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08.22.2008 12:50 pm

Give this man the Gold

St. Louis Post-Dispatch
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TOWER GROVE — It took the record holder, fittingly, to clue me into the record challenger and just what this newcomer could pull off this season.

A few weeks ago, Ken Reitz pulled me aside at the ballpark with a simple question: “Hey, how many errors does Glaus have?” The answer then is the same as it is now: Five. Glaus being third baseman Troy Glaus, of course, and errors being of chief interest to Reitz, who just happen to once own the National League record for fewest errors at the hot corner. In 1977, Reitz set the franchise record for the position with a .980 fielding percentage. He also set the NL record with nine errors that season. In 1980, he broke that with eight errors in 379 chances for a just-missed .979 fielding percentage. His eight errors and .980 fielding percentage are both club records, both eclipsed in the league in 2005 by Mike Lowell, whose six errors are the fewest by a player with at least 135 games at the position.

Both of Reitz’s records could fall to Glaus’ glove:

Glaus, 2008 … .984 FPCT … 5 errors

Reitz, team records … .980 FPCT … 8 errors

Lowell, 2005 … .983 FPCT … 6 errors (NL record)

The Cardinals have four players with intriguing Gold Glove credentials — from Albert Pujols at first base to Yadier Molina’s potentially snagging his first career Gold Glove at catcher and all the way out to center field, where Rick Ankiel has the highlights that tend to stick in voters’ memories. Not one of their Gold claims is as strong as Glaus, who is seeking his first. MLB.com’s Matthew Leach proved quicker to this topic with his well-reported discussion of Glaus’ Gold-metal chances today on the team’s official Web site. Lots of good quotes in there. Kudos to Leach for getting Glaus’ thoughts: “I’d love to be able to have that on my mantel,” the third baseman told the Florida State fanatic.

I come then not to repeat any of the coverage there, but to also explore it.

One of the recurring themes here in this blog is the problem with defensive statistics. (Down with Range Factor.) There are no fool-proof ones, only a lot of foolish ones. When it comes to National Leaguers, David Wright may have the better reputation at third base and he does have more total chances than Glaus (335 to 322), but that edge is misleading. Wright also has 90 more innings at the position than Glaus, 1,125 2/3 to 1,035. What is especially true for middle infielders can also be the case for third baseman — the hot corner on groundball teams tends to be busier and, therefore, the statistics better.

The Cardinals are second in baseball in groundouts, so it follows that Glaus would get  more chances than say Melvin Mora, whose Orioles rank eight in baseball, or Aramis Ramirez, whose Cubs rank 29th in groundouts.

Seattle third baseman Adrian Beltre’s Range Factor isn’t a wow (2.75, lower than Glaus’ 2.76 and Mora’s 2.94), but it lacks context. Beltre leads the majors in total chances (339) and assists (242) despite his team being smack dab in the middle of groundouts coaxed. Make of it what you will. Defense is better taken in gulps than in snapshots. And it is when the spectrum of numbers is considered that Glaus emerges as the best choice for the NL Gold Glove.

Consider the top MLB third basemen who have at least 500 innings at the corner:

THIRD BASEMAN, Team … Inn. Played … TC … ERRORS … FPCT

Troy Glaus, STL … 1,035 … 322 … FIVE … .984

Chone Figgins, LAA … 726 … 212 … FOUR … .981

Ryan Zimmerman, WSH … 640 2/3 … 216 … SIX … .972

Evan Longoria, TB …. 908 2/3 … 275 … EIGHT … .971

Pedro Felix, PHI … 777 1/3 … 250 … EIGHT … .968

Kevin Kouzmanoff, SD … 1,078 … 311 … TEN … .968

Ty Wigginton, HOU … 626 … 187 … SIX … .968

Blake DeWitt, LAD … 690 … 245 … EIGHT … .967

Scott Rolen, TOR … 771 2/3 … 237 … EIGHT … .966

Mike Lowell, BOS … 854 2/3 … 282 … TEN … .965

Alex Rodriguez, NYY … 878 1/3 … 257 … NINE … .965

I included so many American League third basemen because there really aren’t that many NL third basemen in the conversation. Glaus’ fielding percentage is not only giving Reitz’s record a run, it leads the entire league by nearly .020. It would take a profound rash of flubs for him not to lead the league in fielding percentage by a healthy margin. But fielding percentage alone does not a Gold Glove make.

Over at Bill James Online, they keep updated Fielding Bible statistics, and as Leach mentioned in his article, Glaus ranks well there. The most tangible of these stats is the Plus/Minus. It’s simple: The fielder gets a plus for a play beyond the average range and gets a minus for a miss within the average range. As far as defensive stats go, it’s muscular without being intimidating.

Here are the top 10 in the majors in Plus/Minus:

  1. Beltre +27
  2. Rolen +19
  3. Jack Hannahan +15
  4. Longoria +11
  5. Figgins +11
  6. Joe Crede +9
  7. DeWitt +9
  8. Glaus +8
  9. Andy Marte +8
  10. Wright +7

Again, Glaus ranks well against the other National Leaguers. A few more plays to his left (he’s a +5 in that direction) and he’ll surpass DeWitt and lead the league.

Numbers are nice. Eyes are better.

One of my prized posters in the college dorm room, located right above my desk, featured a certain third baseman fielding his position in front of a burning base. (Aside: Whatever happened to those punny posters of yore? Bash Brothers. Roboback. Chicago Vice. The Mail Man. Man of Steal. The aforementioned, Hot Corner? There has to be an El Hombre poster out there somewhere, right?) Third base has its defensive allure. And today’s game is stacked with guys who play it well — starting with Longoria, Beltre, Zimmerman and Crede. The best I’ve seen play in the past decade or so:

  1. Scott Rolen
  2. Ken Caminiti
  3. Robin Ventura
  4. Mike Lowell
  5. Eric Chavez

Glaus knew going into this season that he was stepping into the position once held by the best defensive third baseman of the generation — and some argue the best defensive infielder of his era. He said repeatedly he isn’t Rolen. No one is. What Glaus is this season is healthy. It no longer feels like he’s wearing his cleats inside out when he steps for a ball. He’s no longer wondering if this is the lunge that puts him on the DL.

The numbers are good, but the eyes tell us that few in baseball are as good as Glaus at coming in on the ball. Few at the position have as good an arm as Glaus. Sure he doesn’t get to his right as readily as others, but there are plays he makes in front of him that help compensate.

“He’s been healthy,” longtime teammate Adam Kennedy said. “He’s been healthy and he’s playing everyday. Troy has always been one of those guys who plays better the more he plays. … It’s probably the best (defense) I’ve seen him play. But I don’t know if I can say that really. I’ve always thought he was up there with the best.”

News Flash: He has been.

We can all be a little myopic — focusing only on the NL and the behemoth AL teams — and this an example of what we miss: Glaus played good D for Anaheim. From 2000 to 2003, Glaus regularly appeared in Baseball America’s tools poll as one of the three “Best Defensive Third Basemen”. He finished behind Scott Brosius, Travis Fryman and Chavez, but he was also the only third baseman ranked in the top three all four seasons.

Only the Gold Glove winner is announced each season, but major-league officials and agents are told who the finalists are, and an industry source confirms that Glaus finished second in the voting in 2001.

He has the track record. He’s ranging toward records. He should get the award.

-30- 

16 comments

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Nice fantasy to read. Since when are facts of any value in something like the Gold Glove? You’re preaching to a jaded crowd after Molina got robbed last year. Isn’t David Wright guaranteed the Gold Glove at third for the next several years, as long as he’s with the Mets? Most people say Yadi has had an off year a bit, though he’s still probably the best in the NL, so I wouldn’t be surprised that that’s enough of a reason to deny him the GG again. There will probably be a Cub-centric awards tsunami that gives the Gold Gloves to Soto and Lee over Molina and Albert. I could actually imagine Ankiel as the mostly likely of the Cardinals to get a Gold Glove, though he probably deserves it less than the others. Those highlight-reel throws have gotten a lot of play from ESPN, which is rare from something that doesn’t involve the Mets, Phils, Cubs or Dodgers in the NL.

Lately I’ve been reading people dissing the range factor as a stat? Can you give us some background? I’ve also read some comments that seem to knock Pujols for straying too far from first base. Is there some legit criticism there?

— Fuhrig
2:10 pm August 22nd, 2008

“Tsunami”? Fuhrig. I’m afraid that word is trademarked elsewhere.

— Derrick Goold
2:14 pm August 22nd, 2008

David Wright will win the NL Gold Glove at 3d this year. When you pick up the trophy and read what’s engraved on the underside, it will say “complements of the New York media.”

— Bill Cate
2:33 pm August 22nd, 2008

How did Scott Rolen’s numbers compare in his best years? Certainly Glaus doesn’t have the highlight reel resume that Rolen did but his numbers are impressive.

— Nick
2:35 pm August 22nd, 2008

Sadly, record-breaking fielding seasons haven’t worked out all that well for the Cardinals. Reitz was denied a Gold Glove in BOTH of his sub-ten-error seasons, as it was given to Mike Schmidt (that era’s David Wright) each year. Even worse, Jose Oquendo made but three errors at second base in 1990, only to see the Gold Glove, by default, handed to Ryne Sandberg. After last season’s atrocity, in which the NL catcher with the MOST errors received the Gold Glove, I honestly don’t pay the honor the same attention I once did.

— Frank Murtaugh
2:54 pm August 22nd, 2008

Compare these NL 3B lines from the same season some years ago:

1296 1-3 inn, 457 total chances, 23 E, 28 DP, .950 PCT, 56.36 Innings per Error (35HR)
1172 1-3 inn, 368 TC, 11 E, 19 DP, .970 PCT 106.58 I/E (5HR at 3b, rookie)
1133 1-3 inn, 393 TC, 11 E, 23 DP, .972 PCT 103.03 I/E (2HR, division title)

The year was 1982; the fielders were, in order presented, Schmidt, Sandberg, and Oberkfell. Schmidt won the award for the seventh straight year and would win the next two as well. Schmidt led the league in assists and double plays.

— Geoff [not Blum]
3:34 pm August 22nd, 2008

It seems to me that the GG has become an award that if you win one then you’ve probably won three, four, or more. Greg Maddux has won 17 GG, maybe he deserved all 17 of them maybe there were other pitchers deserving of the award as well? Some one mentioned Oquendo and Sandberg in 1990. The 1990 award was Sandberg’s 9th straight, Sandberg was in a big market and had proven in previous seasons that he had a good glove. It seems to me that with the GG we consider more of what you have done in the past, than what the players play and stats mean for the current season.

As for the GG deserving Cards. I’d say Pujols for sure, and I don’t think Ank will win it or should win it. He is a superb defense OF’er, and he has an amazing arm. But he still has some work to do, lets not forget Ank has not been a major league OF’er for very long. He still has some stuff to work on as far as taking better routes to the ball. Glaus definitely, but my guess is that Wright will win, because he plays in the city of New York and because he has already won it once. Molina is interesting and he has the fact that Soto has had a great year in Chicago, working agaist him, I think that Yadi deserves it, but will be robbed again.

— emc2013
3:36 pm August 22nd, 2008

Great points, my fellow posters. I’d also like to add that this coverage about Glaus, while well-written, probably is about 6 weeks too early. Of course, by pointing out all these numbers to No. 8, by Murphy’s Law he unwittingly will probably boot 4 or 5 balls the rest of the way and his name will be completely, and unfairly, out of the GG conversation as Wright will win it in his sleep.

— Three Fingers Maroney
4:39 pm August 22nd, 2008

The problem is that Glaus and Molina play in St. Louis and not on the left or right coast. If you look at the stats there are many present and former Cardinal playeres that rank with the great ons but are never mentioned or at least very seldom. The one that comes to mind is one of the gratestest left handed hitters, Stan Musial other people that deserve recognition and played in St. Louis, Joe Torre, Curt Flood, Lou Brock, Marty Marion, Red Scheindost. And remeber the Cardinals have one more World Series than any other NL team and have appeared in mor post season play than any other NL Team. Not bad for a \”small market\”, plus St. Louis wil alway put over 2 million in the seats consistently. I hope that Yadi and Troy get what they deserve but I don\’t think it will happen.

— Mike
4:45 pm August 22nd, 2008

Troy Glaus has exceeded my expecations at third. The balls he gets to he does not miss and coming in on the ball he is one of the best. We should not expect him to be Rolen in his prime as not many are but I am pleased with his fielding and his bat. A major plus for Mo in that trade…

— tkennedy1952
5:58 pm August 22nd, 2008

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