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12.05.2008 12:41 pm

What’s next on Cards checklist?

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THE WATERCOOLER
(Post-Dispatch columnists and beat writers share their thoughts on a question of the day.)

Question: Now that the Cardinals have addressed two areas of need with Trever Miller and Khalil Greene, what do you think their top priority should be heading into the Winter Meetings?

JOE STRAUSS
Nobody asked me (until now), but I believe the need for greater depth in the starting rotation has been the most understated of all the team’s needs to date. Much will depend on the true finding regarding Chris Carpenter’s nerve condition. Many believe it implausible, even given a positive outlook, that the club count on Carpenter’s season-long availability in the same way it banked on his return along with Mark Mulder near last July’s non-waiver trade deadline.

With the possible exception of Mitchell Boggs, there is no ready depth within the minor leagues. Dave Duncan believes Kyle McClellan’s future may be in the rotation. But even so, without another dependable starter on board, the Cardinals dangerously resemble the 2007 bunch that crumbled following Carpenter’s Opening Day exit. Hyperventilating prospect geeks can’t even cite Jaime Garcia and Mike Parisi, since both are rehabbing from surgery. It is more than coincidence that the Cardinals won 205 games in 2004-05 while coming within one out of leading the NL in ERA in consecutive years. It is also no coincidence that they have been less than a .500 team since Mulder’s shoulder concerns became obvious in May 2006.

RICK HUMMEL
The Cardinals’ top priority is to get a second baseman in a market that seems to be loaded with them, either through free agency or the possibility of trade. Orlando Hudson, though injured at the end of the last two seasons, would be at the top of my list.

DERRICK GOOLD
Starting pitching. Can never have enough starting pitching. That is especially true for the Cardinals, who will huddle around Carpenter’s medical reports as if they were opening a Wonka Bar and hoping this one has the Golden Ticket. But the mid-market of starting pitchers the Cardinals are eyeing (think: Andy Pettitte, Randy Wolf, Braden Looper) will be slow to develop and could inch into January. So this week the Cardinals must look for the best way to radically upgrade their roster: a productive second baseman (via trade) or a short-term, sure-thing closer for the ninth inning (read: Kerry Wood).

BERNIE MIKLASZ
I’d like to see the Cardinals upgrade at 2B, and I wish the organization would be more aggressive in its search for a starting pitcher. I just don’t see how they can bank on having Carpenter in the rotation; will he be healthy and durable? They need protection for their rotation, and they should reach higher instead of settling for the usual low-hanging fruit.

****

MIDDAY NEWS AND THOUGHTS

BRING ON THE BABY BLUES: T.J. Oshie is expected to return to the ice tonight vs. Calgary after missing 13 games with a high-ankle sprain. Oshie practiced Thursday on a line with Patrik Berglund and David Perron. It should be fun to watch the Baby Blues on a line together as we get a glimpse of the future. Blues beat writer Jeremy Rutherford did me the favor this morning of asking the three what they think about playing on a line together. Here’s what they had to say:

PERRON: “It’s going to be fun. We all like to cycle the puck. When I’m in the defensive zone and the other team is cycling the puck, it’s pretty hard to cover all the guys at once. As soon as you beat one guy, that means there’s something open. For me, when I cycle the puck and I beat a guy, I’m looking right away to the slots to see if one of those guys are open. I feel that Bergy and Oshie think the same way for sure. I think all the guys like to cycle the puck, but maybe it’s just some chemistry that we have because we’re young.”

OSHIE: “I’m very excited. It’s always fun playing with those guys. We’ve got some chemistry going, just from development camps and things like that, playing together. I think we complement each other well. So hopefully if we’re all moving our feet and we’re all working hard, I think we’ll be fine out there. We all three like to cycle and we all three have offensive minds to make plays, but I think we’re pretty smart on the defensive side of the puck. I think it’s a good mixture. Hopefully Bergy and Perry will be putting the puck in the net tonight.”

BERGLUND: “I think it’s going to be good. We’re around the same age, and I think it’s kind of easier to understand each other. I think like Perry and Oshie said, we like to cycle the puck and create a lot of speed and bring the puck to the net. It will be an energy line that keeps the puck in the offensive zone. . . . We are three players who have hockey sense. It’s easy to play around guys who have that because they know what they have to do all the time.”

MIZZOU HAS NO CHANCE: That’s what columnist Berry Tramel of The Oklahoman implies today — barring a monumental upset of course. Tramel reports that Oklahoma coach Bob Stoops is the king of the Big 12 title game and he doesn’t see that changing tomorrow. Based on recent performances it might be hard to argue with him … so should Mizzou not bother even showing up at Arrowhead? Upsets are part of the game and Mizzou players and fans know that up-close following last week’s loss to Kansas. I guess that’s why they play the games, no?

****

A FEW THINGS TO PONDER

HOW DOES THIS HAPPEN: I see a lot sports writers complaining about the chaotic formula of the BCS and how flawed that system is, but perhaps a few of these guys need to take a look in the mirror. How can Texas quarterback Colt McCoy be good enough to be voted The Associated Press’ Big 12 offensive player of the year, yet, according to AP voters, not be the best QB in the Big 12? That honor went to Oklahoma’s Sam Bradford.

Like my dad is fond of saying, “I may not be the smartest guy in the world, but if I had a dollar for everyone that was dumber than me I’d be a rich man.”

IT’S GOOD TO HAVE A BACKUP PLAN … AND A FAT WALLET: According to the New York Daily News, Yankees general manager Brian Cashman has begun talks with agent Scott Boras about free agent starting pitcher Derek Lowe. This while Cashman also plans to meet with CC Sabathia this weekend in hopes of getting the pitcher signed before the winter meetings begin. The Yankees have reportedly offered Sabathia, this year’s biggest free agent pitching jewel, a deal somewhere in the six-year, $140 million range.

I tire of hearing all the crying and big market/small market excuses from teams about not having the money to compete. This is the big leagues … either you can compete or you can’t. And you can disparage the Yankees all you want for always trying to “buy their championships.” But if any fans of any team honestly can tell me they wouldn’t want their team to do the same, I contend those fans are not being honest with themselves.

****

STAT OF THE DAY

5,160 – Yards passing Saints quarterback Drew Brees is on pace for right now. That would be a new single-season league high. Dan Marino currently holds the record with 5,084 yards in 1984. Think the 5-8 Chargers ever regret letting Brees go?

21 comments

Comments are closed.

I like the mantra of cycle the puck that the Blues kids have going.

— Pagan
1:37 pm December 5th, 2008

Thanks JR for the mini interview of the future franchise players. Roger thanks for posting it. ;)

— BrettB
1:52 pm December 5th, 2008

First of all I really enjoyed DG, Bernie, Joe and the Commish’s take on what you all think the Cards next priority should be. You all should huddle around more often in this kind of forum. You need to get Gordo in their with you though. I really enjoy all of you guys. St. Louis is blessed to have such a great group of sportswriters that you all are. Now with that said I will give you my opinion. With all the greatest, utmost respect to?????…;>) Bernie and the Commish, my heart leans toward Joe and DG for a starting pitcher…but, only if it is a bonafied #1/2 guy. The Cards put up some good team numbers offensively last year even with an unproctive lower third batting order and everyone pitching around Pujols. IMO the starters contributed to a bullpen meltdown because they could not get past the sixth inning most of the time. The bullpen has taken most of the heat for that meltdown, but if Carp alone had been in there all year the bullpen would have had that much more gas all year. I’d love to see an upgrade at 2nd in the likes of Hudson and as we all very well know it is needed. But like I said, my heart leaned toward pitching like it usually always will. The split differences of opinion between four of the best qualifed people to pass judgment simply tells that like a stove having two front burners to place the priority dishes up front the Cards have two more dish issues to deal with that require those two front burners. ;>) Thanks guys! This was fun!

— dave cobler
2:19 pm December 5th, 2008

I love watching those kids on the same line! While the offense is fun to watch, the D may be just as good. These kids are just as hungry to keep pucks out of the net as to put them in.

— slu-blu
2:20 pm December 5th, 2008

I can’t wait to see the Baby Blues line…there is a ton of potential for that line to hold the puck in all night. Perron and Berglund are showing lots of ability to play the possession game…TJ rounds that line out well.

— Rodimus Prime
2:31 pm December 5th, 2008

Great article, especially the interviews with the new kid line.

— Bennylava
2:31 pm December 5th, 2008

I go with the starting pitching. One can never have enough. At best, Carp will not be available beginning in April. Last year, Cardinal starters had 50 games with 5.0 innings or less. That stresses even the deepest pen. An essential is another innings eater. Cardinals could go with a platoon of Miles, Ryan, (Freese ?) etc at second. Preferable to add Felipe. Can’t get by with another season of hope, and a mix of Parisi, Boggs, etc– especially if we lose Looper to free agency. Right now, we have Wainwright, Wellemeyer, Lohse, Piniero and hope Carp returns. That doesn’t cut it.

— Allen
2:38 pm December 5th, 2008

Hyperventilating prospect geeks? Why is it Joe always so belittling of the farm system????

— Cardzilla
2:47 pm December 5th, 2008

Here’s a thought. To me, the Cardinals need another starting pitcher just as bad as we need an upgrade at second base. Why can’t we just say that the two positions share a co-priority status and merge the two into one big priority? I do like the thought of the Cards signing Orlando Hudson but I don’t relish losing our first round first year draft pick. My reason? It’s simple. You NEVER know whom you are losing. He could be the next Mitchell Boggs or Brett Wallace or Skip Schumaker. So for that very reason I would like to see Mr. Mozeliak explore the trade market before he explores the free agent market to fill these very important needs. On my secondary need list would be a closer. I do not relish the thought of Kerry Wood in Cardinal Red. He’s too much of a risk to take - too injury prone. Instead, I really would like to see Trevor Hoffman signed to be our closer. True, the future HOF’er is very near the end of his career but can still get the job done. Plus, he would be a priceless asset for Chris Perez and Jason Motte. Last, He (Hoffman) might be had cheaper now that we have his ex-teammate Khalil Greene at shortstop.

— OzarksCardsFan
3:09 pm December 5th, 2008

I’m tired of the Cards messing around! I’m tired of them going after pitchers Dunc might be able to squeeze 10 wins out of. Open De’wallet (thanks Bernie) and GO FOR IT!!!. C.C. Sabathia. He’s pitched in the Comedy Central, he knows that St. Louis is a great baseball town. Face it, Carp will never pitch again! They need to go after some big names. Pujols can’t do it by himself.

— Dave G.
3:39 pm December 5th, 2008

Hey rich on stat of the day, the Saints are 6-6 what would Brees do for the Chargers that Rivers isn’t doing. Rivers has 2 more touchdowns and 4 fewer Interceptions, this all throwing about 100 times less then Brees. SO do a little more research before you make these dumb comments, you are a sports journalist after all.

— bill becota
3:40 pm December 5th, 2008

why is the Cards ticket prices are right at hte top, but their payroll is below middle? The Cards are milking this town to death

— slotalk
4:07 pm December 5th, 2008

This shouldn’t even be a question. We need starting pitching and bullpen help before ANYTHING. Second base should be an afterthought, at this point. Without the pitching, we’ll be sitting here next October watching the Brewers and Cubs fight it out for another futile playoff run.

— greg c.
4:12 pm December 5th, 2008

The Blues have not hand a decent “cycle” in years. The last Blues line that cycled the puck properly was Handzus, Demitra, Bartecko (the Slovak line). Those boy had it down, and were fun to watch. I hope these kids can come close. The team the Blues have had on the ice is hard to watch. They couldn’t control the puck if it were Tina and they were Ike. If these kids don’t come through within two or three years…say goodbye to hockey in St. Louis.

— Ean
4:13 pm December 5th, 2008

Mr. Becota,

You make some valid points, but one can make the numbers say whatever one would like. Brees not only has passed for about 600 more yards than Rivers, but he also has a higher completion percentage (66 to 64), and as far as the INTs, because Brees throws more that raw number would be expected to be higher… though the two are very quite similar there with Brees throwing a pick about once every 34 attempts and Rivers once every 38 attempts. My point wasn’t really to compare Rivers to Brees, though I think Brees is the better QB because he does more with less talent around him. Still, the comparison wasn’t my point and in re-reading my post I didn’t make that clear. What I should have said is “do you think the Chargers regret letting Brees get away for nothing.” They had a franchise QB but rather than trade him and get anything, they let Brees walk away as a free agent only to continue his Pro Bowl performances. That’s a big loss. But I agree with you that Rivers is a very nice young QB.

— Roger Hensley
4:16 pm December 5th, 2008

I love the concept of the watercooler, that is, having several sportswriters offer their views and letting the readers compare the opinions. It’s a great way to see several angles of a single issue at one sitting. Also, thanks in general for the outstanding coverage provided. As a Cardinals fan living in the San Diego area, I check the P-D’s coverage daily. The age of the Internet sure beats the old days!

— Harvey Watson
4:59 pm December 5th, 2008

I’ve got to give full credit for the Watercooler idea to Cards writer Derrick Goold. I asked a number of my writers for ideas on things to do with the new Round Two blog, and it was Derrick that suggested having a number of writers weigh in on a subject. And so far it’s worked pretty well. Just want to make sure I give credit where credit is due.

— Roger Hensley
5:11 pm December 5th, 2008

Nice overview of the Cards’ needs, guys. There was, however, a bit of hyperbolic hyperventilatin’ from Mr. Strauss; I mean, comparing the prospective ‘09 rotation to that of 2007!?!

On Opening Day 2007, the Card rotation (Carp, Wainwright, Looper, Reyes, & Wells) contained exactly ONE guy who’d thrown more than 85 innings the year before. Even the “sixth starter”, Brad Thompson, only threw 57 innings in 2006. The 2009 Redbird rotation looks like the ‘54 Indians by comparison (ask your grandfather).

Moreover, in 2009, the Cards have multiple in-house options should Carp be unready come April. I’m talking about a pair of young starting pitchers who’ve each (1)had some success in AAA, (2)pitched more than 30 innings per month in both 2007 and 2008 without any breakdowns, and (3)been projected by presumably objective analysis (the highly-regarded ZiPS prediction system of baseball brainiacwonknerd Dan Szymborski) to post ERAs in 2009 just slightly higher than Braden Looper.

The pitchers I’m referring to are Jess Todd–who flew through the minors in one season, and posted a solid sub-4.00 ERA in AAA, after making the AA All-Star team with a 2.97 ERA–and P.J. Walters, who despite velocity doubters managed to strike out 122 batters in 122 AAA innings.

These two are younger than Mitch Boggs, and much younger than Mike Parisi. They are real prospects, with real talent, and if Carp is unready to go on Opening Day, either one would likely do a fine job at the back of the rotation.

First, another bullpen southpaw–someone more dominant than the just OK Trever Miller. (Rhodes will do.)

Then a 2nd baseman who can field *and* hit.

Then, if there’s dough left over, go for another starter. It’s a luxury more than necessity–because unlike the past several years, there really *are* multiple talented in-house guys to promote. ;)

— Bob
5:27 pm December 5th, 2008

ERA is stupid.

— ERA is Stupid
6:15 pm December 5th, 2008

Super job with this blog, Derrick. I honestly feel like McClellan should be given a shot. I know the big question with him, or other prospects in the system is: how many innings would they be able to deliver? The thought of going after “low-hanging fruit” makes my stomach queasy. If we’re going to make a splash, we need to go after a horse.

As for several of you commenting on Drew Brees. The difference between Brees and Rivers is, Brees is a leader. Brees is able to sustain drives, while Rivers is inconsistent at best. As for the Chargers letting Brees go? This is the same GM that fired Marty Schottenheimer following a 14-2 season and a trip to the AFC Championship game. How many coaches have been fired for that type of season? One, Marty. The Chargers would’ve gotten to the Super Bowl had they kept Brees around, instead of playing the rookie, Rivers.

— Cardsballhawk
10:41 am December 6th, 2008

I can honestly say that I wouldn’t want my team to do what the Yankees do. This was a silly assertion. I could go and be a Yankees fan any time I wanted to, thereby making myself into a fan of a team that can spend, spend, spend. If I liked that approach, I would be a Yankees fan. A large part of the reason that I am NOT a Yankees fan is because of the way the team spends money–it violates my sense of fair play. If I were a Yankees fan, I couldn’t help but feel that a World Series trophy was just a bit tainted. The point isn’t that the Yankees spend big money–it’s that they can, and do, spend so much that other teams have no hope of competing for the top free agents. Case in point is CC Sabathia. The Yanks came out of the gate with such a huge salary offer for Sabathia that nearly every other team in the game can’t come close to matching it. Not only that, but they artificially inflate the market for the top tier free agents, if not all free agents. The Steinbrenners have made it sound like they are determined to get two of the top free agent starters on the market this year. To do so, they will throw far more money and years at them than most other teams can manage. They know they are raising the salary requirements to a level that most teams can’t afford and that’s deliberate. It seems that whether a player is actually worth that much money/years is secondary to putting the player out of everyone else’s reach. Thank heavens for free will and the fact that not every player wants to play in New York, regardless of the salary offered! I, and many other baseball fans, actually think it’s really cool when a low-budget team can win it all by using really good scouting and player development. That’s special. There isn’t much that’s special about writing a big check.

— ldomino
12:47 pm December 6th, 2008