The future of Colby Rasmus
THE WATERCOOLER
QUESTION: From all you’ve seen from Colby Rasmus so far during his rookie season, what are your expectations for the Cardinals centerfielder in the coming years?
JOE STRAUSS
Rasmus does a number of things very well. At 23, he’s a very mature baserunner and has good instincts tracking balls. He makes both look very easy. His ability to smoke a ball 440 feet is rather exceptional for a 180-pounder who has dealt with weight loss this season. He also has a good eye and bunts well. I wonder what his potential might be as a base-stealer. If anything, he has been underexposed in that regard this season, though regular appearances in the No. 2 spot in the lineup argue against daring on the bases.
Raz’ has an obvious hole: He has yet to find a comfort zone against LH pitching. Improving against lefts will dictate whether he becomes a productive everyday hitter who can hit for more than a .260 average. If there is a disappointing element to his game so far, it’s been his sluggish adjustment against lefts. That has kept him off the field enough to severely diminish his Rookie of the Year candidacy.
My opinion remains as it was before the season: a 25 HR, 90 RBI guy who may steal 20 bases while hitting .270-.280. Perhaps he will evolve into a No. 5 hitter for a very good team, but right now it’s easier to project him as a No. 2 or No. 6 bat for a NL contender. Rasmus exudes a flat-liner’s personality. Some interpret that as a lack of urgency within his game, which may be unfair. However, he may be a guy who could help himself by playing the game a little more “mad.” The attribute has served many gifted players well.
RICK HUMMEL
When Rasmus settles in and becomes more comfortable in his environment, he should be a 20-25 homer man with 25-30 steals. He may not be a .300 hitter but he’ll border on Gold Glove status in the outfield, once he learns the players and the parks. His health is a factor here, though. Rasmus, through illness and stress, lost too much weight during this season and somehow must adjust his eating habits so that he can keep weight on longer.
BERNIE MIKLASZ
Rasmus has an abundance of talent. He can be a 25-homer, 25-steals guy in the majors on an annual basis. But like many young players, he has to make sure to supplement his talent through more effective workouts and nutrition. I’m not suggesting that Rasmus has been negligent. He’s just a rookie, that’s all. They have a lot to learn and they always need to be adapting. Raz needs to get stronger and he needs to maintain his stamina so he can play at a higher level more consistently. Cutting down on the strikeouts would be a plus, too.
DERRICK GOOLD
What a learning experience his rookie season has been for Young Rasmus, the three-time top prospect and the organization’s figurehead for its renovated farm system. For the first time in his life, he hasn’t been a featured or everyday starter. He’s had to change his diet, deal with nagging injuries, soldier through extended slumps and adjust to the culture shock that a major-league clubhhouse can be for some. And yet … He’s done alright. For awhile he was leading the Rookie of the Year conversation, and while weight loss and a long season may have put him on the backburner in the ROY race, he’s still shown ample improvements as a player.
All of that bodes well for when he takes over as the everyday centerfielder next season. Rasmus has the athleticism to be an excellent defensive player at a key position. He has the nose for base hits and the legs for extra bases, so 100 runs will come with playing time. And, as he adapts his in-season work to improve his stamina he’ll show the power that could make him a 20- or 25-homer threat. A 20-20 season isn’t out of the question for a center fielder who could soon be the best at his position in the division.
JEFF GORDON
He should fit somewhere between Aaron Rowand and Jim Edmonds. He is already a nice major league outfielder. But can he make the adjustments at the plate? Rick Ankiel roared into the majors as a promising power hitter, then he suffered a massive relapse when pitchers adapted to him. That is a cautionary tale for Rasmus. Big league pitchers prey on weaknesses. Rasmus must work daily to fill those holes, then continue to make adjustments throughout his career. It’s too early to define that side of Colby’s profile, I’ve been impressed by his ability to produce even while moving in and out of the lineup.
GERRY FRALEY
Rasmus could be a Jim Edmonds-type player. He gets good angles on balls hit to center field, and he has a better arm than Edmonds. The big step will be hitting left-handed pitching. Edmonds hit lefthanders from the moment he arrived in the majors with the Angels. Rasmus has not done that, hitting only .149 with a .230 slugging percentage against lefthanders. If he improves there, the Edmonds comparison becomes more valid.


Agreed with the commentators on the needed ability to adjust to left-handed hitting (and whatever other holes may be exploited next year).
One thing I have to disagree with however is Fraley’s contention that Rasmus has a better arm than Edmonds. He doesn’t have Edmonds’ arm. A good arm, but not Edmonds’. That said, the placement of his overall abilities somewhere between Rowand and Edmonds seems a pretty apt description to me. He is a 20+ homer guy, but his RBI total is going to be highly dependent upon where he’s hitting in the order.
As for his much made of weight loss, we should keep in mind that he’s 23. I’m sure he and the training staff are doing something to deal with it now, but chances are that this will obviously cease to be an issue at he gets older.
He’s definitely an upgrade over Ankiel if, for no other reason, than consistency and an ability to hit in close and late situations.