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11.23.2009 1:01 pm

NL MVP: It’s gotta be Albert, right?

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THE WATERCOOLER

QUESTION: Most folks believe Albert Pujols will collect his third NL MVP award when the winner is announced tomorrow. However, I think some were surprised last week when neither Chris Carpenter nor Adam Wainwright picked up the NL Cy. Assuming you believe Albert will win the award, what player(s) could jump up and possibly lay claim to this year’s NL MVP?

DERRICK GOOLD
I’m not sure there is a warped case or arcane number out there that can find a player more deserving of the NL MVP. It just doesn’t compute. Prince Fielder probably has the most attractive blend with his NL-best 141 RBIs and those 46 home runs that put him one behind Albert Pujols. Ryan Howard has claimed the MVP before with a strong finish, and it’s possible his 19 home runs and 63 RBIs in the season’s final two months — for a team pushing for a postseason berth — will attract a fair amount of votes this year, too. Those are the two players who could. The question who SHOULD brings a different answer. Hanley Ramirez plays a premium position and won a batting title. That’s an intriguing combination any year, and it’s one that should have won Joe Mauer an AL MVP award long before today. But the real answer to the SHOULD question is found in Philly: Second baseman Chase Utley, the best player the Philadelphia Phillies have had for several years, has seen two teammates win MVPs and it long past his turn. Pujols may be atop a majority of the 32 ballots tomorrow, but Utley should be close behind him.

BERNIE MIKLASZ
Chase Utley would be the obvious second choice. The Phillies’ second baseman is a terrific run producer and defender and he remains ridiculously underappreciated by voters — whether they be writers or the managers and coaches who vote for Gold Gloves.

RICK HUMMEL
There is zero chance that anybody else will win the award. The only question is whether Pujols will receive all 32 first-place votes and, it says here, that he will. The only debate will be who finishes second: Hanley Ramirez, Ryan Howard or Prince Fielder.

KEVIN WHEELER (Host of “Sports Open Line” on KMOX)
There isn’t anyone who can claim the award over Albert and he should get all 32 first-place MVP votes. If anyone other than Albert gets a first-place vote it would be a vote cast with an agenda, in my opinion. Hanley Ramirez, Ryan Howard and Prince Fielder are the other players who seem likely to finish near the top in the MVP race but none of them can lay claim to having had the season Albert did.

Ramirez led the league in hitting but doesn’t have the power numbers to hang with the big boys this year, plus his team was not a playoff contender. Howard and Fielder had the requisite numbers to enter the fray, though Pujols led the Majors with his 1.101 OPS, but other things work against them. Some would argue that Howard isn’t even the MVP of his own team, though I think he is, and Fielder’s team was not in the playoff mix. Toss in the fact that Albert is better than Fielder and Howard in every other aspect of the game (fielding, base running) and it should be a runaway.

41 comments

Comments are closed.

Beware Sabermetrics!!!!

— Tim
1:25 pm November 23rd, 2009

Yeah, what do the sabermetrics tell us?

— Levy
1:29 pm November 23rd, 2009

Does Keith Law get a vote?

— Rob
1:35 pm November 23rd, 2009

So we know Keith Law will probably not even have Pujols on his ballot…

— pjb_bluesfan
1:36 pm November 23rd, 2009

Actually, looking at ESPN, he leads most of the sabermetrics as well. Looks like it’s a slam dunk.

— Levy
1:37 pm November 23rd, 2009

I compared Pujols, Utely and Ramirez in games where they faced pitchers with ERA’s over 4.00 and outfielders with an average fielding percentage below .995 and found that, with the wind blowing out and an average attendence of over 15,000, Pujols edges the other two in all catagories. However, I give the nod to Ramirez because he was playing behind a below average pitching staff.

— jfmoyn
1:49 pm November 23rd, 2009

ANDRE DAWSON!!!!!!!!!!!!!

— mark
1:49 pm November 23rd, 2009

Ryan Howard should get it no question about it he tore it up down the stretch and his team went the world series and lets face it Pujols chocked the last 2 months of the season when it counted. Thats hard to say being a huge cardinal fan

— c71read
1:53 pm November 23rd, 2009

I will be the first to post it here, c71read is wrong.
First of all the votes are cast before the post season begins.
Second, Pujols CLEARLY has the best numbers.
I had no problem admitting that Lincecum was as logical a choice as Wainwright or Carpenter, but here Albert is the ONLY logical choice.
Period.

— Muddy in StL
1:58 pm November 23rd, 2009

The folks who vote for Ryan Howard, because of his stats in September and October, are no doubt the same voters who chose Linecum because of the way he finished the season with the Giants contending for the Wild Card - 5-5 after the All-Star game…

— Dan
1:58 pm November 23rd, 2009

There’s no way Ryan Howard should get it. Yes Albert had a HR drought in September, but he carried the Cards all by himself before the trades. He’s just the best all around player. MVP hands down, no vote needed for that.

— FlouzeLeter
2:04 pm November 23rd, 2009

jfmoyn: Now you’re beginning to sound like Jay Randolph!

You know him, Mr. “I’ve Got Stats Just Waiting To Be Told On-Air”.

Randolph: the announcer, who during the 1st spring training game after CH5 reacquired tv rights, mistook Chris Duncan catching the 3rd out in LF for Chris Carpenter.

Randolph: who shouted “Cards win” after the 3rd out in the top of the 9th inning in Montreal when the Expos still had an at-bat coming up.

Randolph: who blamed “Ma Bell” (read that AT&T) when a picture was lost, but thanked MCI for their telecast after a game.

Worst sports announcer - EVER. He should go back to his announcing chores for that non-sport - Golf.

— Russ Weiss
2:16 pm November 23rd, 2009

All I’ve gotta say it that it better be Pujols. Hands down.

— Brittany
2:29 pm November 23rd, 2009

Actually, Pujols leads almost all categories in the SABR realm, too.

In fact, they’re probably the BIGGEST supporter of Pujols being the best player in the game.

Perhaps if people started opening their minds a little, then they’ll realize some of these things (like, Franklin Gutierrez is a far better defender than Adam Jones, Tim Lincecum is really good, and Ryan Howard is worse than Prince Fielder, Adrian Gonzalez, AND Derreck Lee. By a lot.)

— ERA is Stupid
2:32 pm November 23rd, 2009

Pujols should and will win the award, but it pains me to think that Chase Utley is still so underrated. If he finishes in the top 5 tomorrow, it will be a huge surprise, especially since he has been the second best player, right up there with Pujols. He is so underrated and underappreciated by those around the game that it is laughable. When will the guy get his due?

— underrated
2:43 pm November 23rd, 2009

I don’t know, Bernie and Goold amke a good arguement with Utley. Not only did have have a big season, he was the main reason they went 6 in the World Series. While I still love Albert and think he deserves it for essentailly being the entire offense for the first half the season, I won’t be surprised or upset if it goes to Utley. He certainly is deserving.

— Rico
2:46 pm November 23rd, 2009

Thanks for the critique Russ. I’ll work on my delivery. I’m hoping for a job offer from ESPN.

— jfmoyn
2:46 pm November 23rd, 2009

A very, very strong argument could be made for Utley. You can find a lot of first baseman who can hit the ball extremely well. People have mentioned some of them here already: Prince Fielder, Ryan Howard, Adrian Gonzalez, etc. None are obviously quite as good as Pujols, but it’s a position that is stocked with talent.

Second base on the other hand… not so much. Utley is a monster offensively at a position where that skill is very, very scarce. That alone makes him one of the most valuable players in baseball, because it allows his team to still stock the other typical power positions (like 1B).

And please, can we give up on the whole “LOLZ, DOES KEITH LAW HAVE A BALLOT, HE’S SO STUPID HURRRR”?

— mdhqq
3:12 pm November 23rd, 2009

Who knows after last weeks of Law’s reasoning of stupidity?

— john
3:14 pm November 23rd, 2009

Any voter who does not give Albert the first place vote should be shot (*wink *wink).

The NL MVP discussion starts and ends with Pujols.

— Sams Bad Dad
3:27 pm November 23rd, 2009

Hey, quit touting Utley. maybe we can pick him up cheap and win the Series next year!

— Tim Hogan
3:30 pm November 23rd, 2009

Keith Law will probably vote for Milton Bradley.

— jle
3:36 pm November 23rd, 2009

Enough of the OPS, Slugging, and RBIs…

What was his Eqa, LIPS, TPR, or his WARP?

…Hope he ’sabers’ the moment ;)

— akeman
3:57 pm November 23rd, 2009

Guess they do not look at hustle to first.

— Willie Mo Pena
4:01 pm November 23rd, 2009

Tim:

Beware sabermetrics, damned sabermetics and statistics!

— akeman
4:02 pm November 23rd, 2009

They probably will give it to Barry Bonds!

— BHstlmo
4:02 pm November 23rd, 2009

Chase Utley is an excellent player surrounded by very good teammates, but his numbers drop off considerably in the second half. Didn’t realize MVP’s are awarded based on it being “ones turn”. Neither of Utley’s MVP teammates were the most deserving player when they won the award, so I suppose that means Utley is due to be rewarded for previous snubs by the BBWAA.

— Blue Moon
4:09 pm November 23rd, 2009

After the “SIGH” Young voting they may give it to Ron Santo.

— Cardiac Carl
4:55 pm November 23rd, 2009

He is the only choice in my book those other players were great don’t get me wrong but if Pujols was to leave last years team I highly doubt we would have made it to the playoffs, his role is just to big to fill.

GO CARDS!!!

— Bass Man
5:01 pm November 23rd, 2009

I find it funny that people don’t like sabermetrics. If they (sabermetricians) had their way, Pujols would have won the 06 MVP instead of Howard.

— ironicman
5:09 pm November 23rd, 2009

I’m sure Keith Law’s got someone other than Pujols.

— supersonicstl
5:16 pm November 23rd, 2009

The award should go to Pujols, hands down. Having said that… brace yourselves for the award going to Utley. ;) I’m never getting caught up in expecting an award again after the whole “Sigh” Young ripoff.

— 5thBeatle
5:22 pm November 23rd, 2009

keith law votes Pablo Sandoval

— aaron
5:48 pm November 23rd, 2009

Would it surprise anyone else if the phenomenally gifted and knowledgeable sportswriters give it to “I need more doobie coin” Lincecum?

— nickj21
6:15 pm November 23rd, 2009

Don’t forget the east coast, west coast writers and ESPN won’t vote for him. Sad state of affairs when these guys, whom have never had a strap on get a vote.

— dch60
7:28 pm November 23rd, 2009

Hey I’m from Missouri so you’re gonna have to SHOW ME! After the geek revenge Cy Young vote as much as I hope Albert is a shoe-in I just can’t vote the house note money on it anymore.

— EBJ
9:00 pm November 23rd, 2009

Keith Law will not vote for Pujols.

— John Q. Public
9:37 pm November 23rd, 2009

FLASH: St. Louis Mayor Frankie Slay tonite issued an emergency evacuation order for all St. Louisians should Albert not win the MVP award. “The feeling is,” Mayor Frankie said, “that should Albert not win his third MVP, St. Louisians may do more than just cry in their beer. In fact, should it happen, we’re anticipating a virtual flood of tears that could literally wash half the city’s residents — some of whom may not even be Cardinal fans — into some of our fine various waterways, such as the River des Peres, the Meramec or the Mighty Miss…So we want to be prepared, and thus, I am issuing an emergency evacuation order for all city residents effective immediately upon the commencement of the MVP announcement. Thank you very much, and good luck, Albert.”

— efatonoir
11:17 pm November 23rd, 2009

As with everyone at ESPN, well-known Cardinal hater Keith Law picked Albert, so we can be assured it’s a lock.

— gibsonbrock
8:54 am November 24th, 2009

Remember when Keith Law argued Andrew Jones should have won it over Pujols a bit back? He’s a goofball, so I bet he does vote elsewhere. Pujols should have won this award at least a couple more times than he has. Bonds MVP should be taken away. He didn’t deserve it even if you ignore the steroids. The guy is a monster, not a machine. They should stop giving out an MVP and place a crown on Pujols head. Then bring the MVP award back out when he retires.

However, to commenter “aaron”, don’t knock Kung Fu Panda. That guy is a fantasy keeper of mine and he rocks. I give him the MAP award. Most Awesome Panda.

— Cowboy Roy
10:05 am November 24th, 2009

if you ignore steroids, Barry Bonds is the greatest player of all time. By far the most feared hitter ever. That guys on base % was 600+. It’s almost comical.

— levyanthony
11:03 am November 24th, 2009