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06.25.2009 9:33 am

EW Gateway report: Recession, housing slump bad in St. Louis, but could be worse

St. Louis Post-Dispatch
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The recession, and the housing crisis that triggered it, have hit St. Louis hard. But other places have it worse.

That’s the nut of a new report out this week from the East-West Gateway Council of Governments, which regularly compares St. Louis to 34 other metro areas on a host of economic and social indicators.

The agency updated their figures recently, and issued their findings at a meeting Wednesday. Here’s a few highlights.

Job growth here has been slow (well, actually, it’s negative). Down 4.1 percent from April 2008 to April 2009, putting us 22nd out of 35 metro areas East West Gateway measures. Our unemployment rate of 8 percent in April, however, was a bit below the national average (8.2 percent).

The region’s “gross metropolitan product” - the sum of all goods produced here - has fallen 4.6 percent from its peak. That’s 30th out of the 35 areas East-West Gateway measures. Not good.

But St. Louis fares better on housing market indicators. It ranks 22nd on percent change in median home prices and 16th in change in number of single family building permits (down 65.4 percent, slightly better than average). And in terms of bank-owned properties, St. Louis is well below average, with 2.2 per 1,000, a sign that the foreclosure crisis has not hit has hard here as some places, or that banks are able to re-sell properties fairly quickly.

Anyway, the full presentation is online, available here. Check it out.

Also, see our story from last week on a similar study by the Brookings Institution, which ranked St. Louis 49th out of the 100 biggest metro areas on how it’s weathering the recession.

P.S. Are you on Twitter? We are. Keep up with the latest on St. Louis development and real estate news by following us here.

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7 comments

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It could be worse. It could be raining.

Yeah, more rosy hyperbole from junk propagandists. It’s a recession when your neighbor loses their job and depression when you lose yours. The EA Gateway still has jobs. Go figure.

— It could be worse
11:14 am June 25th, 2009

Well, we’re not number 1 here at least.

http://www.thepittsburghchannel.com/family/19844389/detail.html

— AJ
11:48 am June 25th, 2009

No, it’s a depression when all of your neighbors have lost their jobs. Just because you lost your job doesn’t mean the country is in a depression. The current unemployment rate is too high, but it’s no where near what you’d find in a depression. Let’s try to put the pain in perspective. We could be facing 25% unemployment, soup kitchens on every corner and white collar professionals selling fruit from a cart. Things are bad, but they could be much worse.

— Joseph
12:24 pm June 25th, 2009

Yeah, it could be worse. If it weren’t for the millions on “funemployment” as the media calls it, we’d have some pretty depressed citizens. Funny how when Bush was in 5% unemployment was the indicator of a terrible economy, but when O is in, we get “funemployment” stories. Wasn’t it just weeks ago, O told his constituents in Hollywood that the economy had “turned a corner”?

— Bryan
3:09 pm June 25th, 2009

And Barney Frank is trying to get the Fannie and Freddie to lower credit restrictions to increase lending to high risk borrowers again. Does it get any better than this?

— Bryan
3:10 pm June 25th, 2009

Exactly how does a report drawing upon nationally recognized authoritative data constitute “rosy hyperbole and junk propaganda”? Check out the presentation before you start throwing accusations around and then tell us where the data has been misconstrued?

— ch3m
3:51 pm June 25th, 2009

Here’s where the data is wrong; during the depression, unemployment figures were reported correctly (all people unemployed were counted). Now, as soon as an unemployed person falls off the unemployment rolls, they dissapear. They are no longer included in the total! Comparing any future reported unemployment figures to reported historical basis is absurd.
Go to this website if you want to learn more about government reports vs. the real state of the union;
http://www.shadowstats.com
As far as housing, it is estimated over 1/3 of foreclosures which have happened thusfar are not even on bank books. Banks simply cannot show the negative assets on their ledgers lest they commit suicide. We are only half way through adjustable mortgage resets, with a wave as big as the last set to adjust right now. Rapidly rising default rates have invaded both the Alt-A and prime mortgage sectors. Subprime has actually returned to fairly normal default rates. That means the foreclosure trend is moving from poorer areas into middle and upper middle class areas.
Looks like we are at a crossroads. Suburban propogation is no longer sustainable. We have enough houses, so why keep building new ones farther and farther out? The urban core revitalization that McKee proposes will be a national movement within a decade. For once, STL might actually be ahead of the curve.

— bigbux
2:09 am June 26th, 2009