In many ways, Jaden Schwartz plays a big man’s game in a small man’s body. He’ll hound pucks in the corner. Go net front on offense. Doesn’t back down from contact. He’s fast. Determined.
In short, he’s coach Craig Berube’s type of player. And he’s the headliner in this year’s group of pending free agents on the Blues.
It’s a group that includes eight unrestricted free agents, with notable players such as Mike Hoffman, Tyler Bozak and Carl Gunnarsson joining Schwartz in that group. There are also seven restricted free agents with expiring contracts, including Vince Dunn, Ivan Barbashev, Zach Sanford, Jordan Kyrou and Robert Thomas.
While keeping in mind that restricted free agents almost never leave, unless you want them to leave, that’s still a lot of work for general manager Doug Armstrong and his front office team this offseason. They have plenty of time, however, given that free agency has been pushed back nearly a month – to July 28 this year from the usual July 1.
After locking in goalie Jordan Binnington to a six-year, $36 million contract extension during the just-completed season, the Blues have about $15 million of salary cap space.
Realistically, that’s not enough to re-sign the four unrestricted free agents and five restricted free agents listed above. But the Blues will lose some salary in whoever Seattle selects in the expansion draft July 21. And they may not want all those players back anyway. Or vice versa.
It starts with Schwartz, the senior member of the Blues in terms of continuous service, having played his first game for the team more than nine years ago on March 17, 2012. Since becoming a full-time player during the 2013-14 season, Schwartz has scored 19 or more goals in five of eight seasons.
But due in large part to injuries, he has run hot and cold lately, with only 11 regular-season goals in the 2018-19 Stanley Cup season, followed by 22 in ’19-’20 and just eight in 40 games this season.
“It was a tough year for him for sure from an offensive standpoint, not producing,” Berube said. “He wants to produce and we need him to produce but that didn’t happen.
“Now, he gives you everything he’s got on the ice. Hard worker, extremely hard worker and competitive player. Real good team guy. He had injuries this year. He was banged up a little bit down the stretch for sure but nothing that kept him out of the lineup.”
Schwartz, who turns 29 next month, missed 15 games from mid-February through mid-March with what was believed to be an oblique muscle injury.
He had a tough lead-up to the season as well, with the passing of his father Rick to a heart attack at age 59 in November.
“Schwartz is a player that we talked to before the season and he was very adamant that he was comfortable waiting (to negotiate a new contract),” Blues general manager Doug Armstrong said. “And I understood that, with him going through a lot of things personally. Now we have until the end of July to figure out if this relationship’s gonna continue.”
For now, Schwartz is taking a little down time with the season just ended, his agent told the Post-Dispatch, before they start thinking about a new contract. Schwartz averaged $5.35 million a year on the old one. With the combination of a flat salary cap, what figures to be a slow market, and Schwartz’s down year in goal production, it’s possible the Blues don’t offer a raise on the next contract.
Will Hoffman return?
As for Hoffman, Armstrong said perhaps optimistically that he could envision a scenario where the hard-shooting winger returns.
“I certainly want to sit and take some time and talk to our entire staff,” Armstrong said. “Mike, he’s a goal-scorer. And I think he was certainly in the top portion of our team in points. When we needed goals when our season was on the brink, I thought he stepped up and played.
“It’s that communication and bonding that takes time with coaches and teammates. Sometimes you say, ‘OK, I envision this player working with that guy.’ And it doesn’t work out that way.”
Hoffman finished third on the team in goals (17) and tied for third with Brayden Schenn in points (36). His seven power play goals were a team-high.
But his ice time per game (15:04) was his lowest total in six years, it took a long time before he saw regular duty on the first power play unit, and he was benched for three games by Berube from March 28 through April 9.
So does Hoffman, who made $4 million this season, even want to come back?
And does Berube, who at times wasn’t thrilled with Hoffman’s defense and checking, want him back?
“What I was really impressed with Mike though, was he hung in there, he battled, he worked, he waited for his opportunity, and then he produced,” Armstrong said.
What about Bozak?
Bozak is in a different category. He’s a stabilizing role player who plays defense, kills penalties, wins faceoffs and scores a goal every now and then. After missing 21 games with a concussion, and then three more with an unrelated upper-body injury he was strong down the stretch with four goals and 10 assists over his last 18 regular-season games. But at age 35, his career is winding down.
He’s finishing off a three-year, $15 million deal, but probably would have to accept less than $5 million a year to remain a Blue.
“Bozy’s a good pro, and I’ve enjoyed him for three years,” Armstrong said. “And if it works out, that would be great.”
Gunnarsson, 34, also is on the downside of his career, and was sharing the No. 6/No. 7 defensemen role with Robert Bortuzzo before his season ended with a right knee injury Feb. 22 after playing in only 12 games.
He made a modest $1.75 million in the ’20-’21 season, so perhaps the Blues bring him back, particularly if they lose a D-man in the expansion draft.
Among the team’s restricted free agents, as long as the Blues make a one-year qualifying offer, they retain the rights to that player. Dunn, Sanford and Barbashev are eligible for arbitration, which makes is a little trickier, and potentially contentious.
One of the Blues’ other arbitration-eligible RFA’s, forward Jacob de la Rose, reportedly has a contract offer from Farjestad in the Swedish Hockey League in his native country.
“I think this will be an active year, not only potentially here in St. Louis but around the league,” Armstrong said. “Any time you have expansion you have teams trying to do what’s best for them whether it’s not exposing players to Seattle, making trades in which they feel they’re in a better spot, or just giving Seattle a list of players. And then a flat cap for the foreseeable future.
“So I think it’s gonna be an interesting summer.”
St. Louis Blues 2021 Report Card: Reflections on a season of disappointment
FORWARDS - RYAN O’REILLY
He stepped up down the stretch of the regular season, scoring 10 goals in 13 games. He posted a career-high plus-25 rating, won 58.9 percent of his faceoffs and produced a stellar 43/24 takeaway/giveaway ratio. O’Reilly put extra focus on getting shots on goal and it worked, since 69.7 percent of his attempts got through. That’s how you double your goal total from one year to the next.
He joked Tuesday about getting an 8-year contract extension after next season, but has been seriously good at an advanced age. Perron (19 goals, 39 assists in 56 games) delivered consistent point-per-game production all year while posting strong possession metrics. His 18:03 average time on ice was the second-highest of his career. He played every regular season game ... and then COVID-19 denied him another shot at postseason play.
He finally established himself in the NHL, albeit in uneven fashion. Kyrou scored 12 points his first 12 games. Later, though, he was held without a point 13 times during a 15-game span. He produced solid possession metrics while getting sheltered usage (59.2 percent offensive zone starts). Kyrou began playing more tenaciously late in the season and he was noticeable in the playoffs while scoring once and putting 10 shots on goal.
He stepped up production from a 35-point pace last season to a 45-point pace. During the final 14 games his ice time jumped to 16:18 and he produced 10 points (three goals, seven assists). Bozak won 56.8 perfect of his faceoffs, making him an invaluable tag-team partner for O’Reilly. He scored two shorthanded goals, one in the playoffs. But at this stage of his career he didn’t quite measure up to his $5 million salary.
Sammy is who he is. He delivers crunching body hits. He scores the occasional goal. He suffers more than his share of injuries. His shot rate declined this season and his hit rate slipped, too, but his production was on par with last season. Blais scored a goal and delivered 14 playoff hits, so at least the Avalanche knew he was in the series.
He made the list of pleasant surprises. Joshua played 12 games as an emergency fill-in and made his mark with 23 hits, including one on Vegas Golden Knights ruffian Ryan Reaves. His only goal caromed in off his body, but at least he was driving to the net. Bonus point: Joshua won 57.8 percent of his faceoffs while proving he can play center.
A year ago he scored seven goals in 51 games. MacEachern failed to produce at that level this season – he had just 1 goal and 1 assist in 12 games – but he chipped in as a penalty killer and scored his goal shorthanded. His shot rate and hit rate were on par with last season and he finished plus-3.
He almost single-handedly refused to let the Blues get soft this season. He landed 119 hits and took a memorable run at Mikko Rantanen in the playoffs. He was willing to drop the gloves as well. But after scoring 6 times in a 9-game January stretch, he scored just 10 times in his final 46 games. On the plus side, he handled a big workload (19:09 per game), saw more penalty-killing duty and made progress in the faceoff circle (52.4 percent)
Like most Blues forwards, Barbashev suffered regression with his hit-per-game rate. Otherwise he remained on par with his previous checking line production when healthy. He earned a promotion to scoring-line work at the end, but his inability to finish was evident in the playoffs. He missed the net on a point-blank shot from the slot and he failed three times to lift the puck over Philipp Grubauer’s pad at the right post.
OK, so he’s not a Craig Berube-style player. Everybody knew that going in. Hoffman can really shoot the puck. When the Chief finally put him in position to do that – on the power-play unit and during 6-on-5 play – he came through. He scored 8 goals and added 7 assists in his last 16 games. His 17 power-play points trailed only Perron. With sheltered usage (60.6 percent offensive zone starts) he earned a plus-2 rating despite the earlier defensive indifference that made him a healthy scratch.
He played a robust game while moving in and out of the lineup. But his hit rate and shot rate were far below what they were the season before in Los Angeles and Toronto. Clifford chipped in a bit on the subpar penalty kill unit and he played with an edge, which the team needed. But injuries in this disjointed season kept the Blues from building the sort of dynamic fourth line that boosted their Cup run.
JACOB DE LA ROSE
When in the lineup he took a 31 percent penalty-kill share. He landed 22 hits in 13 games and recorded a 6/1 takeaway-giveaway ratio while getting 71.4 percent of his zone starts in the defensive end. But he won just 46.6 percent of his draws and he produced no goals and 1 assist offensively.
One again he followed a strong offensive campaign (25 goals, 33 assists in 71 games in 2019-20) with a much lesser one (8 goals, 13 assists in 40 games). His offensive zone start rate (48.2 percent) was the lowest of his career and his power-play role (2:04 per game) diminished as well. Then he failed to register a point in the playoffs. He still checked well, but he lost significant leverage heading into free agency.
Before suffering his season-ending knee injury, Sundqvist failed to measure up to previous years despite heavier deployment. He averaged a career-high 15:09 in ice time and his 21.3 percent power-play share was also his best. Yet he scored only at a 26-point pace, down from 34- and 33-point paces the previous two seasons. He finished with a minus-6 rating after finishing plus-5 the year before.
He flashed his tremendous playmaking talent in the playoffs while earning three assists and creating other scoring chances. But after scoring at a 52-point pace last season, he slipped to a 30-point pace during this injury-marred season. And his peripheral statistics indicate passive play: 22 shots on goal, 5 hits, 11 blocked shots. He won just 42.6 percent of his faceoffs and just 46.8 percent of his shot attempts got on goal – the worst rate among regular forwards.
After scoring at a 42-point pace last season he regressed to a 25-point pace this season. After finishing plus-13 last season, he was minus-13 this season. After getting various opportunities to play on the top three lines, he fell into a fourth-line role. He produced just two goals and two assists in his last 26 regular season games and didn’t register a playoff point. On the plus side, he played a big penalty-killing role for the first time and he held up when used as the No. 4 center.
We know he can still play because he scored twice in the elimination game. And we know he is getting healthier because Russia called him for the World Championships. Tarasenko scored 54 points in the 46 games before his latest shoulder injury. The comeback was challenging for sure, but his four goals in 24 regular season games still ranked as a big disappointment. He averaged just 0.58 points per game this season after averaging 0.83 or better six straight years.
DEFENSEMEN: JUSTIN FAULK
He might have been the most improved player in the entire league. Faulk added nearly 4 minutes to his average playing time. His share of penalty killing jumped from 22.8 percent to 55.6 percent. He landed 45 more hits while playing in 13 fewer games. Faulk produced seven points in his last seven regular season games before getting knocked out of the playoffs by Nazem Kadri’s cheap shot.
Once he settled in with his new team and found his place on the power play, fans saw why GM Doug Armstrong signed him. Krug produced 16 points in his last 18 games. He assumed more responsibility than he had in Boston, playing a career-high 22:33 per game while getting 46.3 percent of his starts in the defensive zone. As Armstrong noted, that heavier workload took a toll on his 5-on-5 play at times – although he did finish plus-11.
His plus-14 rating was second only to O’Reilly. His share of the team’s penalty-killing duty was the second-highest of his career. His playing time was up appreciably from what he did for three teams last season. Scandella struggled defending the Colorado Avalanche rush at times in the playoffs, but he had plenty of company there. And like most Blues, he saw his possession metrics take a beating with the Blues unable to sustain offensive zone pressure.
He was coming on offensively (8 points in 7 games) before suffering an upper-body injury in mid-April that ended his season. Dunn shouldered a bigger workload, 3 minutes more per game, but remained in sheltered usage (58.8 percent offensive zone starts). He remained prone to risky plays, as evidenced by his 10/26 takeaway/giveaway ratio and minus-8 rating. He could be a 40- to 50-point defenseman with more power-play time, but on this team his share was 36.5 percent.
He exceeded expectations, stepping in under emergency circumstances to turn heads with his puck-rushing skill and confidence. Walman has made the journey from hot prospect to non-prospect and back. His speed did not translate into production, though, and his minus-7 rating and 6/17 takeaway/giveaway ratio reminds us that there’s work to do.
He maintained status quo as a third-pairing defender who moved in and out of the lineup. Bortuzzo logged a bit more ice time, but he remained in a sheltered role (57.8 percent offensive zone starts) and his share of the team’s power-play duty declined. On the other hand, he was one of the few Blues to play more physically this season – landing 19 more hits in two fewer games played. He was missed after absorbing a head shot two games into the playoffs.
Ah, what could have been. A healthy Parayko could have enjoyed a breakthrough season as a true No. 1 defenseman. Instead he labored with a back injury, was shut down for a big chunk of the season and then returned to play just OK. His 13/23 takeaway/giveaway ratio was his career-worst. After a strong offensive finish in 2019-20 (15 points in 19 games), he produced just 12 points in 32 games and nothing on the power play. Blues fans are anxious to see if he can make a full recovery.
Had he not suffered a season-ending knee injury, he could have played a key role down the stretch given the other injuries. He could have made his case for more NHL time. His penalty-killing share (46 percent) was his highest as a Blue and it would have stayed high. Instead he faded to the background after 12 games.
He looked the part of a Blues defenseman with his rangy build and long reach. But Mikkola struggled with the puck. In the regular season and playoffs combined, he had just three takeaways against 22 giveaways. So he earned his minus-11 rating. On the plus side, he remained aggressive and showed no hesitation to jump into the offensive play during the postseason.
GOALTENDERS: JORDAN BINNINGTON
His inconsistency led to a .512 quality start percentage, which ranked 30th among regular netminders. Binnington started well, going 5-1-1 in January with a 2.49 goals-against average and a .918 save percentage while appearing recovered from his Bubble Hockey debacle. His February and March got ugly, then Binnington posted strong ratios in April (2.45, .925) and May (2.42, .914). He also competed hard in the playoffs despite facing a mismatch.
He capped his rookie season on a positive note by shutting out the Minnesota Wild. But with a .467 quality start percentage and mediocre ratios (3.20, .893), Husso was barely adequate in his backup role despite his 9-6-1 overall record and his 7-2-1 mark on the road. But what did you expect in his first NHL season?
In the face of staggering revenue losses due to the pandemic, Tom Stillman’s group still allowed the Blues to spend to the NHL salary cap and beyond. The Blues put $64 million on the table for Alex Pietrangelo, then signed free-agent Torey Krug after Pietrangelo left. The Blues added free-agent Mike Hoffman with the cap space cleared by players on long-term injured reserve. The ownership’s commitment to winning remained unwavering despite taking a huge financial hit.
The Blues let captain Alex Pietrangelo get away. Could general manager Doug Armstrong have done more to retain him? Maybe not, since Pietrangelo was committed to testing free agency. He got a better contract structure with the Golden Knights, but not more total dollars. That whole episode was a head-scratcher. Armstrong rebounded by adding offense with Krug and Hoffman, but the team got smaller and less tenacious in the process. On the other hand, Armstrong’s faith in Justin Faulk was richly rewarded when Faulk delivered a strong second season. And depth players like Dakota Joshua and Steven Santani filled in nicely to make the front office look smart.
Thanks to injuries and the COVID-19 disruptions, this season became a constant scramble. The lineup remained in constant flux. Craig Berube and his staff rallied the team late in the regular season, but the Blues were still no match for the Colorado Avalanche. Injuries played a big part as the team suffered a four-game sweep, but the Blues still seemed to have more to give. They never got their penalty-killing unit up to par. At times they sustained pressure 5-on-5 ... and at times they didn’t. The power play finally got into gear and Berube finally positioned Hoffman to succeed offensively.