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11.21.2008 12:12 pm

Trever Miller vs. “That Tough Lefthanded Hitter”

St. Louis Post-Dispatch
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SOUTH GRAND — One of the assets that the St. Louis Cardinals planned to have in their bullpen last season was a sinister slider thrown from the left side that could confound and muzzle the best lefthanded sluggers in the game. It was a real, surefire strikeout pitch against lefties. The Cardinals had a guy who could throw it. The Cardinals certainly had reason to need it.

Then Tyler Johnson started feeling some discomfort in his left shoulder.

What pitching coach Dave Duncan said at the start of spring training was this:

“What we think that Tyler eventually will be able to do is on a very consistent basis is really go in and dominate that tough lefthanded hitter.”

Not-yet-signed, sealed LHP Trever Miller, shown here delivering.

Not-yet-signed, sealed LHP Trever Miller, shown here delivering.

They spent the season looking for somebody who could do that. Randy Flores didn’t have that kind of pitch. Ron Villone didn’t have that kind of role. The Cardinals, therefore, never had that kind of asset in their bullpen. Enter Trever Miller. The deal may not have been completed on the day as advertised — oddly, ESPN already has the Cardinals’ backdrop on Miller’s player page — but adding Miller to the bullpen would add that lefty shutdown specialist the new, repurposed Cardinals’ bullpen wants. As Duncan said a few weeks, on the eve of free agency, he would like to have an arm available late in the game that come in and face the Ryan Howards of the world.

Columnist Bernie Miklasz illuminated us on one element of Miller’s game that is key to the Cardinals’ interest (the ability to strand inherited runners). And back in the “Know Your LOOGYs” entry we discussed some of Miller’s virtues. The picture in that entry and to the right here shows how his lower arm-slot delivery helps make him effective against lefthanded hitters — and maybe a tad more vulnerable to righthanders. It also discusses his Dunn-Howard Index, something this aims to expand upon.

Miller has carved a niche as that late-inning, lefty muzzle. Here’s how he’s done against some lefties that he’s had a significant history against.

NOTABLE LEFTY HITTERS vs. MILLER

OF Adam Dunn … 1-for-7, 1 HR, 0 BB, 2 K

DH David Ortiz … 1-for-11, 1 2B, 0 BB, 4 K

1B Ryan Howard … 2-for-7, 1 BB, 2 K

2B Chase Utley … 2-for-7, 1 2B, 1 BB, 2 K

1B Jason Giambi … 2-for-10, 5 BB, 4 K

OF Ken Griffey Jr. … 1-for-10, 1 BB, 3 K

DH Travis Hafner … 1-for-6, 1 HR, 0 BB, 1 K

OF Johnny Damon … 6-for-14, 1 HR, 3 BB, 3 K

1B Todd Helton … 1-for-10, 1 BB, 1 K

***

SAMPLING OF LEFTIES vs. MILLER

Travis Lee … 1-for-16, 0 BB, 4 K

Nate McLouth … 1-for-7, 0 BB, 2 K

Cliff Floyd … 1-for-6, 1 2B, 1 BB, 3 K

Hideki Matsui … 4-for-16, 2 2B, 2 BB, 7 K

Chad Tracy … 2-for-7, 1 2B, 0 BB, 4 K

Rafael Palmeiro … 3-for-9, 2 HR, 1 BB, 0 K

Jim Edmonds … 0-for-7, 0 BB, 4 K

Kenny Lofton … 4-for-9, 1 BB, 2 K

Steve Finley … 6-for-13, 3 HR, 0 BB, 3 K

Robin Ventura .. 1-for-3, 2 BB, 0 K

Bill Mueller … 4-for-11, 1 2B, 1 BB, 2 K

Brian Roberts … 4-for-6, 2 2B, 0 BB, 1 K

***

The complete list of is available over at Yahoo! Sports Trever Miller page — which, um, also has him listed as a St. Louis Cardinal this morning, just without the logo.

A kicker for those who read/scrolled down this far: A report in a Minnesota paper from many years ago contained an anecdote about how the Houston Astros, trying to reclaim a lost Rule 5 pick, offered Miller to Minnesota in exchange for a young lefthander named Johan Santana.

-30-

5 comments

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McLouth has killed us; Miller has had success against him. Also some against Jimmy– in the event he re signs with Chicago. I hope he signs as the first part of solving the bullpen. Cards still need another starter as well as infield help.

— Allen
1:18 pm November 21st, 2008

Derrick,

I definitely think that this is a good pickup for us. He fills a need. I thikn that Villone would have been fine if they kept him in the LOOGY role, however Miller is definitely better. What do you think the holdup is and when will it be taken care of? Are there any other things close to happening?

Thanks

— GEO123
2:00 pm November 21st, 2008

DG, with the “language” of the contract being an issue, is there any chance the Miller signing doesn’t happen? Anything on what the holdup with signing Miller is?

I like the potential signing of Miller. I’m a big Jeremy Affeldt fan, but when you begin to compare the career stats of Miller and Affeldt, Miller clearly has produced against LH batters over the course of his career. Affeldt hasn’t. When you compare production against LH batters, Miller has shown he can produce against LH batters. Signing Miller is taking less of a risk than signing Affeldt.

— emc2013
2:39 pm November 21st, 2008

GO FOR BROKE, trade and lock up Peavy for four years. Compared to other pitchers he’s a steal, and he wants to come here.
Regarding Carpenter, hope for the best but plan for the worse.

But a Wainwright/Peavy as a one two punch, with Lohse and hopefully Carpenter will make this the best starting rotation in the NL.

Besides- Cards paid

Loshe 41 million over 4 years for a
(career) 78-80 4.67 ERA
(last year) 1.30whip 3.78 ERA (his best)

Trade anyone but Albert and Rasmus for
Peavy -
(career) 86-62 1.19whip .232BAA 3.25 ERA
(last year) 10-11 1.18whip .229BAA 2.85 ERA

2009 opening day age: 27
2009 salary: $11 million
2010 salary: $15 million
2011 salary: $16 million
2012 salary: $17 million

This guy is a stud on a bad team, MO has to work a deal.
Remember how the D-Backs won with Schilling/Johnson or the Braves with Smoltz, Glavine, Maddux. It’s a no-brainer. Get three starters with Wainwright, Peavy and Carpenter and let TLR change the line-up every night and win with pitching.

It’s also the best thing to do fiscally. Give your team a chance to win 4 out of every 5 games - and the fans will hit the turn-style.

I even promise to buy a Peavy shirt.

starting rotation-
1-Peavy
2-Wainwright
3-Carp
4-Lohse
5-Joe the Plummer for all I care

See ya Lugnut and Skippy, throw in 5 other players, I don’t care, just get Peavy for 4 years and win a world series.

get the word out!

— CubsREEK
12:07 am November 23rd, 2008

Speaking of Tyler Johnson, does anyone know what his status is for next year? I haven’t heard about him since March.

— dan
5:50 pm November 23rd, 2008