Joe Strauss: Alarms are
sounding. The fan base is high-tailing it for high ground. And
those left behind are grabbing the pitchforks and feeding the
bonfires. In a town where baseball is religion, the past weeks have
taken on the appearance of the End Time. The local nine is 4-12
since pilfering the NL Central lead from the Reds but, boy, does it
seem a lot longer ago than that. All kinds of negative trends if
you're into that stuff. As we speak the Cardinals haven't led for
35 innings and are 2-7 on a three-city trip against teams that
amassed 3 of the NL's 4 lowest OPS figures in August. The humanity.
The Reds have a seven-game lead over the Cardinals with 32
remaining. To squander that edge would require a choke of epic
proportions. The Cardinals seemingly are left with the prospect of
gaining their second-ever wild-card entry into the postseason.
(Remember the 2001 NL Central "co-champions?) So many questions.
Let's not delay further as the club prepares to start its series
finale in Houston in little more than an hour. For those
interested, JSL!!! does offer investment advice for the upcoming
college football slate upon request. With that as a tease, let's
surf!!!
CSWest: Hello Mr.
Strauss,
This season has exposed the biggest weakness in this Cardinal team:
depth. It's always mentioned how the Reds don't have the ace
pitchers, but they have six or seven quality starting pitchers that
can give their team a chance to win. The Cardinals have the ace
pitchers, but their depth was exposed when Penny and Lohse got
injured. The same can be said with the lineup, which, in my
opinion, is missing at least one big power bat and a 60-80 RBI
man.
The bad part is that a good portion of the offseason will involve
TLR's decision and extending Albert, and that may prevent the
Cardinals to fix this depth issue. Thoughts?
Joe Strauss: You make a great
point and one that has been discussed here since spring training
(so, naturally, that speaks well for your observation). The
Cardinals entered the season carry five outfielders... FIVE! And
Jon Jay wasn't one of them. At that moment one had a pretty clear
idea that this was going to be a bumby ride if the club was going
to be dependent on internal options. As has happened, released
players (Miles, Winn, MacDougal, Suppan) and a drop (Feliz) have
represented the team's response to major needs. The recent
appearance of Molina, Winn, Jay, Feliz, Craig, etc., in the No. 5
slot is astonishing for a team with a payroll above $90 million.
The Cardinals have remade themselves into the San Francisco Giants,
a team overly reliant on starting pitching. Agreed, the
minor-league system has provided Rasmus and Garcia the last two
years. But to argue Jay, Craig, T. Greene, B. Anderson & Co.
make this self-sufficient for next season is insane. Simply put --
again -- the player development system is not mature enough to
support a contending club despite what "third-party publications"
may have boasted in 2009. The organization faces numerous big
decisions after this season. I am frankly baffled at how many of
those near-term answers might reside within the current
minor-league system. If the Cardinals are going to fortify
themselves this winter, they're going to have to spend on more than
a Pujols extension.
Red Bird: Joe, it's my first
time so be gentle
It's plain to me that the Cards have quit on the season. I expect
some changes over the winter. The Cards are weak at second, Short
and Third base. Assuming the addition to a new closer, and
considering the limited options available in free agency, what
position do you think the Cardinals are most likely to upgrade this
winter?
Joe Strauss: Finding a dangerous
middle infield bat would be pivotal. The club must determine
whether it's willing to invest a third season in Schumaker at 2B or
assign him as part of its OF depth. As of now, there is no proven
bat to project as protection for Albert and Holliday next season.
The club has repeatedly learned the dangers of moving all-in on
David Freese, who was enjoying a nice offensive year but had not
validated the breathless organizational (and in some cases, media)
projections of him as a sure-fire 20-HR bat. The Cardinals appear
set with C, 1B, LF, and 4 starting pitchers. The bullpen shows
promise with Boggs, Motte, Salas and McClellan but the club likely
will re-visit the available options at closer. (Franklin is signed
through next season.) I'm still willing to assume Rasmus is back in
CF but I wouldn't write it with Sharpie. The last couple months
have proven that dumpster-diving won't address this lineup's
exposure.
Slip Kid: Joe
In the early years of the decade, the Cardinals under TLR were
always a strong finishing team, but since 06, the team seems to run
out of gas in August or September. The way TLR uses his bench
should in theory keep guys fresh, but they seem lifeless. I don't
question the team's desire, but there doesn't seem to be any
energy.
Thanks in advance for your comment.
Joe Strauss: Your observation is
valid. It's also valid to note that the team's depth has been an
issue the last four years. In 2007 it was impossible to project the
Cardinals' "No. 6 starter" when the season began. The same applied
this year. A team appears lethargic when overmatched at the plate.
Five hits and no runs the last two nights fit that
description.
Bryan Cathey: Hi Joe. The LAST
PLACE Pirates sunk our BATTLE SHIP. The LAST PLACE NATIONALS VETOED
out run at 1st place. Now Hello HOUSTON we have a BIG PROBLEM!!!
What is NEXT?? The RED MENACE!!!!!!!!!!!!!! JOE WE ARE IN BIG BIG
TROUBLE!!!!!!!!! Rasmus back with NO HITS in 2 games. No runs in 2
games for the Cardinals!! No help at the trade dead line last
night!!!!! OUR HAIR GONE & our 2010 season following our hair
down the tolet WHAT can Mo & Tony do to SAVE the season??? It
WILL have to come from what is on the team because you cant make
trades anymore. And what we have now CAN NOT HIT BOTTOM much less a
baseball!!! Now with us 4 & 7 games out of 1st,,, Is the 2010
Playoff hopes over??? THANK YOU!!!!! Bryan
Joe Strauss: STOP YELLING. This
team has now positioned itself to be known as The Miracle Redbirds.
I wouldn't declare the season over. I know this because I am
scheduled to cover three games this weekend before heading to
Atlanta next week.
SLS72: Today is my birthday
(38) Sir and I would like it if you could answer my 2 quick
questions. Do you really think that 7 or 8 relief pitchers are
really needed when STL offence has stink the last 3 or 4 years?
Could a starting pitcher start going into the 8 or 9th inning. I
think starting pitchers are really getting babied today compared to
when I was kid- it's just plain lazyness. Have a full bench of 5 or
6 guys for offence. And the other question is "When are STL
ownership gonna get some team speed" (basestealers) and (I do not
mean guys like Coleman or Brock) just 2 two or 3 guys that can
steal a base? This offence reminds me of the 80's but this 2 or 3
power guys however no speed at all. Thank you sir--SLS72
Joe Strauss: Happy birthday. Is
your name Rob Dibble?
The Cardinals have attempted to protect the rotation by keeping an
extra reliever for much of the season. The reason is two-fold, a
concerted effort not to overexpose Jaime Garcia and whoever has
served as fifth starter for the majority of the year, and the lack
of perceived offensive options at Memphis. The club gave zero
consideration to Ruben Gotay, Kevin Howard or Joe Mather when in
need of a third baseman. Yadier Molina had to suffer a knee injury
before TLR and the coaching staff would entrust Bryan Anderson with
significant time. Tyler Greene has remained at Memphis while Felipe
Lopez has burned. Anyone paying attention would realize there is
significant distrust in the major-league clubhouse of what Memphis
has to offer.
Wainwright and Carpenter have shouldered heavy innings loads. Lohse
was hurt. Garcia is a rookie two years removed from TJ surgery.
Suppan was signed as a released reliever. There's a reason for
caution.
The Cardinals have admittedly struggled at "playing the
scoreboard." Additional speed would help. They were 1-8 in one- and
two-run games in August.
There's a debate to be had over whether TLR could gain something by
"pushing" in the first inning... bunt or steal ahead of Pujols,
daring an opposing manager to put two runners on with one out for
Holliday. Again, the No. 5 hitter becomes an issue.
Thom Wilborn: Hi:
Love when the Cardinals win, understand when they lose. But what is
going on now makes me sick. This is a really good team, maybe
great, but they look like a bunch of thumbsuckers watching other
people win. Can't blame the pitching, but we better clone Albert.
How many underperformers can't this team withstand?
Joe Strauss: This is not a great
team, sir. A great team does not on occasion field a lineup of
three released players, a salary dump and multiple rookies. I
better check. I may have just described today's starting nine
against the Astros.
Rockhead: If TLR does not come
back next season what do you think about Don Wakamatsu? I have read
TLR say good things about him and I dont think he was really given
a real shot in Seattle. I personally think he would be a good fit
but I am not a baseball insider nor do I claim to know everything
about baseball. Not looking for comparisons over any other
candidate....just specifically what you think about him.
Thanks!
Joe Strauss: I don't see a ready
connection. In addition, the Mariners mutinied on him shortly after
the All-Star break. Not exactly a good thing to have on the
resume.
joie: Wow mr Joe is there a
team out there that Cards can beat or have we now become the worst
team in baseball?
Joe Strauss: To answer your
question, the Cardinals were actually the fourth-worst NL team
(11-15) in August. Let's not hyperbolize.
JeffDH52: This team has'nt been
fun to watch for a couple of years now, I have turned them off
several times now. I never have done that until last year.They seem
like they are an extension of Tony's personality. Dull. It makes me
sick what has happened to this team. It starts at the top. Time for
a change.
Joe Strauss: You're on the
record. I think your explanation is a bit simplistic. however.
There are mane elements to what has gone wrong.
Randy Murschell: Hey Joe
How exciting the Cards called up 4 guys who have no business
playing in the major leagues and won't be with the team next year.
It is the same old same old with LaRussa why not call up Carpenter,
Descalo,Sanchez some guys that may actually have a future and
breathe some life into this this team. Any chance any of these
young guys will get called up?
Thanks
Joe Strauss: There are issues
within the 40-man roster that must first be addressed. Like you,
many would welcome the opportunity to see some of the HPGF's
favorites before season's end. There likely will be additional
promotions shortly after Memphis' season expires.
Greg: El Diablo,
On a lighter note, had Jim Edmonds been with the team this year
what odds do you lay on him shaving his "anchorman hair" to show
team unity?
Joe Strauss: The null set. The
Cardinals have five hits and have yet to score since shaving. Might
a layover at Hair Club for Men be in order en route to St.
Louis?
hank shaw: If Tony doesn't
return...and I personally think it's time for a change, regardless
of Tony's outstanding record here--is there any chance the Cards
can retain Dunc?
Joe Strauss: It depends on the
successor. My information is that it's not a slam dunk that Dunc'
would leave. (Very likely, however.)
uglyjohn: El Diablo,
Here's my assessment - agree or disagree?
The Birds have not given up. They have not stopped playing for TLR
or their playoff hopes. (Witness the cue ball noggins.)
However, as currently constructed they simply do not present an
offensive threat, even to mediocre pitching (#s 5 & 7 aside).
Thus far this season, even through the injuries and the various
funks of the regular 8, they have had the good fortune of seeing
Wainwright, Carpenter, and Garcia throw a near-shutout every time
out. But lately that has not been the case, and the Birds have been
plucked bare.
So what now? My assessment is that the team is still competing and
is not completely out of it, but the only way they can possibly win
even the wild card is to produce a solid month of positively
incandescent pitching.
Is your correspondent on-target or out-of-line?
Yrs, uj
Joe Strauss: Spot on. But given
the wear on Waino' and Carp this year and last, your hope may be a
bit unrealistic.
CardsFan247: What went wrong
and where? Someone has to take the blame. From player, to manager,
and GM. Nobody seems to admit fault. Its frustrating as a Cardinals
fan to not see any kind of integrity shown by this organization to
not admit its mistakes and make us believe "they tried".
Joe Strauss: My information is
that it's the media's fault.
maxb: Oh how I don't envy you
this week o'king of the waves. I'm sure that you're getting a
boatload of "the sky is falling" questions from the self proclaimed
best fans in baseball.
Any chance Cards these fans wise up and boo the heck out of these
guys whenever they take the field against the future division
winners this weekend?
More importantly, from top to bottom, is anyone in the organization
safe after this season? I know Mo just got a new deal, TLR is year
to year, and Albert is locked up for another year. But, this late
season decline seems to be an every year thing now. Should the
decline continue (or even if the Cards finish strong and miss/make
the playoffs), what kind of off season shakeups does the wave
master think are on the horizon?
Thanks, Max
Joe Strauss: You purchase the
right to boo with your ticket. I've listed the decisions the club
faces. Finances will dictate direction. Rasmus is a pivotal player.
Does the club project him as a cost-effective difference-maker or
are his issues with the current manager enough to prime a trade?
I've heard both.
Sadecki64: Oh Great Wise and
Powerful One:
With the Cards still close in the wild card race, I was mildly
shocked they did not pick up a player or two before the Sept. 1
deadline. After all the lackluster play of late, I think adding a
new face would have sent a message or two to the players and
possibly started on the much needed overhaul of the clubhouse
chemistry. Your thoughts?
Joe Strauss: A number within the
clubhouse shared your expectation.
sdcloud9: Hey Joe, first time
tsunami rider though following the Cards it's seems more like a
ripple.
(1) Do you believe the Cards front office believes the offensive
drop off is a fluke or will the offensive issues force some
personnel moves this offseason?
(2) Who do you see as the future closer? Motte, Boggs, McClellan,
or someone else.
Thanks.
Joe Strauss: The offense will be
addressed to some degree.
Motte or Boggs. McClellan projects as a potential fifth starter or
set-up guy. The Cardinals are among an increasing number of teams
reluctant to commit big money long-term to closer types. If there
is a low-cost option available, they may "kick the tires" this
winter.
rick from the jersey shore:
Dear Chatmeister--- Assuming Mo is fired and you're named GM, what
would you do to fix this team for 2011 with regards to:
1. the manager
2. the roster (assume a $100 million budget)
Thanks for navigating us through this disappointing season-
Joe Strauss: Mo' just signed a
two-year extension with an option for 2013. He's safe. And he's not
asking for my advice. But...
I'd seek an impact middle infielder, a power bat who can platoon in
OF or at 3B, backup C, LH relief, a super-utility type, a veteran
swing man. The middle IF would be the most expensive... I would
assume Jon Jay will merit significant time in '11.
BacBored: Best wishes, Board
Walker,
I don't think this is a fundamentally flawed team. I think it is a
team with some deficiencies that were exacerbated by managerial
preferences.
Remember last winter Tony spoke favorably of Pedro Feliz and
critically of the "unproven" David Freese.
In spring training, he was critical of Jaime Garcia's
inexperience.
He released Adam Kennedy to install Skip Schumaker at second.
He prefers Felipe Lopez at short over Brendan Ryan.
He keeps using Randy Winn as a defensive replacement, and won't
even look at Cazana.
And now we see, Skip works hard and deserves credit for it, but he
is a third rate second baseman. Floppy is a terrible shortstop.
Feliz can still defend, but you want your defense up the middle and
Pedro just doesn't hit all that much. And, Winn plays with his butt
on the wall and watches catchable balls fall for hits. And, the
team looks terrible.
Even players like Molina, Ludwick, Polanco, Pujols had to wait for
injury to gain their opportunity.
I don't see how a team can improve by utilizing their farm system,
if the manager is completely distrustful of the unproven
youngsters.
Tony has done many good things here (1996, 2004, 2005) and some
amazing things (2002, 2006) For those he deserves kudos. But, I
just can't see how he is the right man to right this listing ship.
Do you?
Joe Strauss: A manager is better
when given a roster he is comfortable utilizing. I've rarely had
the sense this season that TLR has been comfortable with the
roster. Of course, such admissions are not for public
consumption.
DDavid: Hey Joe, THE CARDINALS:
Besides having a pitching staff that pitches to contact with a team
that fields poorly, besides having a number of singles hitters in
the lineup who are slow and run the bases poorly, besides the TRADE
and Rasmus/Freese injuries, even with having MVP, Rookie of the
Year, and Cy Young candidates, I feel the major problem all year
for this team has been the offensive batting approach instituted by
Mark McGuire. THIS TEAM HAS AWFUL AT BATS!! Your views please.
Thanks.
Joe Strauss: My opinion is less
meaningful than those of TLR and the front office. I'm not sure
where they stand at this point.
card_in_nc: Aren't we lucky the
season is 162 games rather than 132 games. With 30 games to go,
there is hope. As a Cardinals fan I have to believe. Realistically,
I accept it simply may not be our year.
My dad, RIP, was an auto mechanic for over 50 years before he
passed away. Day after day customers would bring their cars in
trying to explain: "It just broke." Dad would say the same thing
over and over again. "Nothing ever breaks when it breaks. It's been
breaking for a long time. It finally gave up."
Truthfully, this team has been breaking since Spring Training.
Please tell me they haven't "gave up". That would be the cruelest
loss of all.
Joe Strauss: I don't believe
they've quit. Their may, however, be a degree of disillusionment
that has set in. The apologists who rationalize Ludwick's loss
don't consider the several layers affected by his subtraction. This
team is unquestionably diminished. They were alone in first place
the day of the trade. They woke up today seven back. Other factors
are involved but Ludwick was part of a relatively "inexperienced"
offense's core.
Matt: With the cards recent
play, how much of an impact will it play in being able to sign
Albert this offseason? Given the cards are playing horrible right
now, but our team still has more talent on it than most other
teams. Albert, Yadi, Matt, Carp, and Wainwright is a good
foundation for any team the cards piece together.
Joe Strauss: The Cardinals need
to address Pujols' situation up or down this winter. There is much
evidence to suggest the team has become paralyzed by its potential
commitment to him. (See: Ludwick trade.) The club can no longer
tolerate a "hard-to-get" approach. If Pujols' parameters are
considered excessive, the club has to weigh making him available,
though Albert will then enjoy veto power over any deal.
TFCards4ever: Is it safe to
assume as we sit on September 1, seven games out, given the Reds
remaining schedule, their only legitimate threat being San Diego
and Colorado, that the Cards are not going to catch the Reds for
the division crown, and that I should place all my hopes and dreams
into a wild card berth?
Joe Strauss: If you still dream,
that would be an appropriate one to have.
Brock Landers: Wow, this
stretch makes Operation Market Garden look like Desert Storm.
Whitey Herzog once said a manager can lose 5 games a year and maybe
win 5 a year. I routinely see TLR make head scratching in game
decisions, but until now, his teams have played hard, smart
baseball, but no more. I see an overhaul for 2011 and here's
why:
*TLR has lost his mind and/or the team
*The lineup lacks power, speed, OBP and base running ability. If
your slow guys can't slug, and your singles hitters can't run,
that's a bad combo
*We traded our best defensive outfielder, the Skip experiment is a
disaster this year; and for a team that pitches to contact, our
defense sucks.
*We can't count on Friese because of injury, so we need help at
3rd, 2nd, RF, and if TLR stays, CF. Probably need a closer too as
Franklin has again wilted late in the season. Another healthy SP
too.
So.....does DeWitt blow this thing up and trade Albert, blow it up
and sign Albert, or sit back and count the 3 million BIS (butts in
seats)again?
Thanks Joe, Brock Landers
Joe Strauss: You are basing your
assessment on a lineup that has not been whole for the last month
and a pitching staff that has not been whole since late May. TLR
has played a shell game with his lineup for much of the last two
months. In August, Pujols and Holliday accounted for 15 home runs
(11 from El Hombre) and 43 RBI. The rest of the team had 10 home
runs for the month. The Cardinals have disturblingly few ways of
getting it done at the plate. Pujols just constructed one of the
best months of his career while the team collapsed. Holliday
managed a .515 Slg. and an 11-game hitting streak while admittedly
laboring in critical situations. That said, the lack of protection
in the No. 5 spot has exposed Holliday more than Pujols ever
experienced. I can't speak for ownership. Watch what they do.
Terrapin03: Joe,
It was announced that the organization will first try #1 pick Zach
Cox at 3B, then if he shows well move him to 2B and see how he
fares. Isn't this backwards? Don't you usually want to start a
player at the more difficult defensive position then move them off
if they can't handle it?
Joe Strauss: There are concerns
Cox does not project enough power for a major-league third
baseman.
curtis.gans: I know from other
entrees that I'm not the only one who has noticed Josh Kinney's
stellar performance since April. Gordo says that the club has
turned the page on him. And based on his performance returning from
surgery last year, this year in spring training and April at
Memphis, one could see major control issues. But he seems to have
overcome his troubles since April, has a below 2.00 ERA and below
1.50 against left handed batters. He, Salas, Sanches and further
down on the farm, Casey Mulligan, seem to be the class of available
relievers. Do you think that the team might put him back on the
roster -- before he makes a serviceable closer for another
team.
Joe Strauss: Kinney appears
ticketed for minor-league free agency. No longer on the 40-man
roster, he's been the big loser in a numbers game all season. His
lack of consistency became an issue for the major-league staff. You
make a good point: Kinney has been outstanding against lefts all
season.
Handsome Jimmy: Hey Joe, is
there any truth to the rumor that Mike Alden is desperately trying
to schedule a home & home series with the STL Cardinals every
September until TLR retires? More non-conference cupcakes for the
Tigers?
Joe Strauss: Don't try this at
home, sir. Call a professional.
vianden: Yesterday, one of your
colleages wrote of the significance to TLR's tenure were the team
to quit on him during the remainder of the season. Is that the same
signicance were the team already to have quit on TLR? Why limit the
study to the horizon when the villain is already right there on the
stage?!!!
Gaylord A. Virden
Joe Strauss: Can't speak for
colleagues. They have their opinions and we sometimes disagree. I
see problems, not necessarily villains.
nick n: With the Cards chances
for post season becoming slimmer by the day now, do you think it is
wise to have Suppan starting today where Garcia is on regular rest
and then Friday starting Lohse for Wainwright who also would okay
with the off day tomorrow? Can you comment on both Wainwright and
Garcia and why they are being given extra rest when if we do not
start winning there will be plenty of time to re-group come early
October?
Joe Strauss: Wainwright has lost
three consecutive starts for the first time in his career and did
not look sharp at all in DC. He led the league in innings last
season and is again challenging for the innings title this year.
This ain't Strat-o-Matic. Unless Waino' can hit a three-run homer,
he's not going to make a difference until this offense finds a
gear.
betweenDC& Balt: Even if
the Cards reach that magic '92' wins that you kept telling us would
be enough because the Reds weren't going to hit that number, do you
really think anymore that the Reds won't play .500 ball over their
last 30 to reach the 92 win plateau? Rather than just citing the
Cards abysmal play over the past few weeks, maybe we can actually
commend the Reds for getting up off the mat on August 11th and
going 13-4 since then.
Joe Strauss: Point well taken.
I've seen the Reds struggle against stout competition and believed
their recent West Coast swing would create a drag. Instead, they
emerged intact and are playing like a team with purpose. Very
dangerous. It's increasingly obvious they won't have to win 92
games to win this division.
Art Vandelay: What happened
between La Russa and Buzz Bissinger? Why is he having a hissy fit
about Tony and Albert on twitter? Is he right? Does this mean the
Three Nights in August movie is dead?
Joe Strauss: Fair to say Buzz and
TLR have had issues about some of Buzz' public comments about the
team, TLR's desire and the manager's participation in last
Saturday's DC rally. Buzz puts it out there. He's in-your-face.
Whether his insights are accurate or not, they put the manager in
an extremely awkward position. I have no idea what the future is
for 3NIA.
dave shawhan: how long do
players &loyal fans of Cardinals baseball have to put up with
TLR. His constant line-up changes,double switches,& rudeness
toward sports writers are more than many people can tolerate.
Joe Strauss: Frankly, my e-mail
suggests a segment of the fan base embraces TLR for his rudeness
towards scribes. My experience is that TLR chafes at a question
that asks for an uncomfortable truth. There are many such questions
at present.
Keith in Peoria: Hey Joe
-
What do you make of the move to send Allan Craig down and keep
McDougal on the roster for the last 2 games of August? Does anyone
really think that McDougal was going to give us a better chance to
win one of those games than Craig? Especially against two left
handed pitchers? Is there that much lack of confidence in
Craig?
BTW, I said this before those games, and not just now after 5 hits
in 18 innings........
Thanks
Joe Strauss: MacDougal aside,
Craig has struggled for much of this season. I've been among his
honks, but he needs to make a significant adjustment to deserve
consistent playing time at this level.
Handsome Jimmy: Joe, any chance
that both TLR and Buzz Bissinger team up to ghost write a new book
about Albert, forwarded by Glen Beck? "Three Wins in August?" It
would be a great read, I am certain.
Joe Strauss: Damn leaks.
brett: Hail to the king of the
waves.... ok, watching this Cardinal team daily from Texas is
painful enough. Disharmony, weak bullpen, lack of offense, GM
targeting the wrong areas (see Ludwick trade),poor base running,
and sloppy defense. Have I missed anything?? Love Tony but it's
time to go. I don't see this team having sustained success tying so
much money into Holliday and sadly Pujols. It could work if there
had been a track record of minor league success but thats a roll of
the dice right now. Are we at a point of rebuilding or do we forge
ahead with another large contract that limits our depth?? This is a
major decision for this club right now. Thanks!
Joe Strauss: Regardless of
whether or not TLR is back, the roster needs revamping. How it is
reconstituted should include significant input from the next (or
current manager). The manager should be able to call the roster HIS
team, not the front office's team. Anyone who believes disharmony
between the field staff and player development ended with Jocko's
firing is painfully naive.
2in32: Joe, Did you say
playoffs? (Insert Jim Mora voice here). The Cards are chasing
Philly and SF, not to mention Colorado on their tails now. Do you
think they have a legitimate chance at the playoffs? Anything short
of a win today and a sweep of Cincy this weekend, and I think you
can stick a fork in them. They still have 4 games each with ATL, SD
and Colorado to finish the season. For informational purposes only,
give me your odds on the Cards pulling this off. Thanks.
Joe Strauss: 13-1. (The same odds
of their winning the 2006 World Series before the postseason
began.)
Nathan - Troy, IL: In Aprils
2006-2010, the Cardinals had 76 wins against 48 losses for a .613
April winning percentage. This is skewed low by April 2007 when the
team was reeling from the loss of Josh Hancock and an injury to
Carpenter and went 10-14. In Septembers 2006-2009, the Cardinals
had 52 wins against 64 losses for a .448 winning percentage. Those
numbers arguably skew a bit low by the final week of September 2009
when the division was wrapped up and the Cardinals lost 6 of 7
games after clinching the division. First, a comment. This season
is over. Second, what gives? Why do the Cardinals come out the
gates like gangbusters and stink in September?
Joe Strauss: In the last several
years, I'd suggest injuries and mental fatigue. This team has spent
more time in meetings than its predecessors with no discernible
improvement in approach. As one well-known vet suggested before his
departure several years ago, "Can't we just play the game?"
vsiderio: Master of the
gathering Tsunami;
We turn to you for some reporting about things we cannot see or
gauge. Like most Cards fans, I'd like to vent, but I'll try to put
my frustrations in the form of questions:
1. DeWitt chose Luhnow and Mo over Jocketty. The front office
spreadsheets and their HVGF have largely been incorrect. What is
the level of regret, if any?
2. As Bernie pointed out, a team with two #1's, another starter who
is a ROY candidate, a possible triple crown winner and OF and C all
stars should not be 7 games out. The roster construction has been
horrendous. Where does the bulk of the responsibility fall- Mo or
TLR?
3. Is there a chance that the lack of focus and recent tanking is a
statement by the players that they've had all they can take of
TLR?
Joe Strauss: 1. We will find out
this winter.
2. There is shared responsibility. You omit the players.
3. My read is the team is exhausted mentally as much as physically.
They've attempted to do more with less for much of the season. Now
it's not working. The players typically know best about their
chances. I thought the season in peril when the first response I
received re: Ludwick trade was, "What the hell are we doing?" To
many, the question has not yet been answered.
KBF: Hi Joe. Two (and a
half)questions:
1. We here in Fandom have always thought that Tony and Albert are
joined at the hip -- that if Tony leaves, the chances improve that
Albert would, too? Do you agree with that? I guess what I'm really
asking is, how upset would Albert be if upper management suggested
to Tony it might be time to accept his lovely parting gifts and
depart?
2. Have you ever shaved your hair off after a particularly bad run
at poker?
Joe Strauss: I don't believe it
possible to know that answer unless you tell me who TLR's successor
would be. As for the PokerBall question, Lady Diablo has come after
the ChatMeister with scissors following a bad poker run, but not to
cut my hair. Think: Lorena Bobbitt.
John S: Chatmeister
Buzz says TLR has lost interest in baseball. What do your sources
say?
I interpreet Buzz's comment as a strong indication that TLR won't
be back in the STL dugout next year
Regards, John
Joe Strauss: Buzz has also
tweeted that these are just his impressions. He has predicted TLR's
departure in previous years as well. My gut tells me he has a
better chance of being correct this time but that's only a
superficial assessment. I don't believe TLR knows his future as of
this writing.
Steve U: I posted this on my
facebook page today and wanted to share it with you: Steve U knows
that being a manager (whether its baseball or in the work place)
means managing personalities. Young players (and people) today are
spoiled, coddled prima donnas and need to be handled with kid
gloves. If a dummy like me can figure this out, how can a "genius"
like Tony Larussa not be able to? I am glad football season is
here.
Joe Strauss: For a minute there I
thought you were offering TLR advice on how to handle local media.
I'll go as far to say that TLR's intensity may have contributed to
several less experienced players playing tight. Ryan and Rasmus are
candidates as is Tyler Greene. TLR believes pressure applied in May
helps a player in October. I'm sure he has many examples. However,
not everyone reacts identically. A palpable tension has run through
some corners of the clubhouse for parts of this season.
Terrapin03: El Diablo,
There appears to be a disconnect between the big league coaching
staff and the front office. On one side I hear the front office
project a philosophy of self-sustaining player development, but on
the other side I see a roster with low-hanging fruit aquisitions
like Miles, Winn, Suppan, and Feliz. It has the appearance of Tony
telling Mo: "I tried with your guys but I'm going to do things my
way now". Am I overstating the current situation, or is this a
legitimate concern?
Joe Strauss: Uh, I'd call it a
concern.
dn3524: Hi Joe,
I think things are to the point that not only will TLR decide to
go, but he needs to go. Now, I have never been an apologist or a
hater of TLR. I respect the man for his drive, his love of the
Cardinals, his ability to squeeze everything out of a team. What he
has done here will go down in history as a golden age of Cardinal
baseball. However, we often hear about a guy staying "1 year too
long." Well, this year is that year. 2011 would be 2 years too
long. I fully expect Tony to leave, but if he doesn't I think it
just puts the Cardinals one more year late on starting over.
I heard Jim Duquette on XM Radio today discussing good and bad
clubhouses. He said now that he is no longer a GM he has learned
about other teams more than ever. He cited how loose and fun things
were in Philly and Tampa Bay, and that was in Spring Training, not
just now that they are winning. We know "loose and fun" would never
be how a TLR clubhouse would be described. I am rambling on about
this to show what type change is needed. Can you imagine Colby
relaxed all the time? He would flourish. Can you imagine Brendan
Ryan not fearing for the next scolding every minute? Anyway...THANK
YOU Tony for all you have done....but it's time to go.
Joe Strauss: OK, you have duly
vented. It would be nice to hear players say what they truly feel
on the record. However, many are inhibited about offering their
true views. In a way, they may hint at part of the problem.
stlstrap: Although things look
gloomy right now to a lot of people, we did finish ugly in 2006
(3-7 over last ten games) to sneak into the playoffs with 83 wins.
Statistically, we can't continue to hit this poorly over the next
30 games, it just won't happen. If we can put together a nice
streak and "sneak" into this year's playoffs as well, do you still
like our chances of making some noise due to our veteran leaders
and stellar pitching staff? And I can't remember, what happened to
that 2006 team in the playoffs after they played so poorly down the
stretch?
Joe Strauss: The comparisons to
2006 are inappropriate. That team got well at the end of the
season. There is no cavalry on the way this time. The Cardinals
also led almost wire to wire in '06. Believe this: 83 wins ain't
getting it done at this rodeo. What you also fail to remember is
that the '06 postseason rush created a false sense of security
about a roster that needed to be turned over.
Nashville Cardinal: Hey
Joe,
I was curious if the Cardinals have any intentions of refunding all
season ticket holder's money? Or refunding all ticket sales in
general? Have you in your lifetime seen a professional sports team
underacheive more than this one? This team is beyond pathetic. Its
disgusting, pitiful, and worthless all wrapped in one. Its honestly
embarrassing. Thank the Lord for football season...if it only would
have started 2 weeks ago.
Joe Strauss: If you're thankful
for the approaching Rams season, you are in need of help.
RichmondMark: Joe,
what a lousy trip. Putting a nail in the season coffin barring a
transformational turnaround. Never thought I'd sense 'Jimmy Carter
malaise' on my Cards. If they are indeed playing a 'hard 9' the
right way, the results have not been there. Lots of talk about the
Cards' demise on XM, etc. Assuming we continue as is, doesn't this
raise a huge concern about putting a starting 8 of AP, MH & 6
offensive question marks on the field again next year? Like the old
Wendy's commerical..."Where's the beef"?
Joe Strauss: It's true that the
past month has raised many more questions about this team and the
level of support within the farm system. I'd like to be in the room
for some of those October discussions.
Andrew: Is this the last year
for Tony LaRussa managing the Cardinals? Some people seem to think
that either LaRussa or Rasmus are gone, do you agree with this
assessment? If TLR is gone, do we clean house with the whole
coaching staff?
Joe Strauss: I agree there is an
element of organizational claustrophia. The recent comments offered
in Houston were dutifully reported but represent a veneer to
underlying issues. It benefits neither party to air those issues
now. My suspicion is that either TLR or Raz' will not be back in
'11.
Purple 64: Joe, Thanks for
doing this. I hope you will look at these stats and tell me me how
you see it. I have felt all year long the lack of offense has been
problem #1. Injuries, bullpen and defense have also struggled. Even
today I see Mo said he was looking for a LH reliever, Ludwick
traded for pitching and 2 days ago Gordo repeatedly said pitching
was the biggest concern. I looked these numbers up quickly today so
they may not be 100% correct. 49 times this year the birds have
scored 3 runs or less and the record in those games is 6-43. It
can't be blamed on Freese, Ludwick and Rasmus gone because scoring
3 or less has been consistent all 5 months. The record by month
scoring 3 or less is 2-6, 1-12, 1-10, 2-7, 0-8. 41 of these games
only 0, 1 or 2 runs were scored. So the pitchers have to throw a
shutout or allow 1 run to win in 41 games. That means in 41 games
they just have to score 3 runs to win. A second stat to defend the
pitching. Cardinal pitchers have had 94 games where they have up 4
runs or less with the large majority being 3 runs or less. In only
38 games did the pitchers give up more than 4 runs. The loss of
Penny and Lohse did not cause these numbers to change. 4 runs or
less allowed by month were 19, 20, 19, 19, 17. I know both Bernie
and you have touched on the lack of run support and clutch hitting.
I don't understand how the pitching can keep taking so much heat.
It looks like Wainwright would have 22 wins right now with 4 runs
scored for him in each game. Westbrook, Garcia and Carp would also
have 3-5 more wins by getting only 4 runs of support.You thoughts
and thanks again
Joe Strauss: The pitching staff
has held up its end of the bargain. Hint: Next time don't go in
search of Tiffany's on Baltic Ave.
Eric: How far and how fast do
the Cardinals have to fall before they become an embarrassment to
the 'birds on the bat'?
Joe Strauss: I'd say you, the
fans, determine that one.
smagsmoker: Hey Joe,
As I try to understand the turn of events in the last couple weeks,
I am trying to get my grasp of how the Cardinal brass thought
exchanging a proven bat and fielder that helps everyday for a
starter that helps once every fifth day. I know the money for
Ludwick is most likely going to Pujols, however, Westbrook makes
more this year and will unlikely sign here next year. Also, they
probably figured that Garcia may not hold up for the entire year
and wanted a veteran third starter. With that being said, we
already had power deficiencies at C,3B,SS,2B and after this trade
RF. How can we compete with so little power and virtually no speed
at so many positions? Any insight into the Cardinals line of
thinking would be appreciated because I want to break something
everytime I see Feliz and Molina in the five and six hole.
Joe Strauss: TLR and Mo' assumed
Freese would return and, obviously, had no idea Raz' would go down
for two weeks. Hindsight is a nice commodity. That said, there was
immediate blowback within the clubhouse regarding the subtraction
of Ludwick. Not since dealing Polanco for Rolen can I recall the
team trading a more popular player. Obviously, the club acquired a
Gold Glove player and potential Hall of Famer in Rolen, who then
signed long-term. In Westbrook they got a class act, but also a
player perceived as a rental. The front office was genuinely
stunned at the immediate response to the deal. Yes, Mo and
ownership pulled the trigger. But TLR also advocated the move. Any
responsibility is shared.
g35over6: Joe, thanks for
taking the time to answer questions today!Cardinal nation would
assume that the goal of the GM & owners is to win the World
Series every year!With that being said from it was their strategy
to trade for Westbrook. don't you think its odd to think that we
could win the world series with the inexperience of
Freese,Jay,Rasmus,& the way Ryan was hitting at the time. Not
to mention with the shoddy baserunning & fielding we have
displayed this year.Been a fan since 63 & not drinking the
kool-aid.Can you shed a insiders view of this obvious
miscalculation on Mo's view of things.Hopefully this team can do
what the 64 team did.
Joe Strauss: The Westbrook deal
showed a willingness to ride one dominant element at the cost of
overall balance. Now that the strength, starting pitching, is
eroding, the team is even more exposed than before. It ain't rocket
science. But as stated before, the loss of Freese and Rasmus can't
be overlooked. Neither should the lack of depth.
Murph: Is Tony the genius or is
it really Walt who is the genius? I know Walt made some iffy moves
(Haren) but overall he did a heck of a lot for the franchise and
now is doing the same in Cincy.
Also, I'm sure Mo is safe but should he be? Horrible contract for
Lohse, overpaying for Holiday, and this roster which is constructed
with players other teams didin't want (Miles, Suppan, Wynn,
Feliz).
I must admit I feel a lot less comfortable with Mo figuring out
Albert's contract within our total payroll than if Walt were still
here . . . ah the glory days.
Joe Strauss: Bill DeWitt Jr. will
sign off on the percentage of payroll to be committed to Albert.
Funny, didn't hear the whining about Mo' following last season's
91-win division championship. Players and teams have bad years.
This hasn't been Mo's best summer. Some of the issues are beyond
his control. Others, however, are within organizational control.
We'll see how they play out in upcoming weeks.
hmmm615: Good stuff on MLB
Network radio yesterday afternoon, I thoroughly enjoyed it. Is the
local media done freaking out about this Albert/LaRussa rally
business? I've read a few stories where the tone led me to believe
the PD writers are just beside themselves (McClellan, DG, Bernie).
It really didn't seem like that big of a deal, nor did anything
major occur to make it so. Although, I bet the Cardinals PR staff
bit their nails down to the nubs.
Joe Strauss: I just reported it.
My impression was the issue wasn't TLR and Albert attending a rally
considered political. It was their attending a rally that didn't
square with someone else's politics. A number of people gave away
their agendas by smearing the event even before the first syllable
was uttered. I've yet to hear from anyone who didn't believe Pujols
acquitted himself well. He wanted to accept an honor and raise his
visibility for the enhancement of his foundation, which, by all
accounts, does great work.
Wrigleyville Rick:
Chatmeister,
Despite the struggles of the Redbirds, it is such a gift to be able
to follow my favorite squad through the able eyes and pens of
yourself, Bernie, Rick, Derrick, et al. No one rides the wave like
you. If only the product on the field matched the quality of your
product.
In your estimation, how much have the loss of Ryan Ludwick and the
TLR/Colby Rasmus tiff affected the clubhouse dynamic, and in turn,
the team performance? Is the chatmeister more or less concerned
about "feelings" than the loss of Ludwick's pop in the
lineup?
Joe Strauss: Ludwick was a core
offensive player, especially given the heavy presence of
complementary and/or inexperienced players on the roster. His bat
offered real consequence. If he wasn't a producer, there would have
been less "feelings" about the move. Players recognize this as a
business. They didn't criticize the deal because they lost a bridge
partner. Ludwick filled a pivotal role.
Carol in Springfield MO: Hi Joe
-
I'd like your opinion on first pitch swinging. Seems like we do it
a lot and we get out more often than not. Is it me or are the Cards
just not patient at the plate?
Thanks for reading
Joe Strauss: I'm not as hung up
on first-pitch swinging as some of my colleagues. The key is
whether the swings are at hitter's pitches. When a hitters offers
at a nasty pitch or something off the plate, it's a legitimate
issue. Otherwise, you'd think Holliday should give back last
night's double because it came on the first pitch. Question: If
strike one is so important to a pitcher, why is it not equally
important to a hitter. Unless you are a great hitter, there is no
benefit to falling behind 0-1 in the count. Oh, yeah, we've got to
work the pitcher. The Cardinals have a problem with pitch
recognition more than approach, in my opinion.
BNC4477: Hi Joe. Can you tell
us the REAL reason why they got rid of Ryan Ludwick? I mean, from a
pure baseball perspective this deal was absurd. You don't trade
your 3rd best offensive player just to RENT a pitcher with a
lifetime losing record. And Tony's not one to go around replacing
experience with rookies -- just the previous month he had sent Jay
down to make room for Randy Winn. Come on now, this doesn't make
any sense. You must have heard more than we have, I hope.
Joe Strauss: Future payroll
concerns and current lack of leverage within minor-league system.
'Nuf sed.
Scott: Let's say Rasmus is
traded. What sort of return would he bring? Has his value in that
regard slumped any? Seems his slash line and low cost could net a
bit of a haul.
Joe Strauss: Healthy, Rasmus has
significant value to a wide array of teams.
gibbsb10: First time riding the
wave. I have one simple question. Next year, Is TLR the manager and
Rasmus somewhere else?, or Rasmus in center, and TLR somewhere else
(I suppose that was 2 questions)?
Thanks
Joe Strauss: When I know, you'll
read about it in the Post-Dispatch. Right now I'd just be
guessing.
DRN: Hey Joe, CBS sports has
Cards payroll at the start of the year at $93,540,753 ..... with
the salary that will be coming off the books next year, to me, it
sure seems like the Cards should be able to push payroll to 110-115
million and sign Albert long term and add additional players, your
thoughts ?
Joe Strauss: I concur. I've
stated often that $110 million would be plenty.
nick n: How is it really
between Colby and Tony as compared to Rolen and LaRussa? I know one
big difference is that Rolen was already an established veteran
when his shoulder gave in and Rasmus is a potential star not yet
proven, but can they do more than co-exist?
Joe Strauss: Rolen enjoyed far
more juice and was unafraid to voice his feelings. Rasmus is a
young player well aware that a public feud with his manager likely
does little for his reputation. Colby admits he still needs to grow
up some. He's come a distance since last year. But at times the
situation remains an uncomfortable one.
Katy: Most venerable
Chatmeister,
What has a better shot at happening - Waino winning the Cy or the
Cards making the playoffs?
Also, what's your take on the Raz' - La Russa rift? Is it likely
one of them leaves this offseason, as we've been reading?
Thanks much!
Joe Strauss: Waino' for the Cy
appears to have more legs. I've already addressed your second
question.
redbirdfan27: Joe -
While many fans feel the need to blame TLR for all the clubs ills,
doesn't it come down to what the players do on the field? I
understand that a lack of defined roles and a consistent lineup can
be frustrating, but these are major league players and they can't
do better than 5 hits against Houston over two games? And for 17
million/year Holiday has not exactly been clutch, no? Thoughts on
players maybe taking some blame for their situation?
Joe Strauss: Your side is
presented here. It is interesting that fans are baring their teeth
first at TLR, then the front office, then the clubhouse. TLR has
more of a track record than either of the other two factions. That
said, there may be merit to everyone pulling in the same direction.
There are philosophical questions to be asked after this season.
How they are answered may determine whether La Russa returns.
rkahn: Hey Joe (where you goin'
with that pen in your hand),
The free fall has left me positively breathless but I'll try to
gather myself and hope you can provide some enlightenment during
these dark days.
I wonder if you have been puzzled as I have been with the Cardinals
repeated reliance on unproven talent. The 2 most obvious examples
that come to mind are Freese (who may end up being a decent
offensive player but is average at best defensively in my opinion)
and Jay. This may be related to the lack of depth issue discussed
earlier but it astounds me that the brass continually thinks they
can plug newbies into the lineup without a reasonable Plan B in the
wings.
Is there any sentiment for hiring Oquendo to succeed TLR? I think
Jose would make a very good manager and Ricky Horton reminded us
recently that Jose is a direct connection to the great George
Kissel, which has to count for something in the teaching
dept.
The Cards have asked me to plunk down a considerable amount of $ to
secure my seats for the postseason, and it's due by the end of the
week. I'm starting to think that following some college football
investment advice from the chatmeister might be money better spent.
What are your suggestions?
Joe Strauss: Unproven talent =
Cost Savings. C'mon. You know that answer.
To be honest, I'd invest my jack in some college football action
this weekend. Stay tuned for this week's investment advice in my
closing.
renomike99: Joe, an earlier
poster noted how susceptible the current Cardinasls are to
injuries. I believe the Cardianls lack of depth is most tracable to
the new "moneyball", post-Jockety philosophy that the Cardinals
have embraced. For some time you've noted that baseball people from
other organizations seem to have a far dimmer view of the talent in
the Cardinal farm system than do the Cardinals. Yet, rather than
trade to address injuries, the Cardinals seem willing to trust in
the farm system and in young players. It doesn't seem to be
working. Your thoughts?
Joe Strauss: You accurately
summarized my position. If the Cardinals continue down their
self-reliant path, they are likely in for another two years of
struggle. There is talent in the system. I merely question whether
it is ready to assist a contender next season... or in 2012.
Joe: Straussinator-
Who lobbied more for Holliday: LaRussa or Mozeliak?
Joe Strauss: TLR pre-trade.
However, DeWitt Jr. was willing to leave the table during free
agent negotiations until Mo' convinced him to guarantee a seventh
year.
ATH: wold you rather loose in
the playoff's same way we did last year or not make the playoff's
at all?
Joe Strauss: It's always best to
reach the postseason, IMO.
Joe Strauss: That's going to do
it for today. The Redbirds just took a threejack to the gut and
trail the Astros. I wish I could spew some broadcast math that
would fortify your belief in this team's chances but I failed
Pollyanna 101. This team isn't quitting. It's spent. For those of
you breathlessly awaiting investment advice, the ChatMeister is on
Virginia Tech (+3), LSU (-1.5), Northwestern (-5.5), Fresno St.
(-2), Northern Ill. (+4.5), SMU (+14), Missouri (-11.5).
Enjoy.