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12.01.2008 9:24 am

After Thanksgiving, it’s time to talk turkey

St. Louis Post-Dispatch
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I see that plenty of time spent watching bad football teams play on Thanksgiving (and on Sunday) has you anxious for some baseball movement. Between today and Dec. 15, I guarantee you some action although it may not be exactly what you want.

Q: Mr. Hummel,
I appreciate the opportunity to ask you a few questions and share a few comments of my own.
Question 1: If the Cardinals are unwilling to sign pitchers with expensive contract demands and pitchers with prior injury concerns, i.e. Brad Penny and Freddy Garcia, then realistically, what would be the profile of the type of pitcher they would sign?  And who is available that would meet that profile?
Question 2: Out of the possible SS that might be available–K. Greene, Bobby Crosby, Edgar Renteria, and Orlando Cabrera, who intersts you the most?  And how much and how many years do you think Renteria and Cabrera will get?  Is it true that Edgar Renteria has lost some range?
Personally, if I were the Cardinals, I wouldn’t give Crosby the time of day.  Out of five full seasons, the man has played over 100 games twice and has hit over .240 once.  He could of, would of, should of been a good player, but he’s not and to boot he can’t stay on the field.  Greene has teased with his potential for quite some time, and has had his share of injuries like Crosby, I’m not sure if he’s worth what the Cardinals will have to trade to get him. Everyone seems to be down on Cabrera, but he continues to put up good numbers and I’ve heard that his defense is still well above average. Why don’t the Cardinals have more interest in him?

A: Brian, the profile for any starter the Cardinals would covet would be someone who is at least a middle-of-the-rotation pitcher. But I don’t think they’ll invest large sums in somebody like Burnett or Derek Lowe because they have other needs (infield, bullpen) to address. Somebody like Lohse of last year would be a good barometer. Lohse won 15 games and made all his starts. They need somebody first and foremost who has a good injury history and can make 32 or more starts. Count out Garcia. He got hurt in the Venezuelan League.

Your concerns about K. Greene and Crosby probably are well-founded. Renteria’s range certainly is in question. Cabrera is an option but he does not come with a great reputation as a “good teammate.” Furcal would interest me if I knew he was healthy, which nobody knows. Perhaps Escobar of the Braves still is in play as a trade target.

***

Q: Would the Cards be able to trade for Yuniesky Betancourt,  a SS from the Mariners?  He’s young a .280+ hitter and excellent devensively.  They don’t have much depth there, but they desperately need outfield help and/or a 1B. Would it be a reach to think we could trade Ankiel and maybe more for him?  Or after the season starts trade Duncan if he has reestablished himself?

A: Betancourt would be a sought-after player, but when you have a good, young shortstop who doesn’t make a lot of money, you generally try to hold onto him, so I don’t think Seattle would move him. You’re right about Duncan, Jake, because his trade value wouldn’t be much until this spring when teams see if he can play or not after having his neck injury last year.

***

Q: Commish - Thanks for bringing some interest into what I consider the down time for sports.  Question: Do you think the Cardinals will be able to obtain the quality and quantity of players needed, this off-season, to make a difference in their division and even further, the World Series?  With all I’ve read about salaries of prospective players, what they may demand, etc., will our upper management step to the plate to spend the money? Are we placing too much emphasis on Carp and his making a come back?  With all of his past problems, I’m guessing he may be an injury or two away from being done anyway.  Thanks.
A: I would hope the Cardinals decide in the next week or so whether they can expect Chris Carpenter to be able to go from Day One in spring training. Surely they have learned their lesson in counting on him and others like Mulder, Clement, to contribute in a large way. With the starting pitching market still ample,  the Cardinals haven’t missed out on anything really while they await more medical tests. Yes, I think they have the funds to make some sort of splash. But fans shouldn’t rush to judgment just yet. Nobody else has made a significant move either other than the Cubs signing Dempster, which was a foregone conclusion.  Don’t forget that the Cardnals were actually the first ones to sign anybody, nailing down Lohse the day after the season ended.

***

Q: Hey Commish,
In the never ending quest to uncover pitching bargains, I stumbled upon a starting pitcher with past promise and glimmers of hope:
John Van Benschoten, former 1st-round pick of the Pittsburgh Pirates, was 7-4 with a 3.92 ERA in 22 appearances, 80.1 IP, 70 H, 32 BB, 62 Ks.
He has an injury history and struggled in Pittsburgh, any chance this is a prime candidate for a Dave Duncan style rebuilding?
Michael Scriven
Springfield, MO

A: Michael, I think the Pirates are wearying of waiting for JVB but his 1-3 mark and 10.48 ERA with them in 22-plus innings last season isn’t very inspiring.The numbers you have must refer to his minor-league performances.

***

Q: Mr Hummel,
I sure enjoy your reporting on the Cardinals.
One thing that really gets under my skin is that the Cardinals continually draw over 3 million fans a year but like to come across as a small market team when it comes to competing for players that could possibly put us over the top.  They have to be making lots of money and they owe it to the fans to re-invest a significant portion of the profits in the team.  But, they prefer to look for, in MO’s words–”low hanging fruit”.  What an insult to the fans of St. Louis!!!  Another example of ownership’s screwups is the hole in the ground just north of the ballpark.  Cardinal owernership got the support of the city, county and state to build the ballpark and committed to building Ballpark Village.  While something appears to be moving forward finally, why has it taken this long to re-pay the taxpayers for their support.  It would be nice to have a showpiece for the All Star game but I bet we still have that big hole in the ground for the national media cameras to show during the game.  That’s a disgrace but just another indication of ownership’s lack of loyalty to the fans.  Shameful!!!!!

A: Charlie, rest assured there will be something covering the “big hole,” at the All-Star Game, probably in the form of some sort of hospitality area on the east side of the lot. Yes, the Cardinals draw three million fans but their payroll also is in excess of $100 million, which is significant considering they don’t have nearly the television monies that such teams as the Yankees, Mets, Angels,  Dodgers, Cubs and Red Sox have. But should they spend more money? Probably. Let’s see what happens in the next two weeks.

***

Q: Since the topic of Cardinals’ coverage was broached in your most recent Q and A, how about this one: Would you prefer to cover the Cardinals on a daily basis as you did for many years or be the national writer/columnist as you are now?
Larry Harnly, Springfield, Ill.

A: Larry, I’m happy doing what I’m doing. I’m not sure I would have the stamina to do the beat on a full-time basis anymore. I do, however, enjoy making a few trips a season and touring camps in Arizona and Florida in the spring. Our beat is in good hands here.

***
Q: Dear Mr. Hummel:
Out all of the blown saves the Cardinals bullpen had last year, how many did we actually lose? And is a team credited with a “blown save” for each save that is blown in one game. Example: Springer blows a lead in the 8th and we get the lead back, but Izzy blows the lead again in the 9th. Does that count as 1 blown save in the stat column or as 2.
thanks
-Mike
A: Mike, you can get as many blown saves in a game as you have different late-inning leads that you squander with a different pitcher on the mound. Occasionally,  the Cardinals would have two blown saves in a game but might not even lose the game. The fact that both the bullpen loss and blown save totals added to 31 is significant but not all-inclusive.
***
Q:
Commish,
Greetings from Quincy, and congratulations on joining the QHS Hall of Fame! My question for you today is about Brett Wallace. I think I’m one of a handful of people that thinks he can make it as a 3B in the majors. He has a great stick, a solid arm with accuracy, can go back and forth well. One spring with Oquendo and I think he’ll be an above average 3B at the Major League level. What do you think about him sticking at 3B for us? And, if Wallace has a great Spring and Rasmus struggles, do you forsee Wallace making the team as the LF? I know, it’s a complete change of what I just asked, but Glaus is locked in at third and left is the only true open spot. Do you think that would be a possibility, or is he ticketed for Springfield or Memphis no matter what?
A: Thanks,  Joel. If Wallace progresses as quickly as he did in his first season of pro ball, he’ll be here in anotoher year or so. I would expect him to start the season at  Springfield, with Freese still at Memphis, but I think Wallace’s bat ultimately might give him the edge in the race to the majors. I’m not sure he is versatile enough to play left field, so third base would be his spot.
***
Q: Mr. Commish, I find your priorities for the off-season strategy interesting. Why would you, along with a lot of other people, not have the need for a dependable closer #1 on your list?  You can spin all the stats you want for 2008, but plain and simple, 31 blown saves cost us a spot in the playoffs. Are you convinced that one of our young relievers is ready to close?  I’d feel much more confident with a dependable, proven veteran in that role.  Heaven forbid we do nothing in this area, then suffer through the same late inining nightmares we experienced in 2008.  I appreciate you sharing your thought with the best fan base in MLB.
A: Rich, I think a veteran who can close will be added but I also feel confident that Perez and/or Motte could be closers sometime into next season. Having said that, I don’t think it makes sense to invest a lot of years and a lot of dollars in a closer when you might not need one from outside the organization after half a season.
***
Q:
Commish, what are the chances to see this lineup in 09? Escobar, Rasmus, Pujols,Dye,Ankiel, Glaus,Molina,pitcher,Miles. Trade Ludwick for Escobar and prospects for Dye. Spend free agent money on lefties and a starter. Thanks Mr. Hummel.
A: Roger, this sounds pretty good if you could pull it off. I’m wondering what “prospects” you would trade for an All-Star outfielder like Dye, however. And I don’t think Miles really is an everyday player at second.
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10 comments

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Mr Hummel,
How about this lineup? Pedroia, Sizomore, Pujols, M Ramirez, Glaus, Rasmus, Molina, Sabathia and Jeter? I’m sure the Cardinals could afford Ramirez as an FA and they could trade Duncan to four different teams at the same time for the other pieces…c’mon Mo!

— Toolbox McClanahan
12:16 pm December 1st, 2008

Commish-

With the Jake Peavy trade talks cooling off for now, what are the odds of a 3-team deal having to happen to make it work? More specifically, how about a deal that sends Yunel Escobar to the Cards, Jake Peavy to Atlanta, and prospects to San Diego?

Thanks in advance,
Andy

— andy-rockstar
1:09 pm December 1st, 2008

Mr. Hummel, do you think the team should make an almost take it or leave it extension offer to Ankiel right now. Thereby finding out if an extension is likely or that this is the time to trade him. A few teams with good trading potential are looking for a power hitting lefty usually to play right field. In this market, his trade value might be better than at the trade deadline next season. I just think we might regret trading Ludwick, who is under team control much longer. I feel sure Ludwick will hit at least .280 with at least 25 home runs. But there is no reason that he can’t repeat or even improve on this last season. Thanks.

— roger from tahoe
4:19 pm December 1st, 2008

Rick,
What’s the story on Trevor Miller. Is it really “language” in the contract? Or did they hit a snag elsewhere? ie. money, years, or injury found during the physical? Seems like a long time to be waiting on language, any insight on this?
Thanks,
Greg

— grego
4:34 pm December 1st, 2008

Dear Commish,
It seems the Cardinals are enamored with lefty one or two batter “specialist” out of the bullpen. Why couldn’t a team be made up of relievers who could throw 2 to 3 innings anytime out? You could still have someone that “specializes” in getting a lefty out one night and throw 2 innings the next. You would not need to carry as many arms in the pen. Too many times moves are not made (pinch hitter, pinch runner, defensive replacement, etc.) because of a short bench. Also, with a bullpen that can throw “innings”, less of a chance for a worn out bullpen. The only real specialist you need is a closer. Anything wrong with this theory?
Thanks for your time this time, till next time, so long.

— danthefan
7:03 pm December 1st, 2008

Commish,

Surprised that Looper wasn’t offered arbitration? Looper could always be counted on to “eat up” innings. Looking back on his two season as a starter he “ate up” some really valuable innings for the Cards. Mistake to not offer Looper arbitration?

— emc2013
7:28 pm December 1st, 2008

Commish- Springer was our best reliver last year @ Looper almost pitched 200 innings. If you never have enough pitching,why NOT offer both arbitration?? If they take it you have more tradeable pitchers. If they dont you get draft picks. Was any of our righthanded relivers any better than Springer?? Are we not heading down hill when you let your best reliver walk for NOTHING??
With the arbitration dead line passing,who are the Cardinals looking at now that didnt get offered arbitration??

— Bryan Cathey
10:21 pm December 1st, 2008

Commish- Why would the Brave keep talking about tradeing young shortstop Yunel Escobar @ signing Rafial Furcal?? I understand HAVING to put him in a deal for someone like Peavy BUT short of a Peavy type deal why trade a young good shortstop @ sign Furcal?? What do the Braves know that nobody else does?? Have the Cardinals talked to Furcal? Orlando Cabrera? Orlando Hudson?

— Bryan Cathey
10:34 pm December 1st, 2008

Hi Mr. Hummel;

If the Cards are still interested in signing Springer or Looper what advantage (if any) do they gain by not offering them salary arbitration?
These are two quality guys who’s fruit is now hanging low for anyone to pick and they missed out on obtaining a draft pick if the two decline to take the arbitration offer. Was fear in the minds of Cardinal management that they would choose arbitration and thereby recieve large money or is there a thought out method to this process whereby the Cards believe they can still sign them?

Thank you sir.

— dave cobler
8:07 am December 2nd, 2008

At all I do not know what to tell in this occasion. Probably, what all will be better than now? And as a whole very much even it is informative!

— pawseries
11:04 pm December 2nd, 2008