Can Ludwick duplicate last season’s success?
THE WATERCOOLER
QUESTION: It was not until he was 30 years old that Ryan Ludwick had his breakout season for the Cardinals, posting 37 home runs, 113 RBIs and a .299 batting average in 2008. Do you think Ludwick, who turns 31 in July, will come anywhere near duplicating those numbers in the next few years?
JOE STRAUSS
The key element within Ludwick’s career has always been his health. At whatever level he’s played, he’s been productive and shown power when able to see more than 500 plate appearances in a season. Last year was the first time he had done so in the Major Leagues. It is a fair assumption that enough doubt remains about his health going forward that the Cardinals have shown a willingness to trade him and a reluctance to commit to a multi-year deal with him. This season will go a long way toward confirming last season’s positive impression.
BERNIE MIKLASZ
Health will be a prime concern as Ludwick moves forward. With his injury history, what are the chances of another breakdown? He’s a talented guy with a great attitude. Sure, there are holes in his swing and he can be pitched to. Some strikeout plagues are inevitable. But he can still put up good power numbers if his body holds up.
RICK HUMMEL
I think he can rival the power numbers, if he can maintain plate discipline and not swing at everything. He looked as if he hit a wall in early September last year, but he closed strongly. I do not think, however, he is a .300 hitter. He never has been.
JEFF GORDON
Ah, the operative words are “anywhere near.” I believe Tony La Russa can keep him out of major ruts by spotting him with one of the many lefty hitters in his arsenal. That will protect him to a degree. The worst-case scenario has him gravitating into the No. 2 spot ahead of Albert — not a great run production slot, but a good place to see fastballs. Cardinal National would take .275 with 30 homers and 95 RBI, plus his usual strong defense. The best-case scenario has him matching his ’08 numbers and spending more time behind Albert. But that would be a big, big step.
DAN O’NEILL
If Ludwick can stay healthy, there is no reason to believe he can’t come close to the same kind of numbers. After the All-Star Game in 2007, which is when he started playing more frequently, he batted .274 with eight homers and 31 RBIs in 179 at-bats. His 2008 season was simply a carryover from that. What’s more, he always has been a good player — when he’s been healthy.
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MIDDAY NEWS AND THOUGHTS
A WORD OF CAUTION: An internet report surfaced yesterday about Mark McGwire’s brother, Jay, shopping a book where he says he introduced his home-run hitting brother to steroids. We discussed in our office whether or not to include something on the report in our newspaper’s coverage this morning. Two key reasons we did not:
First, do you trust the source reporting the news? If you’ve seen inaccurate reports from a source before, you tend to stay away unless you can confirm it yourself. This is not to say the current report is true or false, just that we won’t report it until we know it’s true.
Second, do you trust the word of someone “shopping” a book … particularly when no one has agreed to publish the book yet? Doesn’t it seem that if a publisher thought he/she had a tell-all book on Mark McGwire, the publishing house would be jumping all over it?
I’m certainly no apologist for McGwire, his testimony before Congress pretty much shaped my opinion. But I also don’t think anyone should be run through the wringer until facts can be confirmed. (After all, if you relied simply on internet reports, the Rams would have about 3 or 4 head coaches right now.)
I was surprised, however, to see that ESPN.com ran with the report this morning … making sure they fully attributed to the original source, of course, to keep their name clean. Read at your own risk, but be wary.
OK, time to climb down from my ivory tower.
BOSOX BUILD IT, FANS WILL COME: As evidenced by Cardinals GM John Mozeliak’s live chat here at STLtoday.com yesterday, Cardinal Nation is restless about the slow pace of movement this offseason. Many folks just aren’t buying that this team has done enough for the 2009 season. I know the Cardinals can’t rival the Red Sox in payroll, but the Boston Globe has put together an excellent series of vignettes on “Building the 2009 Red Sox.” You have to click there a few times as they take you through every move made by the team this offseason, what it cost the team and what they hope the payoff to be.
It’ll make you green with envy, but you’ll also see some relatively good buys among the Bosox’ moves. Check it out.
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SOMETHING TO PONDER
BACKES DOWN, BUT NOT OUT: The pictures from the St. Louis Blues game on the front of the Post-Dispatch Sports cover today tell a great story … if not a complete one. First there’s the main photo of David Backes crumpled on the ice after taking a bone-crunching hit into the boards from the Blackhawks’ Cam Barker. (Barker received a five-minute major penalty for interference.) In the same photo you can see that Backes’ teammates took immediate exception to the hit, sticking up for the guy that’s become the de facto leader of this team by doing everything possible on the ice to help his team win. In the secondary photo, you see Backes doubled over in pain as he’s helped off the ice. Pictures truly can say a thousand words.
But here’s what the pictures don’t say: Backes put himself in the precarious position to take that hit because he was busting his tail to get to the puck just to avoid an icing call … in the first period. How many guys will expose their bodies like that early in a game just to avoid an icing call? But it’s exactly those sort of plays that often lead to a puck getting poked loose in the offensive zone and a team getting an unexpected goal. But again, it sometimes takes a player to sacrifice his body to get something like that started.
Now the second part of the untold story: When Backes was helped off the ice and immediately headed to the locker room, given the Blues luck with injuries this season, I thought, “There goes the team’s best player for the next month or so.” If you saw the hit you could envision a fractured shoulder, broken ribs, any number of maladies.
But before I could crack open another cold beverage, there he was, back on the ice … barely missing a shift. And for the rest of the game he continued to play the same aggressive, physical style of hockey Blues fans have come to appreciate from him.
I tell you, folks, this is one David that is becoming a Goliath for this Blues team. Hardly a veteran in just his third NHL season, the 24-year-old Backes embodies “Whatever It Takes” and leads by example for every player on this team.
Note to J.D. and Coach Murray: With the Blues team captain likely out the rest of the season with an injury, give this kid the “C” for the rest of this season and see where he leads them. He’s earned it.
OK, enough man-love for Backes. I’ve just been extremely impressed with his play in the last couple of months and the toughness he showed last night took it to another level.
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STAT OF THE DAY
419 – Receiving yards by Arizona’s Larry Fitzgerald in three postseason games this year. Fitzgerald, the game’s best WR today, has numbers that rank with some of the best in history. Check out this short chart on nfl.com.

