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10.29.2009 9:26 am

What will be your signal that the recession is over?

St. Louis Post-Dispatch
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Some economists are saying — perhaps with a touch of irony — that the recession is over. The U.S. economy grew in the past quarter by 3.5 percent, the first expansion of the gross domestic product in more than a year. In fact, it was stronger than the 3.3 percent growth rate economists had predicted.

“We’re beginning to crawl out a very deep hole,” said economist Ken Mayland, president of ClearView Economics. “It will take time to get back to normal again and there are questions about how consumers will hold up in the months ahead. But I think the recovery will be sustained.”

So, they say, that’s the early sign that the recession is over. Still, the local unemployment rate was 10.2 percent last month. Millions across the country are still out of work. And economists are predicting that even if we’re in recovery, it will be a so-called “jobless recovery.”

I heard in a report on the radio this morning that economists expect the economy to limp back through next year.

So if one quarter of GDP growth signifies the beginning of the end for economists, what’s your benchmark? When will you know that the recession is over?

94 comments

When I quit reading daily stories about how many people are laid off from this or that company. Even your so-called experts say job recovery is not forthcoming for a long time yet to come.

— Ray Campbell
9:35 am October 29th, 2009

When the Fed government balances the budget and actually starts paying down the trillions in national debt.

— Amazedbythelunacy
9:36 am October 29th, 2009

When there are jobs available to the thousands of people laid off.

— jenzwrds
9:57 am October 29th, 2009

When the president gives back the cost of living raise to the elderly and disable.

— Elsberry kid
10:08 am October 29th, 2009

When I learn to spend within my means and reduce unnecessary expenses till income and expenses are more balanced

— Norris Hall
10:22 am October 29th, 2009

When I can go back to work at a decent wage. In all the months I’ve been searching I’ve noticed companies wanting highly qualified employees with experience, but they do not want to pay for what they are asking. I understand companies are hurting as well, but in my opinion they are taking advantage. Who wants to spend more on gas getting to work than they are making? I don’t know anyone that can afford to make less than they spend to work. If we aren’t making a little extra, how can we spend to support the economy so it can grow?

— AnnfromArk
10:24 am October 29th, 2009

When our wage freeze is over. Everything around us is increasing in price, except our salaries. Going on 2 years without even a cost of living increase (although the cost of living has increased - especially health insurance!) when I get a raise I will consider the recession over.

— bamafan23
10:31 am October 29th, 2009

When the Democrat leadership in Congress is hanging from a gibbet.

— Dave
10:39 am October 29th, 2009

When the wage freeze is lifted at my place of employment. Last year, annual merit increases were eliminated plus I was given a “promotion” with more responsibilities and no more pay. But, at least I am still working, so can’t really complain.

— Anne
10:41 am October 29th, 2009

When we get this bozo out of office and we get more people working, and people can earn an income that meets their needs. He is trying to socialize everything and this lead to this mess since he took office. Getting him and his cronies out will be a first step. We know from history this approach will not work. we will suffer more while he is in office. Its going to be a long ride until he and his policies are not depressing this nation. Maybe a new person might be better, but for now we are stuck with it.

— concerned citizen
10:41 am October 29th, 2009

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