Counting the cost of the subprime crisis
Congress’ Joint Economic Committee released a report this week that puts a sort of worst-case number, or at least a very-bad-case number, on the cost of the subprime mortgage crisis. If housing prices continue to decline until the end of 2009, the committee says, 2 million subprime loans will be foreclosed upon and the affected homeowners will lose $71 billion in wealth. In addition, neighborhoods with a heavy incidence of foreclosures will suffer a “spillover effect” that costs homeowners $32 billion.
The study also has state-by-state figures. In Missouri, it predicts 19,594 subprime foreclosures by the end of 2009, destroying $613 million of wealthy directly and $186 million indirectly. Local governments in Missouri stand to lose $6.8 million of property taxes as a result.
In Illinois, the committee projects 59,328 subprime foreclosures, costing $3.2 billion of wealth directly and $2.1 billion through spillover effects. The loss of property taxes is estimated at $81 million.
The report lists seven possible policy responses, from easing FHA lending standards to amending the bankruptcy code.



David Nicklaus has covered St. Louis business for more than 25 years. His column appears three days a week on the Post-Dispatch business page.
Just another crisis started by the greedy, exacerbated by the stupid which will eventually be paid for by the hard working.
Problem is, there are less and less responsible hard working folks left.