Fuel-to-food inflation has plenty of pop
Our nation’s politically motivated fixation with ethanol has led to tortilla riots in Mexico and helped push up the price of beer. Now, it’s inflating the cost of moviegoers’ favorite snack food. A Reuters story says popcorn prices are up 40 percent in the past year. It quotes Dennis Kunnemann, president of AK Acres Popcorn in Nebraska, as saying:
“This year, we’ve paid the highest price ever that I’ve contracted for, 13 cents a pound,” compared with 9 cents per lb last year.
The National Corn Growers Association, a big ethanol proponent, claims that the fuel’s effect on food prices is exaggerated. But there’s no denying the numbers: As of May, food and beverage prices were up 3.9 percent in the past year, compared with 2.7 percent for overall inflation.



David Nicklaus has covered St. Louis business for more than 25 years. His column appears three days a week on the Post-Dispatch business page.
It’s true that for most food products, the price paid to farmers to produce the basic ingredient (such as the grain in beer) is a pretty small fraction of the cost to the consumer. (That reflects the real costs of producing and distributing food products — not some sort of “conspiracy” by “middlemen.”) Even if corn-based ethanol and soy-based diesel weren’t being promoted with government subsidies, the decreasing supply/increasing cost of oil would be increasing the market demand for these grains and driving up their price somewhat.
It is likely that subsidizing certain politically-favored alternative fuels prevents market mechanisms from identifying and supplying other alternative fuels (and more energy-efficient vehicles and buildings) that would truly be more economical. But it is certain that the subsidies being doled out to producers of ethanol and soy diesel are no “free lunch” for consumers, because they end up having to pay higher taxes, in their role as taxpayers, to pay for the subsidies.
While the alternative strategy of taxing oil (or net carbon emissions) would superficially appear to cost consumers more, in reality, the increased revenues to government would allow people to be compensated by reduced taxes. In particular, the people who acted in accord with the national interest and substantially reduced their consumption of petroleum products would be financially rewarded. Those refusing to reduce their consumption would be free to continue business as usual, but would pay more for the privilege.