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11.25.2008 3:33 pm

Missouri’s bowl projections

St. Louis Post-Dispatch
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It is starting to look more and more that the Tigers could wind up in either San Diego or Jacksonville if they don’t win the Big 12 championship game to earn the automatic bid to the Fiesta Bowl.

A lot could change between now and Dec. 7 when bowl bids are made official.

Here’s how it stands now:

BCS games (National title, Fiesta or at-large): Assuming the Big 12 South champion wins the Big 12 title game, a good chance it is in the national title game and another of the one-loss Big 12 South teams will still be ranked high enough for a BCS at-large bid.

Cotton: With the first pick after the BCS bowls of Big 12, the Cotton is still leaning toward the odd-team out of the BCs, either Texas, Oklahoma or Texas Tech.

Holiday: This is the key choice for the Tigers fate. It’s still between Missouri and Oklahoma State for the trip to San Diego. Is a 10-3 Tigers team a better draw than a 9-3 Cowboys? Hard to say how much to read into it but the Holiday Bowl is send a representative to watch the Oklahoma-Oklahoma State game on Saturday and not the Missouri-Kansas game. One Holiday official said the bowl traditionally has looked at conference records, overall records and head-to-head results when picking its teams.

Gator: With Notre Dame’s loss to Syracuse, the Gator is looking again to exercise its option for a Big 12 team. Most of the speculation has centered around Nebraska as the choice to face an ACC team. But if the Holiday passes on Missouri, would the Gator go for the Tigers instead of the Cornhuskers? In a recent interview with the Post-Dispatch, Gator Bowl president Richard Catlett said the Big 12 had several attractive teams. He told the Washington Post that the biggest factor this year “has got to be about brings the most fans. Then it has got to be about matchups, then it has got to be about television.” Possible ACC teams are Miami and Florida State, which both have bowl history against Nebraska.

By the way, ESPN is split on its projections between Holiday and Gator for the Tigers.

Alamo: The San Antonio game picks fifth and will probably wind up with whomever the Holiday and Gator pass over.

Sun: If the Gator goes Big 12, the Sun is out of the Big 12 mix.

10 comments

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Looks like MIzzou , unless they win the BIg 12 Championship game will, get hosed again on the bowl selections . I dunno what it is or why , but Mizzou got stuffed last year on the BCS and this year , untill Notre Dame choked last week , they were the Gators # 1 choice ? Can you believe that ? Yes it about economy this year , who will bring the most fans and spend . And now to think the Gator Bowl is quietly spinning the Boys of Corn ? Gimme a break ! Do you really think the fans of Nebraska would pull up the whole state and go to watch that crappy team and go to Jacksonville ? Prolly … ok Mizzou you just gotta win and keep winning to get that big pay day and big day on TV , cause your not gonna get a ” reward ” for a fine season …politics once again have influenced your bowl .

— i1u2guess
November 25th, 2008

Yes, Nebraska does have a bowl history against Miami and Florida State and it is an awful one. Does the Gator Bowl remember the 0-5 record The Big Dead has against those teams, not to mention being outscored 162 to 78 in those contest?

This is a another classic case of the ridiculous bowl system that currently exist. If you are going to have a Bowl syste then at least the almighty NCAA should insist they have a say in the pairings (i.e. like they do for basketball).

Nebraska is awful and shouldn’t get picked in a bowl over a team that spanked them in their back yard by 45!

— postpecker
November 25th, 2008

How bout everyone quit talking about us losing the Big 12. Let’s win that and go the Fiesta. Anything can happen. we dropped the ball last year in the Championship, so maybe we take it and run with it this year.

— StlWichita
November 25th, 2008

One thing I’d like to point out. Missouri destroyed Nebraska in their home. MU is by far the better team. Let’s hope this doesn’t happen again to Mizzou, they are beyond deserving. Why does the sports world hate us anyway? I mean the whole state of Missouri?

— daish314
November 25th, 2008

I agree that MU should go before NU. And yes, they did beat Miami for a National Championship.

— semo_yogi
November 25th, 2008

Hosed? If Mizzou loses the Big 12 title game, that means it will have lost to the only three decent teams on its schedule. That 10-3 is not exactly glamorous when you look at the who the 10 wins came against.

The Cotton Bowl worked out just fine last year, when you consider the potential for recruiting in the Dallas area and the fact that bowl proceeds get split among the rest of the conference anyway.

I agree with StlWichita: Let’s win the Big 12 championship in Kansas City. It would be fun to win the conference, go to the Fiesta Bowl, and screw up the national picture but good!

— Michael Diver
November 25th, 2008

Here’s the situation with the Gator Bowl. They are in desperate need of money or else this year could be the last Gator Bowl played. Nebraska would definitely bring more fans than Mizzou to Jacksonville. Now if Florida State plays in it, then the Big 12 opponent should not be as much of an issue since the FSU campus is relatively close. Georgia Tech would be a bad selection, even though the drive isn’t that bad, because they played in the ACC championship game there a couple years ago against Wake Forest and it wasn’t even close to a sell out. And who knows how many Miami fans would travel all the way north for the game. A Missouri-Florida State matchup would not be bad as far as I’m concerned.

— dcee53
November 25th, 2008

Personally not even being a MU fan(GO BIG RED!) I could care less but i think that they should go to the cotton bowl again b/c NU’s loyal fan base is by far larger than MU’s and a MU-Florida State match up in the gator bowl would be a snooze fest, NU clearly has a history with Florida State so i think they should play one another in the Gator Bowl. And Mizzou needs to realize that whoever wins the Big XII South will simply DOMINATE MU so give those conference title hopes up…

GO BIG RED!!!!

— Kriston
November 25th, 2008

It sure is starting to sound like Alamo Bowl for Mizzou to me. If they don’t win the conference, I think that style points over the next couple of weeks will determine Mizzou’s ultimate fate. If OSU looks really bad against OU, and Mizzou beats Kansas easily then loses a close conf champ game, I think that Mizzou may be able to get the Holiday Bowl. I do think that Nebraska probably has the inside track for the Gator Bowl due to stronger travelling fan support. If OSU looks as good or better than MU over the next couple of weeks, MU will get the Alamo.

One bright side would be that the Alamo Bowl is another recruiting opportunity in Texas, albeit not as glamorous as the Cotton Bowl last year.

— Doug
November 26th, 2008

Wake up Mizzou fans. While its true that Mizzou beat Nebraska, but lets be honest, bowl games are about money. Mizzou has a horrid record of traveling to bowl games and is known nationally as a bad bowl pick because of low turnout and fans that arent exactly pleasant to their bowl guests.
When you cant even sell out your own home games, and often dont fill your Big !@ ticket allotment to away games, why would you think you would be picked to go to a prime bowl game. You want to go to good bowl games? Then start showing up to your own games, attend away games and start treating visiting fans and fans when on the road with more respect. Enjoy the Alamo or Insight Bowl. Thats the best you’ll get this year.

— realist
November 29th, 2008