Whenever management fails to upgrade its talent for the stretch run, we ask the same question: How can team executives look their players in the eye after standing pat?
On the other hand . . .
When the key players continually underachieve, aren’t they the ones trying to avert eye contact with the bosses?
So it goes for the Cardinals, whose management team failed to add more pitching before the trade deadline and whose top-paid players have mostly failed to perform to their previous levels.
The players can be miffed by management inactivity — including the failure to add another free agent (Dallas Keuchel!) — and the previous asset mismanagement that left the Cardinals poorly positioned to trade in July.
And management can be vexed by all the veterans who have failed to meet expectations. So there will plenty of blame to go around if the Cardinals miss postseason play again.
Like the Blues, the Cardinals made their big moves before the season started. The blockbuster trade for Paul Goldschmidt improved the team’s fielding and added heft to the batting order. The signing of free-agent reliever Andrew Miller bolstered the bullpen.
Contract extensions for Goldschmidt (five years, $130 million), Matt Carpenter (two years, $39 million) and Miles Mikolas (four years, $68 million) underscored management’s commitment to the veteran nucleus.
President of baseball operations John Mozeliak believed he had a sturdy everyday lineup and plenty of good young pitching ready to step up if some veterans faltered. On paper the outlook seemed bright.
Ah, but on the field the Cardinals quit hitting in May. The starting pitching faltered, injuries shelved veterans and prospects alike and the team sputtered into July.
Management could have purchased some help during that downturn, since MLB has no salary cap and the Cardinals were miles from the luxury tax threshold. But this wildly profitable franchise chose not to spend.
Mozeliak could have traded for pitching of some description because a few teams (the Detroit Tigers in particular) weren’t picky about the trade return. But he didn’t.
Now the Cardinals are getting healthier, adding key veterans from the injured list rather than outsiders via trades. Now these front-line players must prove they are good as management believed they would be back in spring training.
The Chicago Cubs made multiple upgrades before the trade deadline, but they are also getting better production from their high-paid players too as they work to overcome injuries.
Starting pitcher Yu Darvish has struggled to stay healthy and perform consistently since signing his $126 million deal, but lately he has been nails. He has posted a 2.17 ERA and struck out 38 hitters in his last 29 innings.
Outfielder Jason Heyward has been just a small cog in the Cubs offense since signing his $184 million free-agent deal, but he hit .309 in July and lately he has filled the critical lead-off role.
The Cardinals need their veterans to step up in this fashion. Goldschmidt delivered a nice power surge after struggling for three months, but through Monday his on-base plus slugging percentage (.808) was still more than 100 points off his career norm.
Carpenter failed to hit at the end of last season, didn’t hit this season before getting hurt, didn’t hit during his rehabilitation assignment and continued scuffling upon his return.
Mikolas carried a 6.75 road earned-run average into Tuesday night’s game against the Dodgers and ace Clayton Kershaw.
Shortstop Paul DeJong, who is locked into a six-year, $26 million contract, was batting .208 with runners in scoring position through Monday’s game and .194 with RISP and two out.
Outfielder Dexter Fowler, who is locked into a five-year, $82.5 million contract, hit .343 back in April but followed that by hitting .171 in May, .235 in June, .256 in July and then .083 on his first four games of August.
Second baseman Kolten Wong has hit well since June, but only after struggling mightily in April and May. Pitcher Carlos Martinez has filled in nicely for the injured Jordan Hicks as the closer, but only after failing to build the shoulder strength needed to open the season in the rotation.
Had key Cardinals consistently met their previous standards through the season’s first half, this team would have built a nice division lead. Perhaps that would have inspired Mozeliak to dig a bit deeper to seek further improvement.
Going forward, the Cardinals will render the deadline inactivity complaint moot if their key players keep failing. Another pitcher or two wouldn’t have saved a team suffering wholesale regression.
Such regression would worsen the outlook for the next several seasons. If the cornerstone players keep crumbling, that proves Mozeliak and Co. constructed this roster poorly.
Then this team will need a new blueprint and a total rebuild for the long term rather than patchwork repair for 2020. And that’s a much bigger concern than what did or didn’t happen at the trade deadline.
TOMMY EDMAN, Infielder
GORDO ON EDMAN: He bypassed more experienced utility men Edmundo Sosa and Drew Robinson to earn fill-in work when injuries hit the Cardinals this summer. And the switch-hitting Edman is making the most of his first look. He is batting .286 with a double, two triples, three homers, nine RBIs, three stolen bases and an .856 on-base PLUS slugging percentage in 58 at bats.
YADIER MOLINA, Catcher
GORDO ON MOLINA: While most of his teammates ran hot and cold at the plate, Molina remained a steady presence in the batting order until he suffered his thumb injury. He is hitting .274 as the No. 6 batter this season. Overall he is batting .308 with runners in scoring position. Molina remains outstanding behind the plate; he allowed just 13 stolen bases in 69 games behind the plate.
MARCELL OZUNA, Left Fielder
GORDO ON OZUNA: He drove home 28 runs in April when the Cardinals offense was clicking, and 22 more in May. Then Ozuna delivered just 12 RBIs in his 87 June at-bats before landing on the injured list with broken fingers. His overall production (20 homers, 62 RBIs, .846 OPS, eight stolen bases) stands out in this sputtering offense. And after shoulder surgery, his throwing arm is decidedly less terrible that it was last season.
JOSE MARTINEZ, Outfielder
GORDO ON J. MARTINEZ: Like many of his teammates, he punished the ball back in April. He hit .400 with 12 runs scored and 13 RBIs. Then Martinez (.285, eight homers, 31 RBIs overall) had nearly as many strikeouts (31) as hits (33) during the next two months before heating up with a recent eight-game hitting streak. Martinez has worked hard to improve in right field, but his lack of range dooms him to poor defensive metrics.
YAIRO MUNOZ, Infielder/Outfielder
GORDO ON MUNOZ: He can play all four infield spots and all three outfield positions. He can hit and he can run. Munoz does not draw walks -- he has just two in 90 plate appearances -- so he needs a bit more plate discipline. It took multiple injuries to get him some playing time, but he is making the most of it by hitting .307 with four stolen bases.
DEXTER FOWLER, Outfielder
GORDO ON FOWLER: He put last season's nightmare (.180 batting average, season-ending foot injury) behind him to approximate his previous form. Fowler (.254, 10 doubles, 10 homers, 32 RBIs) is generally rewarding manager Mike Shildt's confidence. He is hitting .255 from the right side of the plate after hitting just .161 there last season. As an added bonus, Fowler has held up as a center fielder this season and allowed Jose Martinez to play some right field.
KOLTEN WONG, Second Baseman
GORDO ON WONG: As a fielder, he consistently saves runs with his remarkable range. As a baserunner he is 14-for-14 stealing bases this season. As a hitter, though, he runs hot and cold. Wong started fast (8 for 14, double, two homers, 4 RBIs) in March, then hit just .218 in April and .170 (with a terrible .237 on-base percentage) in May. Then he heated up again, hitting .274 in June before going 5 for 15 to start this month.
MATT WIETERS, Catcher
GORDO ON WIETERS: When the Cardinals needed him to step up in June with Yadier Molina injured, Wieters went 3 for 33 with 14 strikeouts. More recently he managed to smack a couple of homers from the right side of the plate On balance the switch-hitting Wieters (.220, five homers, 11 RBIs in 82 at bats) has offered an upgrade over Francisco Pena.
TYLER O'NEILL, Outfielder
GORDO ON O'NEILL: Earlier he got caught in the outfield numbers crunch and the team's need to carry an extra reliever. Now with Marcell Ozuna sidelined and Harrison Bader slumping, he could make his move. But O'Neill has struck out 30 times and hit just one homer in his 66 at-bats, so he must make more consistent impact to earn those fill-in at bats.
PAUL GOLDSCHMIDT, First Baseman
GORDO ON GOLDSCHMIDT: OK, so he is a great fielder and a smart base runner. But the Cardinals gave him a five-year, $130 million contract extension expecting him to produce runs. He smacked nine homers in his first 23 games, then hit just five in his next 62 games. Goldschmidt (.254,, 16 homers, 37 RBIs overall) drove in just four runs during a span of 101 at-bats in June and July. His .769 OPS is well off his career average of .917. Goldschmidt finally got rolling again on the West Coast swing, going 9 for 26 with four walks, two doubles, two homers, six RBIs and four runs scored.
PAUL DEJONG, Shortstop
GORDO ON DEJONG: After hitting .360 in April, he hit just .200 in May, .218 in June and .227 thus far in July. After drawing 20 walks in May. he drew just five in June while posting a dismal .259 on-base percentage. DeJong (.258, 13 homers, 36 RBIs overall) has driven home just 10 runs since May 19. He is hitting .174 with runners in scoring position this season and .138 with RISP and two outs. But he has remained a consistently solid fielder.
HARRISON BADER, Center Fielder
GORDO ON BADER: He has remained an elite center fielder with tremendous range and a strong arm. But Bader died at the plate this summer, hitting .155 in June and .200 (3 for 15) thus far in July. He is batting .205 overall, .145 with runners in scoring position and .059 (1 for 17) with RISP and two outs. After hitting .292 against left-handed pitching last season, he is batting just .167 against them this season. He desperately needs to hit the reset button.
JEDD GYORKO, Infielder
GORDO ON GYORKO: Had he stayed healthy, he could have earned some starts at third base when Matt Carpenter got hurt. After all, Gyorko hit 50 home runs here in 2016-17 and he's a reliable fielder. But he has managed just 56 at-bats (while hitting just .196) between his various injuries or re-injuries. So Munoz and Edman are getting that work instead.
MATT CARPENTER, Third Baseman
GORDO ON CARPENTER: After batting .170 last September, he hit .193 in April, .237 in May and .208 in June before landing on the injured list with a sore back. That's an unsettling long-term trend, given the two-year, $39 million contract extension he received even as the free-agent marketplace crashed on older players. Unlike last season, Carpenter has not overcome his slow start with a summer power surge. He hit just two homers in his last 81 at bats before going on the IL.
LANE THOMAS, Outfielder
GORDO ON THOMAS: He has performed well during his very limited duty hopping off the Memphis shuttle to fill in. Thomas is 4 for 13 with a walk, a homer, four RBIs and a stolen base. He can go get a fly ball too, so he could work his way into the outfield competition.
RANGEL RAVELO, First Baseman
GORDO ON RAVELO: The man has stuck it out through 3,009 minor league at-bats. So it's great to see Ravelo, 27, finally get a taste of the big leagues. His primary job is providing the Memphis Redbirds some veteran presence to take pressure off the prospect. As a Cardinal, he has one hit in his first eight at-bats.
DREW ROBINSON, Infielder/Outfielder
GORDO ON ROBINSON: Like Munoz, he can play everywhere. Unlike Munoz, he hits from the left side — and that gives him more value as a depth player. Robinson went 1 for 5 earlier this season for the Cardinals.
ANDREW KNIZNER, Catcher
GORDO ON KNIZNER: He was hitless in seven at-bats earlier this season filling in when Molina was injured. But Knizner is hitting .277 for Memphis this season and he is a career .304 hitter in the minors, so he remains on track to replace Molina some day.
MANAGER AND COACHING STAFF
GORDO ON THE FIELD STAFF: Manager Mike Shildt correctly noted that the Cardinals are a better fielding team this season. Putting Goldschmidt's glove at first base cured many infield ills. Credit Carpenter for working to improve at the third base. Also, the diligent field staff has spent a lot of time working with the outfielders on positioning and technique. On offense, Shildt deserves credit for putting the Cardinals in motion. When this team sees a favorable matchup, it's one of the few MLB teams that looks to steal bases.
But new hitting guru Jeff Albert has not been able to help key hitters (Goldschmidt, Carpenter, Paul DeJong, Kolten Wong, Harrison Bader) avoid months-long hitting slumps. And try as he might, well-respected pitching coach Mike Maddux has not been able to coax more consistency from Mikolas, Michael Wacha and Jack Flaherty in the starting rotation. An expected team strength has been a team issue instead.
It's ultimately up to the players to succeed or fail, but so far this has been a frustrating season for the field staff.
GORDO ON MANAGEMENT: The Cardinals' stated organizational goal is to contend every season. And, sure enough, this team is just two games back of the division-leading Chicago Cubs despite suffering some massive injury hits. But the Cardinals did not expect to be limping along at .500 past the halfway point of the season. Given the rampant mediocrity in the National League, there's no excuse for it.
Bill DeWitt Jr.'s game plan has remained static over the years: rely heavily on player development, invest in player retention and use free agency and trades to fill gaps. Trouble is, president of baseball operations John Mozeliak isn't executing that plan as well as he did in the past. Most of his recent trades brought middling returns or worse. This year's big contract commitments (Paul Goldschmidt, Miles Mikolas and Matt Carpenter) look dubious. Brett Cecil and Dexter Fowler have yielded poor dividends on their free-agent deals and former players (Mike Leake and Luke Gregerson) are collecting nice coin, too. Not only are the Cardinals stuck with several bad contracts, the franchise has little near-term help in its farm system. So this team doesn't have proven help to offer bailing teams before the trade deadline.
Last year, manager Mike Matheny and hitting coach John Mabry took the fall for the team's erosion. So what happens if this team keeps sputtering this year?
HOW DID THE PITCHERS GRADE OUT?
Check out Jeff Gordon's grades for the 2019 pitching staff, which has three starters with losing records, another with one of the league's worst ERAs among starters, and a dynamic young closer who's out for the season.
REPORT CARD: Grading the Cardinals pitchers at midseason