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07.22.2008 6:55 pm

Are oil speculators the cause of sky-high gas prices?

St. Louis Post-Dispatch
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 U.S. Senators must think that market speculators are the reason why gasoline prices have skyrocketed in recent months. They voted 94-0 on Tuesday to move ahead on legislation to curb speculation in oil markets. Few expect anything to come of it.

The Senate bill would require the Commodity Futures Trading Commission to set limits on trading in oil markets by investors and speculators and close a loophole that allows speculators trading on the London oil market to escape scrutiny by U.S. regulators.

But the majority say the bill will only end with both parties blaming each other for not doing enough to combat this summer’s $4-a-gallon-plus gasoline prices.

House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, D-Calif., says in the story that she won’t let the House or any of its committees or subcommittees allow a vote on offshore drilling. She and other Democrats say the oil companies should first look to areas offshore and in Alaska where drilling is already allowed.

But despite another round of huge quarterly profits, giant oil companies such as Exxon Mobil and ConocoPhillips insist they’re trying to find new oil that might help bring down gas prices, but the money they spend on exploration is nothing compared with what they spend on stock buybacks and dividends.

But that’s not true, according to a report by Rice University’s James A. Baker III Institute for Public Policy.

The report says that the five biggest international oil companies plowed about 55% of the cash they made from their businesses into stock buybacks and dividends last year, up from 30% in 2000 and just 1% in 1993. The amount the companies spend to find new deposits of fossil fuels has remained flat for years, in the mid-single digits.

Are oil market speculators really the cause of our high fuel prices? Or should we be forcing  big oil companies to use larger portions of their huge profits to find new sources energy, be it oil, solar, nuclear or wind power – or something else?

21 comments

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They better hurry up and pass this…otherwise they won’t be able to claim credit for the fall in oil prices we’re seeing right now.

The bill won’t really do anything–speculation will still be legal in London. Their supposed oversight of groups that trade there isn’t meaningful enough to curb the market’s ability to set a price for oil.

Not that it really will do much anyway. Prices go up and down over the long term because of fundamentals. Speculation doesn’t change the fact that it’s becoming harder and more expensive to meet the world’s demand for oil.

If oil were really $50 higher than it should be, every speculator in America would be betting against oil. The price of oil is high because of supply and demand (and perceived worries about it).

If big oil companies really thought it was worth it to invest in finding more oil, wind power, etc. they would do so. They’re spending billions to find new sources of oil and gas when they have the right opportunities.

Companies pay dividends and buy stock back because they don’t have the ability to spend that cash on profitable investments. The massive growth in payouts to shareholders is a symptom of big oil’s biggest problem–Exxon, Chevron, et al have a lot of trouble accessing new oil fields. Many of the places they’re allowed to drill for new oil are in rough terrain (such as under thousands of feet of water) or in places where the government isn’t exactly shareholder friendly (like Russia).

The profit margin on a gallon of gasoline is the same as the margin on a bottle of Budweiser. Their profits come from scale, not pricing power.

— Paul
8:03 pm July 22nd, 2008

It appears that it is according to many analysts in that industry. But speculation on the mineral rights of massive amounts of lands are another issue. It is so silly that we are talking about opening up more lands when so many leases are traded back and forth in a speculative manner with no drilling going on. It’s a shell game that many in those twin towers perfected at your expense. The reason you are noticing it more now is that the rest of the world simply wants its rightful energy share. I just saw yet another news report about electric cars that was so dated about the technology available today. The black energy interests keep putting out propaganda to keep alternative PROVEN cheaper energy technology at bay. So anti-american they are!

— Slugger
11:45 pm July 22nd, 2008

Gas prices will go down…………

— momama
12:10 am July 23rd, 2008

Oh boy, Congress and oil issues. The same outfit that claimed prices would drop if topping off the strategic reserve was stopped. Well it was and prices still went up 15 percent. Oops. Wake me up when the next Congress and President are sworn in because this bunch is as slimy as an oil slick.

— Scott_Simon
5:51 am July 23rd, 2008

Watch it.

Learn it.

Live it.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_hi3VvIeAUc

Anyone who can look at what happened in Californias energy market in 2000 and Enron’s role in that debacle and say “it wasn’t deregulated speculation” is, quite frankly, a buffoon.

“Artificial shortages. Bogus deals. Total market control”. Indeed. Sound familiar?

In 2000 and 2001 energy prices in California TRIPLED because of speculation in a deregulated market. Remember the blackouts and the rage? Read a book titled “The Smartest Guys In The Room” (or watch the movie) and know the truth.

What’s happening in the current oil and natural gas markets is the exact same, and was engineered by the exact SAME PEOPLE. Lobbyists from ENRON are the ones that lobbyed for the LOOPHOLE in the CFMA (in 2000) that deregulated the current oil market and allowed the orgy of speculation you are seeing now. On The Hill they are calling it THE ENRON LOOPHOLE.

Schucart himself admits that most of the oil companies profit margins are going to STOCK BUYBACKS. Why do you figure that is?

There are TWO types of people who deny the truth of oil speculation.

1. “Flat Earth” types that aren’t educated on how the market’s work and lack the common sense to work it out for themselves.

2. “Gordon Gekko” types that truly believe that “greed is good” and admire and defend the behavior that is a) ruining our economy b) enriching countries which do not have America’s best interest at heart and c) hurting people. These people are the intellectually dishonest ones that KNOW the truth, and still smirk and scream “SUPPLY AND DEMAND!” when confronted with the unethicalness and cruelty of their positions.

Mac
http://www.brownsludge.com

— Mac
7:14 am July 23rd, 2008

Almost every analyst believes speculation is driving up prices, the only debate is by how much. Personally, I think any amount is too much – common sense regulations need to be re-applied (yes, the stops were removed) so we can slow this runaway train.

What strikes me as twisted is that the same people who will use military force to maintain a steady supply will fight tooth and nail to allow speculators to disrupt the demand. I hope the Congress will be able to reign in the worst abuses, but with this much money at stake, I’m not optimistic.

— Anonaman
8:06 am July 23rd, 2008

These oilbusinessmen are such liars. The government have given them a load of money (grants) for the purpose of drilling and they have placed that money into their bottom line profits. Why aren’t these oil executive businessmen prosecuted?

Oh, by the way, don’t you all realize the price of oil fell because Bush annouced that he was lifting the bans on off-shore drilling? (LOL), Right Si, where are you?

— D. Walker
9:57 am July 23rd, 2008

One last thhought, I think that our country, THE GOVERNMENT, because of oil being such an important and neccessary comodity, this country should take back their leases from these oil companies, place these oil companies completely out of the picture and go into the drilling oil business.

This is just plain non-sense. Oil should become government jobs. No country should depend on greedy businessmen for something so neccessary to their country and the world.

— D. Walker
10:08 am July 23rd, 2008

Retirement, security, food, housing, education, healthcare, oil…..is there anything else that the government should be responsible for DWalk?

Geesh this country is in trouble.

Are oil speculators responsible for high oil prices? About 5% responsible. Consumers are 60%, Government 35%.

— Amazedbythelunacy
10:37 am July 23rd, 2008

Amazedbythelunacy,

I see that you would rather continue to place faith and hope into greedy oil businessmen and corpprations instead of the government where the people would have much oversight.

You really are blind.

— D. Walker
11:12 am July 23rd, 2008

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