, a couple rising outfield prospects (including one who is the majors now) and of course whatever Haren gave them with  the third-lowest ERA in the American League in 2007.

Of course, many trades can be mauled in hindsight, and the severity of Mulder’s shoulder injury and the erosion of his mechanics is far more than a mitigating circumstance. A few weeks ago, colleague Joe Strauss ran through the investment made on Mulder and the return in his Cardinals Insider. The absence of Mulder as much as the performance of Haren is what makes the trade so lopsided.

The physical reason is well-documented. Surgeries happen. As Kyle Lohse said earlier this season: “It’s not as if we’re doing something entirely natural with our arms. They’re going to hurt every once in awhile.” But the raw numbers, taken free of such context, are just staggering. Check out the wins, the losses, the innings, and the ERA that Mulder has posted as a Cardinal vs. what the Athletics have received:

MULDER, STL … 22-18 … 309 1/3 innings … 5.00 ERA

THE HAUL, OAK … 52-44 … 842 innings … 3.59 ERA

-30-

46 comments

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arguably the worst trade in cardinals history.

— Brad
12:24 pm June 24th, 2008

Apologies to Rick Wise, but two words: Steve Carlton.

In an interesting twist, Wise’s best win total as a Cardinal was … 16.

dg
-30-

— Derrick Goold
12:35 pm June 24th, 2008

i know that the a’s have a rich pitching history. with great success like catfish, vida, etc. but i also remember guys named norris, kingman (brian - not dave) and a slew of two year wonders whose ruined, worn out arms halted an otherwise promising career. unfortunately, billy ball (both bean and martin) requires getting the absolute most from young players before they become pricey. and often when they are dealt, they incur injuries. point is, when dealing with the a’s let the buyer beware. i’ve been in northern cal thirty years now, and watched the a’s win consistently often at the expense of young pitching careers.
my other comment is regarding the proficiency of the cardinal medical staff. their track record is not the greatest. derrick, i wish one of you guys would do an in depth series on the medical aspect of the game. people love medical thrillers and at least with the cards, the medical side seems full of action.
and last but not least, st. louis fans ARE the smartest on the planet.

— roger from lake tahoe
1:28 pm June 24th, 2008

I don’t remember the story last year about the conflict over the Haren trade, between tlr and whom, Duncan? I saw one of the responses and just don’t remember that story.

— Rich
1:32 pm June 24th, 2008

I can’t even say, much less type, the name Dan Ha… And I certainly can’t watch the guy pitch. It just hurts too darn much. That trade was a tragedy of epic proportions in baseball terms.

— Kyle
2:15 pm June 24th, 2008

It is natural to second guess a trade in hindsight. However, what really makes this trade hard to comprehend is that Mulder is not the pitcher they needed. The 04 series made it obvious that the Cards, although a great regular season team that as currently configured could pile up the wins with starting pitching, did not match-up well. This was because the starters did not make guys swing and miss enough. Recent championship teams (the 01 D-backs being the best example) had a top-heavy 1-2 starting rotation that could dominate a playoff series by starting 6 of 7 games. The 04 team had Carp (although hurt for the playoffs) and needed another front-end starter. So they traded for Mulder.

But Mulder was never a power pitcher who made guys swing and miss. I did not like that trade right when it was made for that reason. Anyone who could have looked beyond Mulder’s gaudy W-L record would not have made that trade and looked elsewhere for a front-end starter. To this day, I am surprised the Card’s brain trust did not, apparently, realize that Mulder was not the pitcher they needed. Hindsight was not needed to see this at the time.

What has become apparent with hindsight, as pointed out elsewhere, is the injury issue. Not just Mulder, but Hudson and Zito have not yet enjoyed the same level of success they had as A’s. And probably never well. I think that tells you a lot about the A’s handling of young pitchers. Not that the Cards are a model for player development and injury issues either. Although this trade was bad, would you rather be the Giants and have $126 million tied up in Zito? I think not, so take heart Cards fans, it could have been worse. S

till though, this trade should not have been made because even a healthy Mulder was not the player the Cards needed after 04.

— KY
4:29 pm June 24th, 2008

GREAT story. I’ve been sick about this trade since the ‘Birds made it. Of course, you never know until you know and, overall, Jocketty did more than a decent job as the GM, but a guy had to have seen something in him when he was a 24-year old during the ‘04 post season! Haren was nails! At the same, one has to wonder about Mulder’s character.

— Durling Heath
6:42 pm June 24th, 2008

I hated to see Haren go - I liked the way he went after hitters and he was a bargain compared to Mulder. But, I understood the desire for a lefty impact starter at the time.

“Impingement syndrome” is such a bogus diagnosis. So, he’s had two surgeries and suddenly he’s developed an impingement which was correctable during either procedure? Whatever. . . his flexibility sucks from all the scar tissue created during the two procedures, that’s all. He needs some Active Release Technique treatments from Dr. Leahy out in Colorado like Saberhagen had during his comeback (2 treatments, 1 hour, 4 mph - enough said). A lower arm slot may be in order at this point in his career, but only after the underlying cause of the problem is actually treated rather than ignored.

If the Cards hired Nelson Ayotte from the Blues, the team would be much better off as far as strength and conditioning goes - then maybe we wouldn’t have these largely avoidable problems to begin with.

— GXL
7:15 pm June 24th, 2008

While this wasn’t a beautiful moment in Jocketty’s tenure, the Cards did win the 2006 World Series. While Haren might have made the Cards a more of a sure thing that year (probably not), it’s important to keep in mind that the A’s haven’t gotten a whiff of the the World Series, and haven’t had nearly the post season success in the past 10 years as the Cards have.

But keeping Haren sure looks great now.

— Gavin
9:18 pm June 24th, 2008

Caveat Emptor!

Did the Cards win in ‘06 BECAUSE of Jockety, or DESPITE him? Watching this year’s resurgence of young talent makes it clear it was time for Walt to step down.

— Teddy Daniels
9:31 pm June 24th, 2008

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