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03.12.2008 3:01 pm

Will affirmative action measure be a November wedge?

St. Louis Post-Dispatch
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Could an anti-affirmative action amendment on the state’s November ballot impact the presidential election?

Missouri is one of five states - joining Colorado, Arizona, Nebraska and Oklahoma - targeted by a group pushing a ballot question that would end racial or gender preferences for government contracts.

A piece in The Hill, a newspaper for Beltway insiders, wonders whether the measure could act as a wedge the same way the stem-cell initiative in Missouri did two years ago.

But while the stem cell issue helped Claire McCaskill gain visibility on the way to unseating Republican Jim Talent, this time it could be Democrats on the defensive.

From The Hill story:

“I see it, rhetorically, more putting Democrats in a tough spot,” said David Kimball, a political scientist at the University of Missouri-St. Louis. “They’re going to have to reject [the initiative] or avoid an issue that core Democrats care about.”

The anti-affirmative action initiatives could play a role in the presidential race, with Colorado and Missouri looking like swing states and with Democrats nominating either a woman, Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton (N.Y.), or an African-American, Sen. Barack Obama (Ill.), Kimball said.

It will be easier, the story says, for the presidential candidates to dodge questions about the affirmative action measure than local candidates, who as fall approaches will likely be asked for their stance.

But, as The Hill counters, affirmative action may already be part of the race for the White House, thanks to comments made this week by former vice presidential candidate Geraldine Ferraro.

8 comments

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Really the Stem Cell bill had a 50-50 to help either side. It passed by such a small margin that it only barely helped the Democrats. I’m sure proponents wouldn’t call it a wedge, though. They’ll probably state that it was a viable and necessary bill. It was a wedge issue, though, no different then gay marriage amendments. I think that an affirmative action bill will help the Democrats more than Republicans. Assuming that Obama gets the nod, a bill like that will only solidfy their turnout as well as other younger liberals that would cling to affirmative action as a good thing. It won’t rouse much support from whites or conservatives as much as it will get negative reation from the opposition. To me, this wedge issue just solidifies Obamas status in key states. And people thought the Dems can’t play the game like Karl Rove.

— RCJ
3:58 pm March 12th, 2008

The minimum wage increase helped democrats more that than stem cell.

— Black Democrat
7:33 pm March 12th, 2008

Of course it will be a wedge issue. So will the stem cell/anti-cloning initiative. The initiative that supposedly “protects our paychecks” (which makes it sound like an end to overseas outsourcing) falls in the same category.

— suzyjax
7:56 pm March 12th, 2008

When it comes to things like university admissions, it’s pretty hard to argue that Obama’s kids or any kids from a rich black family deserve preference over white kids who come from modest means. It is time to revise affirmative action. I have no problem with granting preferences based on income, opportunity, etc—but I think affirmative action based on race and sex should be a thing of the past.

Nixon’s folks should be very concerned about this issue. It really puts Nixon in a box in dealing with his core constituencies.

— Bob7057
7:26 am March 13th, 2008

Let’s hope its not on the ballot. The petition gatherers have to go through St. Louis or Kansas City to meet all of their requirements, so they’ll have to dupe a significant # of people into thinking that the bill actually supports “civil rights” in order to get it certified. http://firedupmissouri.com/mcri_wolves_in_sheet_clothing

— Adam
9:54 am March 13th, 2008

Adam is essentially conceding that it wins if it makes the ballot.

There is a lot of worry in conservative pro-MCRI circles that McCain being at the top of the ticket will depress conservative turnout and thus MCRI votes. However, I don’t so worry — MCRI won in Michigan in 2006, the same day Granholm and Stabenow, both lib Dems, won re-election for Gov and Sen. This means that there were lots of Michigan voters who voted for MCRI and for anti-MCRI Dems. (Most MI Republicans were anti-MCRI as well). The CRIs in the five states will win even with the votes of white Democrats.

— Puggg
11:00 am March 13th, 2008

I hope I can find someone to sign the petition. Ferrarro said Obama got where he was because he is black. Blacks say that is nonsense. Okay - well let’s put that to the test. Let’s use Obama and Oprah as examples of blacks that can make it in this racist country on their own. Time to put your money where your mouth is. Let’s level the playing field. Let’s reach out to the underprivileged with foundation money to pay their educational expenses based on need and ability and not just their race or color. A white person can’t help that they are white and they shouldn’t be discriminated against anymore than a black person. Diversity is clearly a positive thing as long as that diversity is based on ability and not just a color chart.

— A CENTRIST
12:26 pm March 13th, 2008

NOT A CENTRIST, have you and you “anti-affirmative action” buddies washed your white sheets lately? Perhaps you haven’t been following the recent decisions of the USSc where it held a voluntary desegregation program illegal because it didn’t pass 14th Amendment muster? Or the MI admissions policies which were narrowly upheld just before that and pretty much tossed out in the case previously mentioned.

Where does this problem exist in Missouri? It’s just like the Straw Man arguments Sen. Kitty Drunk (remember his insane outburst on TV?) keeps using to support voter ID laws to prevent non-existent voter fraud. This whole think is cut from the same cloth as any other Karl Rove KKK campaign tactic!

— Tim Hogan
1:25 am March 14th, 2008